| 46.950 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 44.459 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| 44.262 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 41.997 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2032 questions) | Continuous |
| 40.564 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 38.237 | How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 38.214 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 30.764 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| 29.797 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 29.782 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 28.682 | What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 27.901 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| 23.335 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 23.010 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 18.557 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2052 questions) | Continuous |
| 15.404 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 15.272 | Will the US Supplemental Poverty Measure be higher in 2022 than 2021? | Binary |
| 14.203 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 13.644 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 12.806 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.317 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 12.273 | How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)? | Continuous |
| 12.009 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 11.776 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.392 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2023) | Continuous |
| 10.173 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| 9.817 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 9.636 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 9.248 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 9.106 | What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 8.829 | What will state-of-the-art top-1 accuracy on the APPS Benchmark introductory problems be from 2022 to 2025? (2023) | Continuous |
| 8.522 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2023 questions) | Continuous |
| 8.070 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.905 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.865 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.807 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 7.702 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 7.657 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.958 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| 6.758 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| 6.615 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.573 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2122 questions) | Continuous |
| 6.392 | Will a mainstream voice assistant use freeform dialog based on a large language model before end of 2023? | Binary |
| 5.735 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.514 | Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.041 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 4.795 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 4.405 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 4.375 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.783 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 3.402 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| 3.330 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.219 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 2.780 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 2.445 | What will be the annual headline CPI inflation in the United States in the following years? (2022) | Continuous |
| 2.273 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.077 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.724 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 0.699 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 0.552 | When will GPT-4 be announced? | Continuous |
| 0.361 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2023) | Continuous |
| 0.270 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 0.152 | Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023? | Binary |
| 0.041 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2023) | Continuous |
| -0.254 | Will Holden's Bet with Zvi about Omicron resolve ambiguously? | Binary |
| -0.444 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| -0.600 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| -0.812 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| -0.815 | Will Microsoft integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Bing Search before September 30, 2023? | Binary |
| -1.484 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| -3.145 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2023) | Continuous |
| -3.507 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| -4.134 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| -4.483 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -6.055 | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
| -6.827 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| -6.986 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| -9.187 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| -11.344 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| -12.868 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| -13.383 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -13.974 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| -14.687 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| -17.992 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| -21.741 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| -27.610 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| -31.661 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -31.702 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| -41.446 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2025 questions) | Continuous |
| -41.717 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |