• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
💎
Metaculus Cup
🇮🇷🇮🇱
Iran-Israel Conflict
⚡
Current events
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
💵
Fiscal Showdown
Topics
✨🔝
Top Questions
🇺🇦⚔️
Ukraine Conflict
🏦
Big Beautiful Bill
🗽
State of the Union
⏳
AI 2027
🇹🇼🇨🇳
The Taiwan Tinderbox
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Contact
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature

Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

≤5 nm99%
≤3 nm90%
≤2 nm49.4%

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH20%
Amazon Web Services15%
Microsoft Azure15%
and 1 other

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD5%
Google5%
Nvidia3%

How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024?

How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024?

Will US regulations that restrict self-driving trucks be implemented?

resultNo

Will Moore's Law end by 2025?

This question is closed for forecasting. Latest Community prediction is displayed.

58%chance

Will security patches against "Specter-NG" vulnerabilities be available for end-users by September 2018?

Ambiguous

Will any of the 20 most valuable public companies in the United States (As of January 2019) file for bankruptcy protection before 2025?

resultNo
condition

Will there be a Run on the Banks before 2031?

11 forecasters
if yes
if no

One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025

61%
61%

One Top 20 Public Corp Bankrupt Before 2025

10%
10%
-1
no comments0