97.610 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
91.058 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
87.909 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
84.202 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
84.201 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
82.660 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
82.001 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
81.407 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
81.019 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
80.223 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
79.586 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
78.724 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
78.356 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
77.567 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
76.190 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
74.402 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
74.336 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
74.271 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
73.759 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
71.159 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
70.764 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
70.740 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
69.169 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
67.413 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
67.135 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
66.467 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
66.111 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
65.295 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
64.920 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
64.835 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
64.456 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
63.191 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
63.163 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
61.013 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
60.511 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
60.195 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
59.845 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
59.407 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
58.214 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
57.903 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
57.604 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
57.251 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
57.236 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
56.657 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
56.521 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
56.499 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
56.379 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
54.955 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
53.039 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
52.253 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
51.006 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
49.260 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
48.947 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
48.210 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
48.075 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
47.548 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
47.217 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
46.769 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
44.341 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
43.930 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
43.503 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
43.466 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
43.072 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
42.929 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
41.923 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
40.523 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
39.524 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
37.961 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
37.132 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
37.064 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
35.475 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
34.316 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
34.099 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
31.078 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
30.358 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
29.559 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
28.867 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
28.495 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
28.495 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
27.858 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
27.481 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
27.250 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
24.610 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
23.480 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
23.139 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
22.810 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
22.794 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
20.575 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
20.081 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
19.057 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
16.822 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
15.877 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
14.840 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
13.365 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
12.625 | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
10.600 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
9.393 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
9.252 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
8.041 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
7.311 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
6.532 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
3.752 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
2.086 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
2.083 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
2.083 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
1.512 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
0.144 | Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
- | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
- | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
- | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
- | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
- | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
- | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
- | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
- | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
-0.214 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
-1.038 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-1.219 | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-1.414 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
-1.966 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-2.057 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-2.350 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-2.495 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
-2.889 | Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships? | Binary |
-3.712 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-5.973 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-6.709 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
-7.986 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-8.745 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-11.541 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-11.731 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
-13.422 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-16.080 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-16.240 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-16.837 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-17.526 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-25.564 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-40.209 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-40.255 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-52.567 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-70.506 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-74.310 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-77.147 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-79.337 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-80.691 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-96.202 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-108.957 | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
-109.056 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-114.279 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-114.854 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-151.193 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-229.502 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-624.050 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |