Pandemic series: a major naturally-originated pandemic by 2026?result: yes434949 comments238238 forecastersResolvedYes
Respiratory Outlook April Update: Measles Surge Slows as Flu Season Ends with Likely Moderate Severity50 comments
What will be the global annual death rate (per 100,000 people) from infectious disease in the following years?833 comments6161 forecasters
Will the WHO announce a non-H5N1 pandemic before 2027?5% chance31212 comments2525 forecasters5%chance
Respiratory Outlook May Update: Low Chance for Hantavirus Spread as Measles Forecast Drops Again30 comments
How many infections of novel Henipavirus will have occurred before 2023?104 (55.7 - 446)1133 comments1515 forecasters104 (55.7 - 446)
Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?5% chance433434 comments301301 forecasters5%chance
Pandemic Series: new mosquito-borne pathogen by 2019?result: no944 comments8383 forecastersResolvedNo
Will the WHO declare an avian influenza virus in humans a Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2030?53% chance1322 comments9696 forecasters53%chance
When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?32424 comments2222 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?22% chance332727 comments229229 forecasters22%chance
What will be the weekly share (in percent) of emergency department visits for combined respiratory illnesses in the United States for the following weeks?62626 comments1313 forecasters
Pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard by 2021?result: no966 comments5252 forecastersResolvedNo
How many cattle will be culled because of an infectious disease outbreak, in the largest such occurrence, between 2021 and 2023?8967 (2609 - 34.2k)744 comments4242 forecasters8967 (2609 - 34.2k)
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?33434 comments2626 forecasters
Pandemic series: reported theft of a potential bioterror agent in US by 2020?result: no233 comments101101 forecastersResolvedNo
How many total confirmed cases of novel coronavirus will be reported in the WHO African region by March 27?2361 (2044 - 2691)112020 comments5353 forecasters2361 (2044 - 2691)
What will be the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season?84646 comments1818 forecasters
Will there be recurring virus-driven lockdowns during the period 2030-2050?30% chance50 comments2626 forecasters30%chance
Before 2023, will the United States CDC recommend that those who have already been vaccinated for SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) be vaccinated again due to a mutation in the virus?result: yes414848 comments187187 forecastersResolvedYes
When will the next Public Health Emergency of International Concern be declared by the WHO?04 Oct 2022 (21 Jul 2022 20:18 - 04 Jul 2023)888 comments2929 forecasters04 Oct 2022 (21 Jul 2022 20:18 - 04 Jul 2023)
What will the median % prevalence of XBB1.5 in U.S. HHS Region 3 for the biweekly periods shown below?73535 comments3535 forecasters