| 62.828 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 58.747 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| 56.794 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 49.572 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 48.707 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| 47.586 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 43.206 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leicester City) | Continuous |
| 43.086 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 40.658 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leeds United) | Continuous |
| 40.054 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 38.848 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 38.069 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Southampton) | Continuous |
| 36.625 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2023) | Continuous |
| 35.860 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 34.121 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 31.218 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| 28.909 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 24.552 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| 23.063 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| 22.242 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (March 1, 2023) | Continuous |
| 20.967 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| 20.402 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 20.093 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 19.832 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 19.698 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 19.422 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.413 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 19.228 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 18.992 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| 18.675 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| 18.437 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.714 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 17.039 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.193 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.067 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.000 | What will be the Council on Foreign Relations' count of conflicts with critical impact on U.S. interests on January 1st, 2024? | Continuous |
| 15.888 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
| 15.508 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 15.307 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 15.082 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 15.011 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 14.485 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 14.328 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 14.156 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 13.824 | How many estimated cases of Marburg virus (MARV) will occur globally in 2022? | Continuous |
| 13.554 | Will pediatric cases of hepatitis with unknown origin be conclusively linked to COVID vaccination? | Binary |
| 13.453 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 12.877 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 12.867 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| 12.866 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.770 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 12.287 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 11.494 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
| 11.156 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 11.015 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| 10.902 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.783 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton and Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 10.502 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 10.311 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.155 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 10.127 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 10.096 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.046 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |
| 10.029 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.825 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| 9.797 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 9.415 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 9.214 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.137 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.892 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.747 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.611 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 8.578 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 8.340 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 7.872 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 7.819 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 7.766 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.617 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| 7.447 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 7.413 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 7.254 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 7.081 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
| 6.708 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 6.488 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 6.476 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.286 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| 6.256 | In 2023 will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action? | Binary |
| 6.217 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 6.182 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 6.032 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| 5.881 | What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 5.792 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Binary |
| 5.718 | Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.659 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Binary |
| 5.638 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.499 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
| 5.487 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Binary |
| 5.334 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.233 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 5.227 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Everton) | Binary |
| 5.225 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leicester City) | Binary |
| 5.220 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Southampton) | Binary |
| 5.105 | When will OpenAI next update its approach to alignment research? | Continuous |
| 4.917 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Binary |
| 4.792 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Leeds United) | Binary |
| 4.754 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 4.679 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.451 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.430 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 4.407 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 4.235 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Binary |
| 4.216 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 4.208 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 4.085 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.025 | Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 3.912 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| 3.904 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.882 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 3.860 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 3.836 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 3.823 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 3.816 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.705 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 3.691 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 3.659 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 3.552 | How many politically motivated criminal offenses will be reported in Germany for 2022? | Continuous |
| 3.483 | How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 3.467 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.168 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 3.166 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 3.145 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.091 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 3.052 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 3.048 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 2.809 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 2.758 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 2.731 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 2.617 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 2.594 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 2.546 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 2.516 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 2.408 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 2.401 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Binary |
| 2.396 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 2.299 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 2.270 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton & Hove Albion) | Binary |
| 2.201 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 2.167 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 2.111 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 2.101 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 2.058 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 2.031 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Binary |
| 2.018 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 1.944 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 1.937 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 1.906 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 1.874 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 1.854 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 1.837 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 1.828 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 1.808 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 1.697 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 1.673 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 1.641 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 1.610 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 1.575 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 1.552 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.552 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 1.547 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 1.516 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 1.504 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 1.491 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 1.387 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 1.287 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 1.211 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 1.103 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.097 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 1.094 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 1.094 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 1.086 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 1.061 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 0.956 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 0.920 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 0.919 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 0.913 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 0.872 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 0.836 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 0.836 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 0.812 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 0.769 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 0.753 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.733 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 0.696 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 0.675 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 0.659 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 0.608 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 0.393 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 0.323 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 0.068 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| 0.067 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.036 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.034 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.025 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.014 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.012 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.008 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| 0.000 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 0.000 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| -0.053 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2052 questions) | Continuous |
| -0.990 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -1.194 | What will Asana's market cap be on December 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -2.119 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2122 questions) | Continuous |
| -3.980 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| -3.984 | How many papers published in 2023 will discuss metagenomic sequencing? | Continuous |
| -5.476 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2023 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| -6.106 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| -7.219 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| -7.837 | How many goals will Erling Haaland score in the Premier League 2022/23 season? | Continuous |
| -12.981 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| -14.349 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| -15.044 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| -19.082 | In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction? | Binary |
| -21.083 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| -22.698 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2023 questions) | Continuous |
| -26.659 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -120.122 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2025 questions) | Continuous |
| -122.782 | [All Questions Now Live!] The Forecasting Our World In Data Tournament has launched! How many forecasters will predict on at least half the questions? (2032 questions) | Continuous |