| 212.997 | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 165.563 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 132.669 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 114.020 | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 109.184 | How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 98.772 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 98.762 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 98.751 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 98.724 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 98.687 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 98.584 | Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025 (No) → Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025? | Binary |
| 98.419 | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 98.389 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 98.219 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.958 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.899 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 97.820 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.718 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 97.445 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.105 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 97.046 | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.712 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 96.350 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 96.229 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 96.154 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 95.908 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 95.269 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 95.269 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 95.117 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 94.935 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 94.872 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 94.818 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 94.760 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 94.755 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 94.524 | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 94.292 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 93.814 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 93.764 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 93.447 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 93.274 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 93.045 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 92.799 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 92.732 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 92.499 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.179 | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 91.972 | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 91.902 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 91.615 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 91.582 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 91.175 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 91.090 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 90.868 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 90.511 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 90.237 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 90.229 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 89.723 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 89.528 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 88.878 | What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 88.878 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 88.862 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 88.861 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 88.861 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 88.411 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 87.855 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 87.488 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 86.827 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 86.675 | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.293 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 86.084 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 86.083 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 86.083 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 86.041 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 85.495 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 84.170 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 84.123 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 84.052 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 83.956 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 83.712 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.434 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.252 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 83.222 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 82.412 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.251 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 81.736 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 81.597 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 81.559 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 81.186 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 81.033 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 80.905 | Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025? | Binary |
| 80.869 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 80.566 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 80.364 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.198 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 78.736 | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.357 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 78.356 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 77.079 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 76.398 | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 76.223 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 76.056 | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 75.724 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 74.875 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 73.174 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 72.305 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 72.265 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 72.144 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 71.459 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.185 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 71.185 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 70.848 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 70.650 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 70.187 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 68.936 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 68.502 | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 67.028 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 66.539 | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 66.035 | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.031 | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 64.899 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 64.889 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 64.692 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 64.500 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 62.779 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 61.662 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 61.042 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 60.242 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.754 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 59.681 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 59.668 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 59.443 | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 57.681 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 57.676 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 57.355 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 57.023 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 56.826 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 56.363 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 55.900 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 55.900 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 55.552 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 55.001 | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 54.266 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 54.219 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 54.202 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 54.176 | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 53.326 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 52.879 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 52.210 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 48.669 | What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD? (2024) | Continuous |
| 48.554 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 48.550 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 48.462 | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 48.186 | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.838 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 47.601 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 46.511 | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 43.515 | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 40.649 | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.461 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 39.948 | What will be the share of light vehicles sold globally which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 39.785 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 39.069 | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 38.426 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 37.845 | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 37.706 | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 35.587 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 34.386 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 34.386 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 31.469 | Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.052 | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.935 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 29.243 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 29.134 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 29.022 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 28.733 | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 26.951 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 24.631 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 24.607 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 24.536 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 24.105 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 22.606 | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 21.749 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 21.571 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 20.954 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 20.182 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 19.074 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 17.788 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 17.601 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 17.559 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 17.086 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 16.842 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 16.498 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 16.498 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 16.326 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 15.747 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 13.696 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 13.635 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 11.448 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 11.286 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.135 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 10.969 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 10.672 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 10.514 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 10.513 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 9.461 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 8.899 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.301 | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 7.421 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 7.416 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 7.397 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 7.397 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 7.393 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 7.377 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 7.293 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 6.877 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 6.054 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 5.345 | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.286 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 1.357 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 1.321 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 1.282 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 1.217 | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.924 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.882 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.343 | Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024? (Yes) → Joe Biden Impeached by House? | Binary |
| 0.023 | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| 0.010 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| - | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| -0.002 | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| -1.265 | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -2.036 | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| -3.274 | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -14.317 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -17.123 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -17.476 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -22.268 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -24.425 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -26.626 | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| -58.103 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| -68.169 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| -77.666 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| -93.863 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| -127.675 | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| -129.646 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -191.224 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |