99.670 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
98.567 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
98.567 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
97.829 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
95.289 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
94.759 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
94.606 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
94.598 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
93.936 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
92.445 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
91.969 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
91.785 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
91.504 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
91.039 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
90.107 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
90.020 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
89.370 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
85.055 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
84.653 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
84.647 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
83.618 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
82.502 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
82.139 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
81.701 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
81.205 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
80.705 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
80.249 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
78.539 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
77.438 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
76.937 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
76.878 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
76.695 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
76.105 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
75.627 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
75.207 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
75.075 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
74.981 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
73.996 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
73.954 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
73.410 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
73.266 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
72.979 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
72.423 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
72.236 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
71.246 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
70.834 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
70.555 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
70.555 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
69.932 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
69.648 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
69.591 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
68.930 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
68.304 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
67.945 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
67.142 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
65.931 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
65.066 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
64.581 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
63.303 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
59.999 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
58.803 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
58.422 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
57.385 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
54.866 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
54.028 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
53.409 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
52.380 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
51.397 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
49.734 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
49.398 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
46.569 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
46.561 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
46.077 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
45.819 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
45.263 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
44.870 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
43.079 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
41.637 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
39.767 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
39.074 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
38.793 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
38.150 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
37.630 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
34.828 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
34.780 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
34.411 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
32.359 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
31.137 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
30.841 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
30.255 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
29.731 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
29.666 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
29.537 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
29.352 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
28.994 | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
26.007 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
24.264 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
24.130 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
23.800 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
23.513 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
23.214 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
23.145 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
21.953 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
21.381 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
21.128 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
20.961 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
19.328 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
18.529 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
17.564 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
17.355 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
17.077 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
16.254 | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
15.159 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
14.140 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
14.103 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
12.672 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
12.455 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
11.068 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
10.843 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
8.420 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
7.739 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
6.314 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-0.292 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-1.483 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
-2.440 | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
-3.936 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-4.250 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
-7.231 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
-8.286 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
-11.325 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
-11.401 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-11.880 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-12.129 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
-12.254 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-14.369 | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
-14.655 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-15.153 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-17.814 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
-18.099 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-20.956 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-22.377 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-24.897 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-34.829 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-37.111 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-45.606 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-49.096 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
-49.199 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-50.753 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
-54.377 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-55.848 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-57.321 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
-63.081 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-67.333 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-68.464 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-69.189 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-70.323 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-81.969 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
-83.731 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-92.349 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-96.562 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-103.074 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-104.209 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
-108.272 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
-124.047 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
-125.665 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
-151.760 | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
-160.173 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
-165.702 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
-188.598 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-215.327 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-259.084 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-317.172 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-338.453 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
-439.667 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
-660.840 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
-691.539 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-873.963 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |