| 160.438 | What will be the mean consecutive length of stay by cumulative moon visitors in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 156.058 | How many members will NATO have on December 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 148.576 | How many Annex 2 states will ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty by 2024? | Continuous |
| 145.124 | How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 139.690 | How much money will the FTX Foundation distribute in 2023? | Continuous |
| 131.572 | What will the release date of the first song to be streamed 4 billion times on Spotify be? | Continuous |
| 112.364 | How many active United Nations peacekeeping missions will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 111.172 | How many nonstrategic nuclear weapons will be deployed at the end of 2023? | Continuous |
| 108.516 | How many countries will increase the number of nuclear weapons they possess by at least 10% by 2024? | Continuous |
| 107.760 | What will be the number of operational satellites in each year? (2025) | Continuous |
| 105.552 | What will the world population be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 102.511 | What will be the world population in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 102.305 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Terran R) | Continuous |
| 100.187 | How many charter cities will exist by 2026? | Continuous |
| 99.683 | Will Sam Altman be indicted before 2026? | Binary |
| 99.394 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 99.195 | Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026? | Binary |
| 99.121 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 99.096 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 99.044 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 98.676 | Will space debris kill a human on Earth by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.351 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 96.987 | Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026? | Binary |
| 96.591 | Will an AI system solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems before July 2025? | Binary |
| 96.561 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 95.885 | Will Tesla file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 95.727 | Will Boris Johnson return as the leader of the UK Conservative Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 95.189 | How many people will be living in liberal democracies in the world in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 95.039 | Will any state leave NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Centre) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Red Party) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Liberal) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Green) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Christian Democratic) | Binary |
| 95.008 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Patient Focus) | Binary |
| 94.734 | When will a song have been streamed 4 billion times on Spotify? | Continuous |
| 94.009 | Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026? | Binary |
| 93.766 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Socialist Left) | Binary |
| 93.139 | Will there be at least one human fatality in space due to space debris by 2025? | Binary |
| 91.394 | What percent of Earth's land will be protected for wildlife on the following dates? (2025) | Continuous |
| 90.618 | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 90.600 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Andrew Yang) | Binary |
| 88.779 | What will be the average inflation in Turkey from 2022 to 2024 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
| 88.463 | Will Joe Biden no longer be US President before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 87.811 | Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 87.532 | What will be the global total fertility rate in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 86.717 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 86.573 | Will Hillary Clinton be a candidate for President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 86.214 | When will the Sputnik V vaccine be approved by WHO? | Continuous |
| 85.768 | Will 2022 be the hottest year on record? | Binary |
| 85.696 | Will Romania unite with Moldova before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.783 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 84.385 | Will one or more recognized Federal Subjects of the Russian Federation break away before 2025? | Binary |
| 84.056 | Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| 82.799 | What will be the maximum number of people in space simultaneously for each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 82.122 | How many deaths due to monkeypox will be estimated to have occurred before 2023, worldwide? | Continuous |
| 82.010 | Will there be at least one fatality due to deliberate nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 81.850 | What will be the global mortality rate (in percent) for children under the age of 5 in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 81.725 | Will a non-test nuclear detonation cause at least 1 fatality before 2024? | Binary |
| 81.123 | Will Meta Platforms (Facebook) sell Instagram or WhatsApp before 2025? | Binary |
| 80.936 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (India, Israel or Pakistan) | Binary |
| 79.734 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2024) | Binary |
| 79.488 | Which party will win the most seats in the Storting in the 2025 Norwegian election? (Progress) | Binary |
| 79.427 | Will there be a deadly clash between Japanese and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 78.670 | Will Costco raise the price of its hot dog and soda combo before 2025? | Binary |
| 78.485 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 76.539 | Will there be at least one HEMP attack by 2024? | Binary |
| 76.339 | Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 76.066 | Will there be at least one fatality due to inadvertent nuclear detonation by 2024? | Binary |
| 75.490 | In 2024 or 2025, will a dispute which determines the outcome of the 2024 US Presidential Election be decided by the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 74.986 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon from 2022 through 2025? | Continuous |
| 74.924 | Will Reddit power user "maxwellhill" be confirmed to be Ghislaine Maxwell before 2026? | Binary |
| 74.830 | What will be the number of US states with building code requirements related to electric vehicles in 2025? | Continuous |
| 74.751 | Will Serena Williams win another Tennis Grand Slam? | Binary |
| 74.409 | Will there be a deadly clash between US and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 74.071 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Liz Cheney) | Binary |
| 74.058 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 73.850 | When will Julian Assange be extradited to the US? | Continuous |
| 73.402 | Will Washington D.C. become a state before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.336 | Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026? | Binary |
| 71.634 | Will SpaceX's non-launch revenue exceed its launch revenue before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.510 | Will there be a US-Iran war by 2024? | Binary |
| 71.065 | How many software developers will there be in the US in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 70.734 | Will there be a deadly clash between Indian and Chinese armed forces before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.730 | What will be the global rate of homicide deaths per 100,000 people in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 70.715 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 68.920 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Binary |
| 68.920 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (Green) | Binary |
| 68.920 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (People's) | Binary |
| 68.920 | Which party will win the most seats in the next Canadian federal election? (New Democratic) | Binary |
| 68.785 | By 2024, will Russia announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 68.120 | What will the population-weighted average life expectancy at birth be in the G7 countries in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 67.681 | Will China's GDP grow in Q2 to Q4 2022? | Binary |
| 67.585 | Will Donald Trump become speaker of the US House of Representatives before January 15, 2023? | Binary |
| 67.472 | How many spacecraft will land on the moon in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 67.194 | What will the total worldwide box office gross be for Avatar 2? | Continuous |
| 66.704 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 66.639 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Stacy Abrams) | Binary |
| 66.582 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 66.488 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 66.351 | Will the US place restrictions on the total compute capacity individuals or companies are allowed to have before 2026? | Binary |
| 66.334 | What will the US real annual growth rate be in 2022? | Continuous |
| 66.332 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Hillary Clinton) | Binary |
| 66.297 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Neutron) | Continuous |
| 66.060 | Will Scotland hold an official, sanctioned referendum on independence before May 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 65.773 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) | Binary |
| 65.647 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 65.410 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 65.119 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Elizabeth Warren) | Binary |
| 64.939 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 64.894 | How many deployed nuclear weapons will there be on December 31, 2023? | Continuous |
| 64.683 | Will USA top the Olympic Medal Table at Paris 2024? | Binary |
| 64.634 | Will there be a 10% global agricultural shortfall by 2024? | Binary |
| 64.443 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 64.369 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, secret or no new licenses) | Binary |
| 64.258 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all, allow US or int'l licensing) | Binary |
| 64.097 | What will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in the following years which are zero-emission vehicles? (2025) | Continuous |
| 63.966 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow some local licensing) | Binary |
| 63.779 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≥100 countries) | Binary |
| 63.560 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 63.503 | Will Turkey's annual inflation fall to 4% or less before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.394 | By 2024, will China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 63.210 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 61.869 | What will be the annual average retail electricity price (in 2022 US cents per kWh) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 61.596 | Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.088 | What will be the total box office gross in the US & Canada in 2022? | Continuous |
| 61.082 | What will be the maximum number of on-Earth reuses for a single booster or other rocket stage in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 61.072 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 60.886 | What will be the rate of people (per 100,000) affected by natural disasters in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 60.574 | What percent of the world population will use the internet in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 60.334 | Will these countries join the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty before 2024? (South Sudan) | Binary |
| 60.049 | Will India have at least 200 nuclear warheads at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 59.487 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny all non-US, allow US or int'l licensing) | Binary |
| 58.959 | By 2024, will Russia clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 57.745 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny ≤99 countries) | Binary |
| 57.669 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal by 2024? | Binary |
| 57.227 | How many predictions will have been made on Metaculus by the following dates? (October 1, 2025) | Continuous |
| 56.731 | What will be the number of US states with "right to charge" regulations in 2025? | Continuous |
| 56.429 | How many uncontrolled reentries will China conduct by 2025? | Continuous |
| 56.403 | By 2024, will the US announce it intends to rejoin the Open Skies Treaty? | Binary |
| 56.253 | Will there be >3,000 nonstrategic nuclear weapons at the end of 2023? | Binary |
| 55.820 | What will the US life expectancy be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 55.297 | Will the US officially state the intention to re-ratify the INF Treaty by 2024? | Binary |
| 55.239 | What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 55.134 | By 2024, will a party to the NPT withdraw from the treaty? | Binary |
| 53.792 | If Trump is disqualified from holding the presidency, will that disqualification be ruled unconstitutional before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 53.713 | When will the UK hold its next general election? | Continuous |
| 53.514 | Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 53.406 | What will be world per capita primary energy consumption (in kWh) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 53.404 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 53.360 | Will there be a deadly clash between Russian and NATO armed forces before 2024, without US involvement? | Binary |
| 53.224 | What will the UK's Index of Economic Freedom score be for 2025? | Continuous |
| 52.725 | Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 51.285 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (No Labels) | Continuous |
| 51.241 | Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025? | Binary |
| 51.021 | What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 50.081 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 49.424 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2024? | Binary |
| 48.586 | Will more than 500 combatants die as a result of an armed conflict in the Balkans by 2025? | Binary |
| 48.502 | By 2024, will a nuclear-armed state other than the US, Russia, or China clearly and publicly affirm that decisions to authorize nuclear weapons employment must only be made by humans? | Binary |
| 48.335 | What will productivity be in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 47.917 | What will be the rate of deaths (per 100,000 people) from global conflict in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 47.801 | Will a US court fine, or order a company to pay to claimants, >=$100M because of how they used data to train a large AI model before 2026? | Binary |
| 47.682 | Will more than 2,500 nuclear weapons be ready for use at short notice at the end of 2023, according to the most recent FAS estimates? | Binary |
| 47.456 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 46.727 | When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election? (2024) | Binary |
| 45.806 | Will the US or California require licenses to train large AI models before 2026? | Binary |
| 45.777 | What will world real GDP growth per capita be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 45.743 | Will 2022 be warmer than 2021? | Binary |
| 45.700 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Forward) | Continuous |
| 45.606 | How many chickens will be slaughtered for meat globally in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 44.339 | What will be the share of light vehicles sold globally which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 44.179 | Will Freedom House report that internet freedom has declined every year until 2025? | Binary |
| 43.981 | Will Virgin Galactic file for bankruptcy protection before 2026? | Binary |
| 43.722 | Will there be fewer than 6 conservative justices on the SCOTUS on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.688 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2025) | Binary |
| 43.552 | What percent of global primary energy will come from nuclear fission or fusion power in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 43.446 | What will the US effective fed funds rate be in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 42.917 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United States) | Binary |
| 42.551 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 42.497 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 42.212 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 41.718 | Will the US restrict access outside the US to some APIs to generative AI before 2026? | Binary |
| 41.713 | What will global CO2 emissions (in tonnes) be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 41.174 | What will be the median estimated range (in miles) of all-electric vehicles available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) for the following model years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 41.108 | Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before 2026? | Binary |
| 39.729 | Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026? (Deny some entities) | Binary |
| 37.658 | What percent of the world's primary energy will come from fossil fuels in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 37.066 | When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally? | Continuous |
| 36.910 | Will Kamala Harris be a candidate for President in the 2024 cycle? | Binary |
| 36.664 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Libertarian) | Continuous |
| 36.563 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (June 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 36.432 | How many Falcon 9 failures will there be before 2026? | Continuous |
| 36.031 | Will state-based conflict between Israel and Iran cause at least 1,000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.571 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2025) | Continuous |
| 35.174 | In the 2024 US Presidential election, will any state officially submit results to the electoral college that are different from the projected winner of that state? | Binary |
| 34.970 | How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 33.498 | How many Electoral College votes will the Democratic Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 33.210 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q4 (FY2025, ends Jan 2025)) | Continuous |
| 32.580 | What will the world rice yield be (in tonnes per hectare) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 30.883 | Will Twitter flag any tweet by the New York Times as misinformation before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.852 | What percent of the total rockets launched into space in each year will have been reused? (2025) | Continuous |
| 30.707 | What will be the median cost of a visit to space for a private citizen? (2025) | Continuous |
| 30.700 | What percent of Earth's marine area will be protected for wildlife on the following dates? (2025) | Continuous |
| 30.450 | Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models? | Binary |
| 30.049 | Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025? | Binary |
| 29.708 | What will be the annual average retail gasoline price (in 2022 USD per gallon) in the United States in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 29.677 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (March 31, 2025) | Continuous |
| 29.608 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 27.959 | Will OpenAI release an LLM product or API that hallucinates 5x less than GPT-4 did when it was released, by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 27.461 | Will Donald J. Trump run for the office of President of the United States in 2024? | Binary |
| 26.742 | Will Apple allow side-loading or other app stores on their iPhones before 2026? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| 24.594 | Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 per unit before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.528 | Will the US CDC sponsor or support a nationwide metagenomic sequencing program before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.067 | Will women be required to register for US Selective Service before 2024? | Binary |
| 23.631 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Republican) | Continuous |
| 23.534 | What percent of the popular vote will be won by these parties in the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Democratic) | Continuous |
| 23.161 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2024) | Continuous |
| 22.809 | How many missile test events will North Korea conduct in 2022 and 2023? | Continuous |
| 22.720 | What percentage of Hispanic or Latino voters will vote Republican in 2024? | Continuous |
| 22.399 | By November 15, 2023, will President Biden officially declare his campaign for re-election? | Binary |
| 20.944 | How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 20.208 | Will an additional state join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.426 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 18.935 | Will at least two states each increase the size of their nuclear weapons arsenals by at least 25% by 2024? | Binary |
| 18.550 | What will be the largest payload capacity (in tons) of a successfully reused launch vehicle in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 16.894 | Will France place in the Top 5 at the 2024 Paris Olympics? | Binary |
| 16.014 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (5: Negotiations initiated) | Continuous |
| 14.668 | What will be the share of zero-emission vehicle federal fleet procurements in the United States in the following fiscal years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 14.144 | When will FromSoftware release Elden Ring? | Continuous |
| 13.954 | Will the US require purchasers of large numbers of GPUs to report their usage before 2026? | Binary |
| 13.711 | What will be the speed (in FLOPS) of the fastest supercomputer on record in the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 13.446 | Will Sarah Sanders be on the Republican ticket in the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 13.389 | Will Brazil continue to be the largest producer of soybeans in the world in 2022? | Binary |
| 13.025 | By 2025, will a majority of US Intelligence Community organizations support a lab leak hypothesis for SARS-CoV-2 over a natural origin hypothesis? | Binary |
| 12.886 | Will the International Criminal Court bring charges against Benjamin Netanyahu before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.573 | What will be the cumulative number of private citizens visiting space for the first time? (2025) | Continuous |
| 12.509 | Will Norway leave EEA before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.323 | How many North Atlantic hurricanes will occur in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 12.258 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Ariane 6) | Continuous |
| 12.198 | Will Nigeria have a coup before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.937 | Will the GOP control the Senate after the 2024 elections? | Binary |
| 11.531 | When will Skyroot Aerospace successfully launch their first satellite into space? | Continuous |
| 11.414 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Vulcan Centaur) | Continuous |
| 11.245 | What will China’s GDP be in 2023? | Continuous |
| 11.231 | When will OpenAI release an AI that significantly improves on GPT-4's factual accuracy? | Continuous |
| 11.205 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (4: Negotiations approved) | Continuous |
| 10.754 | When will a SpaceX Starship launched as a second stage reach an altitude of 100 kilometers? | Continuous |
| 10.584 | Will the US forgive $10,000 of federal student loans per person before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.517 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (New Glenn) | Continuous |
| 9.497 | What will be the number of satellites launched in each of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 9.256 | How many states will have legally enforceable rules that are at least as stringent as Advanced Clean Cars II on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| 9.085 | What will the Womens winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 9.014 | What percentage of the US 2024 presidential popular vote will the Democratic and Republican parties (combined) receive? | Continuous |
| 8.827 | Will spending on US office construction be less than $77 Billion USD in 2022? | Binary |
| 8.686 | What will the Men's winning 100m time in the 2024 Olympic Final be? | Continuous |
| 8.281 | Will the SEC approve any bitcoin ETF before January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.599 | How many Electoral College votes will the Republican Party nominee win in the 2024 presidential election? | Continuous |
| 7.528 | Will the US enact export controls for some generative AI software before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.046 | Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.492 | Will Amazon accept Bitcoin before 2024? | Binary |
| 5.640 | Will China have at least 420 nuclear warheads on December 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 5.350 | How many flights will the Mars Helicopter, Ingenuity, make in its lifetime? | Continuous |
| 5.007 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Futbol Club Barcelona) | Binary |
| 5.007 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Internacional de Fútbol Miami) | Binary |
| 5.007 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Al-Hilal Saudi Football Club) | Binary |
| 5.007 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Club Atlético Newell's Old Boys) | Binary |
| 5.007 | Which football club will Lionel Messi next join as a club player? (Manchester City Football Club) | Binary |
| 4.884 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Labour) | Continuous |
| 4.069 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (September 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 3.897 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 3.824 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrat) | Continuous |
| 2.845 | What will Bitcoin's percentage of total crypto market capitalization be in 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.799 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Greens) | Continuous |
| 1.835 | What will be total annual investment (in 2021 USD) in AI companies in the world in the listed years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 1.698 | When will Google Bard be generally available in the European Union? | Continuous |
| 0.985 | Will any member of the Trump family join Substack by Nov 3, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.760 | Will Sam Altman return to OpenAI as CEO before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.653 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Alliance) | Continuous |
| 0.644 | Will Labour have a majority in the House of Commons after the next UK General Election? | Binary |
| 0.455 | Will Donald J. Trump be allowed to operate a Twitter account before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.400 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Reform) | Continuous |
| 0.063 | Will the Taliban capture the Presidential Palace in Kabul by 2026-09-11? | Binary |
| - | Will Bitcoin outperform VTI from 2021-Mar-01 until 2026? | Binary |
| -2.349 | How many seats will each party win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| -2.599 | Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -10.709 | Will Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed experience a significant leadership disruption before 2025? | Binary |
| -16.030 | What will be the share of people living in countries where same-sex marriage is legal in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -16.933 | When will the next UK general election take place? | Continuous |
| -21.381 | Will Magnus Carlsen compete in the next World Chess Championship match? | Binary |
| -22.233 | Will Apple adopt RCS technology for iPhones before 2026? | Binary |
| -24.274 | Will Mike Pence be a candidate for US President in the 2024 Elections? | Binary |
| -24.514 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2023, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -25.534 | Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter before 2025? | Binary |
| -26.449 | When will a SpaceX Starship reach orbit? | Continuous |
| -26.828 | What will be the highest estimated computation (in FLOP) used in large AI training runs by the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -39.840 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2023) | Binary |
| -46.315 | Will someone agree to participate in a Rootclaim challenge before 2025? | Binary |
| -47.148 | Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025? | Binary |
| -48.291 | What will US inflation be in 2022? | Continuous |
| -53.693 | When will the Mars helicopter Ingenuity stop making successful flights for 6 months? | Continuous |
| -67.038 | When will each of these steps happen in Ukraine's EU accession process? (3: Negotiations recommended) | Continuous |
| -69.765 | When will the following vehicles launch into orbit? (Starship) | Continuous |
| -101.130 | Will the US enter a recession before the following dates? (2024) | Binary |
| -105.825 | How many medals will the USA win at Paris 2024? | Continuous |
| -118.718 | Will SciHub or a successor organisation exist and be uploading new articles in 2023? | Binary |
| -126.873 | How many plug-in electric vehicle sales will there be in the US in 2022? | Continuous |
| -131.907 | Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party nominee for President of the United States on election day in 2024? | Binary |
| -162.482 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -209.275 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |