| 176.559 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 148.698 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 138.726 | How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024? | Continuous |
| 136.476 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 125.378 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 122.518 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 115.848 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 101.558 | When will the federal criminal trial of Donald J. Trump begin? (classified documents case) | Continuous |
| 98.639 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.623 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.153 | Will Bud Light cease production by 2026? | Binary |
| 98.147 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 98.038 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 1) | Binary |
| 97.853 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 97.832 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 97.386 | Will the US President inaugurated in 2025 be from a different political party than the projected winner as officially called by a majority of major news desks? | Binary |
| 97.357 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 97.002 | Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026? | Binary |
| 96.627 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 96.461 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 96.162 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 95.897 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 95.165 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 94.723 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 94.399 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 93.514 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 93.274 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 92.491 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.192 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 92.116 | Will a cultivated meat company be profitable by April 2023? | Binary |
| 90.456 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 89.692 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 89.303 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 89.299 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 89.226 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.949 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.383 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 88.194 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 87.957 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 87.624 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 87.328 | In January 2025, will we see "3 US Code § 15" objections debated for the 2024 election on enough states where their total electoral count would be enough to change the outcome of the election? | Binary |
| 86.462 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 86.324 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based eggs be in the U.S. in 2022? | Continuous |
| 86.203 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 85.585 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 85.417 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 83.541 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 81.227 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 81.016 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 79.612 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 79.486 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 79.229 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 78.938 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 78.424 | Will ARC find that GPT-5 has autonomous replication capabilities? | Binary |
| 78.410 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 78.367 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.117 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 77.933 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 77.890 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 77.585 | In the 2024 US presidential election, will any state refuse to certify their election results? | Binary |
| 77.373 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 77.318 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 77.277 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 77.264 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.058 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 2) | Binary |
| 76.471 | Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.228 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 74.735 | Will 3M file for bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 74.475 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 73.701 | Will the EU phase out high-concentration CO2 stunning or killing of pigs before 2025? | Binary |
| 72.189 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 71.861 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 71.660 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.353 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 71.158 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 69.879 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 68.885 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 68.885 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 68.885 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 68.885 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 68.586 | Will meme-based cryptocurrency, Dogecoin (DOGE), be valued at $1 per coin or higher on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.581 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.452 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 68.259 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.702 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 66.475 | Will any nation have less than 10% of their population vaccinated with at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine on December 31, 2022? | Binary |
| 65.761 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 65.204 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 63.914 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.862 | Will the U.S. phase out per-country caps on employment-based visas before 2025? | Binary |
| 62.902 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 62.692 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 62.238 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 62.027 | Will the US propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.808 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 59.876 | Will Mitch McConnell cease to be the US Senate Republican Leader before the next presidential inauguration (January 20, 2025)? | Binary |
| 59.597 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 58.437 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 58.140 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 57.144 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 56.980 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 56.871 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.841 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? | Binary |
| 55.605 | If Trump is elected president in 2024, will AI foundation model reporting requirements remain in place in the US at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 55.520 | Will the EU propose a ban on hydrazine for spacecraft propulsion by 2025? | Binary |
| 55.453 | Will Section 230, ruling no liability for false or defamatory posts from users on internet platforms, be revoked or amended in the US by January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 52.513 | What will be the largest cultivated meat production capacity, in metric tons per year, of a single facility by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 51.646 | Will the EU have a mandatory multi-tiered animal welfare labelling scheme in place by 2025? | Binary |
| 51.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 51.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 51.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 51.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 51.314 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 51.309 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 51.309 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 50.710 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 50.655 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 50.000 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 49.777 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.768 | Will The Kidney Project's implantable bioartificial kidney receive FDA approval before 2025? | Binary |
| 49.707 | Will PsiQuantum have a commercial quantum computer by 2025? | Binary |
| 49.573 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 49.493 | Will Cryptocurrency Miners be considered “brokers” by the IRS by 2025? | Binary |
| 49.323 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 48.684 | Will lepton universality be falsified before 2026? | Binary |
| 48.463 | Will the Forethought Foundation have more than two full-time equivalent employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 47.850 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 47.724 | Before 2024, will the ACLU argue that hate speech should not be protected by the First Amendment? | Binary |
| 47.663 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.201 | How many Executive Orders per week will President Biden issue? | Continuous |
| 45.622 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 43.474 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) | Continuous |
| 43.474 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (No Labels) | Continuous |
| 43.413 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 42.049 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 42.020 | What will the fed funds rate be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 41.431 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) | Continuous |
| 39.323 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 39.117 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| 38.996 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 38.460 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 37.416 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 36.537 | Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before January 1st of the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 35.829 | In 2025, will code generating AI have been pre-trained on a natural language corpus? | Binary |
| 34.405 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 33.972 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 32.271 | Will Egypt attempt to damage the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam before 2024? | Binary |
| 31.133 | By what percentage will the total US yearly retail sales of plant-based meat in 2022 grow compared to 2020? | Continuous |
| 31.086 | Will any senior executives of these major public companies be imprisoned for corporate crimes before 2026? | Binary |
| 30.642 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 30.304 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 30.029 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 29.551 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 29.380 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Bankman-Fried) | Binary |
| 28.886 | Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025? | Binary |
| 27.970 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 27.640 | Before 2024, will North Korea possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads? | Binary |
| 26.613 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 24.272 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 22.515 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.975 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.618 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.471 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 1000 questions? | Binary |
| 20.474 | Will copyright of at least one of the depictions of Mickey Mouse be extended beyond the current deadline of January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 20.426 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 19.611 | Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.388 | Will the Nonlinear Fund have more than eight full-time equivalent employees on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 18.830 | What will be the maximum compute (in petaFLOPS-days) ever used in training an AI experiment by the following dates? (Jan-2026) | Continuous |
| 17.884 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 17.415 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 17.396 | Will the floating storage vessel Safer leak at least 10,000 tonnes of oil before 2025? | Binary |
| 16.910 | What will the total dollar grocery sales of plant-based foods in the U.S. be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 16.743 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 100 questions? | Binary |
| 16.742 | Will mean log-odds outperform mean probability for the next 300 questions? | Binary |
| 16.198 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 15.896 | Will the US be credibly reported to have gone to DEFCON levels 3, 2 or 1 before 2025? (Level 3) | Binary |
| 14.577 | Will the United States score in the bottom 50% for academic freedom in 2025 (according to the AFI)? | Binary |
| 14.462 | Will global trade as a percentage of GWP exceed 61% by 2026? | Binary |
| 12.276 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.724 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 11.683 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.636 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 1000 questions? | Binary |
| 11.509 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 11.105 | Will Republicans win control of the US House of Representatives in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.758 | Will the Simon Institute for Longterm Governance have more than two full-time employees in 2025? | Binary |
| 10.585 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| 10.386 | What will be the price of a Taco Bell Crunchwrap Supreme in Westfield, Indiana in 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.898 | Will the UK housing market crash before July 2025? | Binary |
| 9.210 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 9.078 | Will the UK government announce that they will allow street votes to determine planning permissions by December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.362 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 300 questions? | Binary |
| 6.695 | What will the state-of-the-art performance on one-shot image classification on miniImageNet be, at 2024-12-14 in accuracy? | Continuous |
| 6.415 | When will OpenAI release an AI that significantly improves on GPT-4's factual accuracy? | Continuous |
| 6.127 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 6.036 | Will US core CPI inflation rise by more than 3% from December 2021 to December 2022? | Binary |
| 5.056 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Nishad Singh) | Binary |
| 4.887 | Will India sign the Artemis Accords before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.866 | Will the price of Beyond or Impossible plant-based ground beef go lower than conventional ground beef before April 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.995 | Will there be a Frontier AI Lab outside the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.719 | Will mean log-odds outperform median log-odds for the next 100 questions? | Binary |
| 3.270 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.122 | Will Elizabeth Truss become Leader of the UK's Conservative Party before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.236 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Caroline Ellison) | Binary |
| 1.043 | Will John McAfee receive a prison term of at least 3 years? | Binary |
| 0.678 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 0.673 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.670 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Gary Wang) | Binary |
| 0.593 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.344 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.312 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 0.258 | When will a Nobel Prize be awarded for COVID19-related accomplishments? | Continuous |
| 0.218 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 0.115 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| -0.214 | How many Metaculus users will attend the unofficial Metaculus Meetup at the Taco Bell in Westfield, Indiana on the 1st of January 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.419 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -2.904 | Will GB News be broadcasting in 2025? | Binary |
| -2.996 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -3.726 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant in 2025? | Continuous |
| -5.601 | Will Sam Altman Use Microsoft Teams before 2026? | Binary |
| -6.522 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -7.107 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| -8.089 | Who if any of the FTX/Alameda top leaders will have been convicted of a U.S. federal felony before 2026? (Sam Trabucco) | Binary |
| -8.247 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -11.899 | BTC outperforms VSS from 2021-03-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -13.765 | How much money will Open Philanthropy grant towards Scientific Research in 2025? | Continuous |
| -13.948 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| -13.948 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Conservative) | Binary |
| -15.165 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -15.912 | Will Substack be valued over $1 Billion before 2024? | Binary |
| -17.428 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -19.191 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in a non-Democracy before 2026? | Binary |
| -20.105 | Will Google block third-party cookies on Chrome before 2024? | Binary |
| -20.316 | Will Hunter Biden be indicted before November 5, 2024? | Binary |
| -25.881 | Will Pierre Poilievre become Prime Minister of Canada before 2026? | Binary |
| -30.840 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -38.626 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -46.129 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| -46.866 | Will there be a Frontier AI lab in China before 2026? | Binary |
| -51.852 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -53.630 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -56.308 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| -56.413 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -59.051 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -62.991 | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -66.701 | Will any US court rule that Donald J. Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -79.642 | By 2024, will the next Nuclear Posture Review explicitly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| -95.447 | Will Trump gain at least 10M followers on another platform? | Binary |
| -116.267 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| -168.849 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -176.245 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -270.024 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |