cookics999

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2026

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2793	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
95.980	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
90.454	Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026?	Binary
86.789	Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026?	Binary
85.076	Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk)	Binary
82.550	Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election?	Binary
80.385	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
80.066	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
78.858	Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	Multiple Choice
74.861	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
71.503	Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Multiple Choice
69.060	Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election?	Multiple Choice
67.245	What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (ΑΜΖΝ)	Continuous
66.884	What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026?	Continuous
65.022	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
61.089	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
61.040	Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million?	Binary
59.659	What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
59.554	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
58.806	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
57.647	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
55.768	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
54.815	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
54.053	What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
53.929	What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
51.392	What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026?	Continuous
48.336	What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026?	Continuous
46.099	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
46.088	What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
46.077	Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil))	Binary
45.244	Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games?	Binary
44.956	Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026?	Binary
44.931	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
44.901	What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala?	Continuous
44.750	In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month?	Binary
44.210	What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026?	Continuous
43.856	What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025?	Continuous
43.804	What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026?	Continuous
40.460	What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
39.349	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
37.425	Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%?	Binary
37.423	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
37.352	What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
37.210	What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026?	Multiple Choice
35.928	What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026?	Continuous
35.005	What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026?	Continuous
34.513	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla)	Continuous
34.378	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026?	Continuous
32.565	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
32.251	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
32.126	How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026?	Continuous
31.716	What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election?	Continuous
31.197	Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026?	Binary
29.926	Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026?	Binary
29.645	Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026?	Binary
29.262	What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
28.787	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
28.347	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
27.633	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
26.813	Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026?	Multiple Choice
26.258	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
26.204	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
25.974	What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia)	Continuous
25.875	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
24.944	What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025?	Continuous
24.849	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
23.678	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple)	Continuous
23.492	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
23.329	What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025?	Continuous
23.182	How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026?	Multiple Choice
22.935	What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026?	Continuous
22.723	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
22.709	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
20.775	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
20.410	What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025?	Continuous
19.716	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
19.332	What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index?	Continuous
18.527	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
18.123	How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026?	Continuous
17.963	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
17.628	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
16.898	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Apple)	Continuous
16.670	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
16.594	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
16.436	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX)	Continuous
16.155	Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026?	Binary
15.259	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
14.978	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
14.324	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
13.888	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
13.872	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft)	Continuous
13.197	Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026?	Multiple Choice
11.981	Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026?	Binary
11.694	How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers)	Continuous
11.427	What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX?	Continuous
11.394	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
11.222	What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026?	Continuous
11.102	How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups?	Multiple Choice
10.288	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta)	Continuous
10.069	Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan)	Binary
9.360	How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting?	Multiple Choice
9.350	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
7.157	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta)	Continuous
7.053	Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026?	Binary
6.353	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
4.682	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
4.449	Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026?	Binary
4.263	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
4.104	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
4.065	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
3.301	What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026?	Continuous
3.287	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13)	Continuous
2.943	Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election?	Binary
2.934	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla)	Continuous
2.246	What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon)	Continuous
2.170	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
1.960	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
1.648	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
0.310	Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026?	Binary
0.224	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
0.069	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
-0.567	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
-1.082	What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025?	Continuous
-2.507	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
-3.768	What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026?	Continuous
-3.880	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
-4.986	Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026?	Binary
-5.622	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
-5.904	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 13 - Jul 24)	Continuous
-6.712	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon)	Continuous
-6.854	Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026?	Continuous
-7.280	Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament?	Multiple Choice
-7.475	How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights)	Continuous
-9.386	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
-9.846	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
-10.198	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
-12.547	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17)	Continuous
-12.560	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27)	Continuous
-16.102	When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump?	Multiple Choice
-16.226	Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026?	Binary
-17.087	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27)	Continuous
-20.143	What will the first reported revenues after June 2026 be for the following companies? (SpaceX)	Continuous
-20.189	Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025?	Binary
-20.298	What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
-25.240	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
-34.460	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
-40.664	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q3 2026? (Jul 27 - Aug 7)	Continuous
-58.141	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13)	Continuous
-61.124	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft)	Continuous
-62.611	Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026?	Binary
-65.577	How much in goods will the US export in December 2025?	Continuous
-66.237	Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026?	Binary
-85.678	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon)	Continuous
-90.265	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30)	Continuous
-102.466	What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous