| 92.546 | Will the United States Department of Justice indict the Federal Reserve before May 2026? | Binary |
| 90.168 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 89.510 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 85.278 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 81.459 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 80.706 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 74.368 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 73.315 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 72.328 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 70.646 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 70.461 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 69.416 | Will global tensions push New York yellow globes over $10 per sack in April 2026? | Binary |
| 69.219 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (ΑΜΖΝ) | Continuous |
| 68.801 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 67.169 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 65.558 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 65.458 | How many Oscars will Sinners win at the 2026 Academy Awards? | Continuous |
| 64.905 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 62.714 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 62.539 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 62.322 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 61.300 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 60.553 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 60.093 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 59.017 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 57.656 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 56.607 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 55.892 | What will the first reported revenues after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 55.884 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 55.573 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 55.267 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 55.130 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 54.736 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 54.070 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Nepali House of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 53.470 | What will Finland score on the 2026 World Happiness Report? | Continuous |
| 52.187 | Will there be at least one podium sweep at the 2026 Winter Olympic Games? | Binary |
| 51.688 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.093 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 50.524 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| 49.404 | How many runs will be scored in the knockout stage of the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Continuous |
| 47.778 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 47.135 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 47.107 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 47.022 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 46.042 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 45.701 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 45.484 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.194 | Which Party will win the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.277 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 42.326 | How many charges will the ICC confirm against Rodrigo Duterte before May 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.751 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 40.369 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 40.316 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.047 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| 39.791 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 39.536 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 39.166 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 39.026 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 38.814 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 38.155 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 37.932 | Which of these market indexes will perform the best during April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.795 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 36.114 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 35.892 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 35.208 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 34.891 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 32.889 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 32.075 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 32.051 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 30.771 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 30.210 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 30.054 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.930 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.174 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| 28.715 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 27.406 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 27.046 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.857 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 26.763 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 25.672 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 25.282 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 25.025 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 24.706 | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.210 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 23.777 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 23.388 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 23.262 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 21.724 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.781 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 20.339 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 20.022 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.046 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| 19.003 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.502 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 17.809 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 17.795 | Which Bloc will form the 2026 Danish Government? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.630 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 16.962 | What will the United States score on the 2025 Corruption Perceptions Index? | Continuous |
| 16.040 | What will be the abstention rate in the first round of the 2026 French municipal elections? | Continuous |
| 15.983 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.510 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.970 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 14.084 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 11.282 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 9.922 | Will Laura Fernández Delgado win the Costa Rican presidential election? | Binary |
| 7.782 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (US) | Continuous |
| 7.180 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| 5.115 | Will another U.S. cabinet member leave office before May 2026? | Binary |
| 4.648 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 1.759 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| 0.725 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| 0.647 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| 0.587 | When will Claude Fable 5 next be publicly accessible? (Globally) | Continuous |
| 0.375 | How many dissenting votes will there be at the January 28, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.256 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -0.866 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -1.880 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.487 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -2.955 | Will the United States attempt to occupy or blockade Kharg Island during 2026? | Binary |
| -3.249 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| -7.158 | When will the 2026 US partial government shutdown end? | Continuous |
| -7.576 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -7.710 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -8.053 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -9.351 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -9.637 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -14.904 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -18.666 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -21.397 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| -24.232 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -30.954 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -32.126 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -35.496 | How many maritime piracy & armed robbery incidents will the International Maritime Bureau report for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| -36.847 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -38.162 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -40.775 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 2 - Feb 13) | Continuous |
| -41.131 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q4 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -42.498 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -43.800 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -46.617 | Will the United States attack Iran before April 2026? | Binary |
| -47.332 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| -48.099 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -48.253 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| -49.247 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -52.768 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 2 - Mar 13) | Continuous |
| -53.349 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -63.272 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -63.866 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 19 - Jan 30) | Continuous |
| -75.825 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Feb 16 - Feb 27) | Continuous |
| -80.301 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| -93.964 | What rank will the top bot achieve in the Spring 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| -95.588 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Mar 16 - Mar 27) | Continuous |
| -102.127 | How much will "Michael" gross domestically during the film's opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -108.432 | What will the first reported earnings per share after December 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| -135.323 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| -143.475 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| -164.158 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -197.998 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -214.709 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |