• Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Services
  • News
  • Questions
  • Tournaments
  • Questions
  • Questions
Feed Home
👥
Communities
🏆
Leaderboards
Topics
🗳️
US Democracy Index
❓
Top Questions
⏳
AI 2027
🗞️
In the News
🦾
AI Forecasting Benchmark
📈
Indexes
💎
Metaculus Cup
🌍
AI Pathways
🏛️
POTUS Predictions
categories
🦠
Health & Pandemics
🌱
Environment & Climate
☢️
Nuclear Technology & Risks
🤖
Artificial Intelligence
See all categories
  • About
  • API
  • FAQ
  • forecasting resources
  • For Journalists
  • Careers
GuidelinesPrivacy PolicyTerms of Use
ForbesScientific AmericanTimeVoxYale NewsNature
condition

Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?

4 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

33%
33%

Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?

27%
27%
11 comment
4
4 forecasters
9 comments
111 forecasters

Will these countries get a nuclear weapon before 2035?

Iran57%
Saudi Arabia15%
South Korea10%
21 comments
74 forecasters

Will these countries obtain a nuclear weapon before 2030?

South Korea3%
Saudi Arabia2%
Saudi ArabiaAnnulled
5 comments
67 forecasters

Will France announce a nuclear deterrent extension agreement with a European country before December 16, 2025?

7%chance
5 comments
37 forecasters

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

30%chance
10 comments
14 forecasters

When will the following countries no longer be classified as being in a state of civil war?

00
52 comments
283 forecasters

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?

10%chance
4 comments
79 forecasters

Will Belarus become a EU candidate country before 2030?

0.1%chance
62 comments
386 forecasters

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

1%chance
condition

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years? (2035)

8 forecasters
if yes
if no

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

25%
25%

Will Russia attack a European NATO member before 2035?

8%
8%
11 comment
8
8 forecasters