ISAPredictor

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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23.56		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
92.833	85.5%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
89.893	60.5%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
89.542	59.1%	What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025?	Continuous
87.183	93.3%	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
86.910	86.5%	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
85.740	97.7%	What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025?	Continuous
84.875	92.4%	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
81.567	64.0%	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
77.465	99.9%	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
77.386	93.4%	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
74.590	91.2%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
74.042	80.7%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
73.911	99.9%	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
72.877	92.4%	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
72.002	92.4%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
71.647	92.0%	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
71.351	94.9%	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
70.987	90.3%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
70.245	91.1%	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
68.315	99.9%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
67.772	94.7%	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
65.870	80.9%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
62.927	50.7%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
61.001	48.0%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
55.631	99.7%	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
54.348	99.9%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
54.224	96.0%	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
52.325	92.9%	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
52.253	88.5%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
52.159	91.7%	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
51.769	99.7%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
51.096	66.8%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
50.806	99.8%	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
50.369	90.2%	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
49.499	99.9%	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
49.027	80.7%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
48.570	75.6%	Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025?	Multiple Choice
48.142	89.4%	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
47.510	100.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
47.489	56.0%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
47.180	58.4%	Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?	Binary
46.687	99.6%	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
46.501	89.1%	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
46.063	94.5%	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
45.470	99.9%	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
45.117	99.3%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
43.734	97.4%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
41.563	99.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
40.513	98.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9)	Continuous
40.322	98.2%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
40.265	98.5%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
39.876	79.4%	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
39.801	99.6%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
39.279	73.5%	What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025?	Multiple Choice
39.195	71.5%	Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025?	Binary
38.857	55.4%	Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313?	Multiple Choice
37.320	76.0%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
37.302	97.4%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
36.357	99.3%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
35.845	62.1%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
34.828	99.9%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
34.160	99.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
33.725	93.0%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
33.309	99.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
33.044	68.9%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
32.710	86.8%	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
32.573	98.2%	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
32.312	100.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
32.291	98.7%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
31.607	97.4%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
30.969	81.9%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
30.954	27.1%	How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025?	Continuous
30.542	98.2%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
29.083	99.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
28.918	66.6%	What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025?	Multiple Choice
28.752	99.9%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
28.235	85.3%	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
28.148	98.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
27.784	99.7%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
27.358	96.5%	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
26.535	98.9%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
26.422	100.0%	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
26.183	97.8%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
26.121	85.4%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
25.552	88.5%	What percent of Americans will hold a favorable view of China per the Pew Research Center's 2025 annual poll?	Continuous
25.382	100.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
25.343	99.7%	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
25.087	82.5%	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
24.900	98.3%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
24.885	81.9%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
24.780	63.1%	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
24.757	66.7%	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
24.533	87.5%	Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025?	Binary
24.498	99.3%	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
24.037	99.9%	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
22.739	82.6%	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
21.836	89.1%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
21.674	99.3%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
21.330	95.0%	Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?	Binary
21.059	76.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
20.560	89.1%	What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025?	Continuous
20.282	99.7%	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
19.735	70.8%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
19.707	98.4%	Who will be the next President of Romania in 2025?	Multiple Choice
19.591	60.0%	Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025?	Binary
18.964	98.2%	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
18.808	99.0%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
18.681	99.6%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
18.667	98.3%	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
18.629	99.9%	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
18.617	99.7%	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
18.596	99.6%	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
18.354	93.1%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
18.329	100.0%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
18.234	99.0%	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
18.052	48.0%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
18.007	100.0%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
17.853	99.7%	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
17.709	99.8%	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
17.192	77.8%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
17.169	97.2%	Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?	Binary
16.799	99.9%	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
16.158	93.0%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
16.150	88.1%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
16.073	25.7%	Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025?	Binary
15.885	76.9%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
15.639	98.6%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
15.517	67.2%	Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?	Binary
15.278	99.9%	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
14.888	80.5%	Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025?	Binary
14.353	84.6%	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
14.069	100.0%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
14.038	84.6%	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
13.695	97.8%	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?	Binary
13.457	71.7%	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
13.439	99.3%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
13.115	98.5%	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
12.714	89.2%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
12.638	99.5%	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
12.585	56.0%	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
12.297	98.3%	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
11.806	98.2%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
11.284	99.8%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
9.649	75.6%	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
9.557	29.9%	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
9.527	98.3%	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
9.414	83.0%	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
9.344	53.7%	Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025?	Binary
9.251	99.8%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
8.788	99.9%	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
8.746	50.5%	When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility?	Continuous
8.683	99.9%	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
8.479	99.5%	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
8.327	93.6%	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
8.111	99.9%	Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?	Binary
7.820	100.0%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
7.405	98.5%	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
6.822	10.9%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
6.741	21.4%	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
6.629	99.9%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
6.440	99.9%	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
5.778	97.9%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
5.686	58.5%	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
5.621	29.3%	Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?	Binary
5.568	55.7%	Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025?	Binary
5.517	28.2%	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
5.104	9.1%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
4.805	88.4%	Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?	Binary
4.712	97.9%	[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?	Binary
4.579	20.8%	What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?	Continuous
4.411	98.2%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
4.325	45.4%	How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025?	Continuous
4.094	98.6%	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
3.889	99.7%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
3.778	57.5%	Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?	Binary
3.605	99.7%	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
3.482	35.5%	Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025?	Binary
2.567	100.0%	Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025?	Binary
2.448	95.8%	Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025?	Binary
2.268	85.4%	When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025?	Multiple Choice
2.258	30.2%	Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025?	Binary
2.124	13.5%	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections?	Binary
2.029	13.3%	Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League?	Binary
1.875	1.0%	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
1.641	7.9%	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
1.619	5.4%	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
1.479	3.3%	Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025?	Binary
1.432	6.8%	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
1.303	99.8%	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
1.118	98.7%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
1.020	2.5%	Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025?	Binary
1.007	2.0%	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
0.860	7.4%	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?	Binary
0.553	98.7%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
0.234	99.6%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
0.159	1.2%	Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026?	Binary
0.114	99.9%	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
0.113	0.4%	Will any top US official visit Greenland in 2025?	Binary
-0.693	99.6%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
-0.746	98.3%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
-1.043	99.6%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-1.135	99.8%	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
-1.247	93.1%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
-1.775	48.4%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-2.582	93.1%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
-2.741	98.3%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
-3.134	99.8%	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
-3.760	99.9%	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-4.868	99.9%	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
-6.221	99.9%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-6.494	10.5%	Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off?	Multiple Choice
-6.550	100.0%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
-7.235	23.4%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN)	Binary
-8.425	78.8%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
-8.455	59.9%	What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup?	Continuous
-8.771	90.2%	[Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have?	Continuous
-9.232	98.3%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
-9.539	99.8%	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
-10.340	100.0%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
-10.696	20.1%	Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025?	Binary
-11.004	78.3%	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
-12.748	100.0%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
-17.880	88.3%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-17.883	94.5%	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-17.926	99.9%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
-18.019	99.2%	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
-27.688	56.6%	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
-34.156	99.9%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-36.589	98.7%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-40.422	98.6%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
-43.922	48.4%	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
-55.433	77.2%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
-56.060	91.6%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-64.238	31.2%	Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?	Binary
-65.783	98.2%	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-67.015	99.1%	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on it's public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
-71.509	98.2%	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-74.414	100.0%	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
-211.582	86.9%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary