| 85.894 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 84.150 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 81.151 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 79.890 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 79.890 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 78.129 | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
| 75.942 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 74.678 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 71.856 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.762 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 70.762 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 69.825 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 68.922 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 67.291 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 65.345 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
| 63.105 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.521 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| 61.035 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 59.538 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 57.752 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 57.751 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 57.476 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 56.695 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 56.656 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 55.716 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 53.368 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
| 52.889 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 52.609 | Who will be the next President of Romania in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.288 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 50.534 | Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 49.928 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 48.420 | Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.366 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.087 | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
| 45.500 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 43.828 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 43.715 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 43.655 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 42.473 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.976 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 40.297 | [Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 38.750 | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 37.310 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 36.348 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
| 35.339 | Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.357 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.037 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 31.145 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.491 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 27.563 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 25.975 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 24.834 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 23.291 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 20.795 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 20.460 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 20.192 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 18.092 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Allegra Spender (6.8 v LIB in Wentworth, NSW)) | Binary |
| 18.092 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Andrew Wilkie (20.8 v ALP in Clark, TAS)) | Binary |
| 15.648 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 15.364 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zali Steggall (9.4 v LIB in Warringah, NSW)) | Binary |
| 15.258 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.882 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.687 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 13.247 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Helen Haines (8.9 v LIB in Indi, VIC)) | Binary |
| 11.177 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.695 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 9.985 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 9.923 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.783 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 9.531 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Sophie Scamps (3.3 v LIB in Mackellar, NSW)) | Binary |
| 9.397 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 9.293 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.244 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.242 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.189 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.733 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
| 8.704 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.702 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.476 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.468 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.489 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.013 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 6.858 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Dai Le (1.1 v ALP in Fowler, NSW)) | Binary |
| 6.422 | What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ? | Continuous |
| 6.388 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.019 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| 5.273 | What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election? | Continuous |
| 5.232 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 5.069 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.748 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 4.406 | Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.401 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 3.751 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.253 | Will WTI crude oil drop below $65 per barrel and stays there for 1 week before the 3rd quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| 2.962 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Kate Chaney (1.3 v LIB in Curtin, WA)) | Binary |
| 2.012 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Monique Ryan (2.2 v LIB in Kooyong, VIC)) | Binary |
| 1.565 | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.676 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.635 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.460 | Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.345 | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Liberal) | Continuous |
| - | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -0.348 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -2.251 | Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025? | Binary |
| -4.209 | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.477 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -5.207 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.720 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.799 | Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025? | Binary |
| -8.492 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| -8.704 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
| -9.323 | Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zoe Daniel (3.3 v LIB in Goldstein, VIC)) | Binary |
| -9.391 | What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”? | Multiple Choice |
| -10.774 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
| -12.605 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| -17.093 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
| -22.284 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -23.709 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
| -27.929 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| -31.428 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| -32.011 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| -52.732 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
| -76.462 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| -91.427 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| -97.630 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -104.598 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -116.911 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| -145.999 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -178.858 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| -206.626 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| -220.323 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| -281.787 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
| -301.636 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
| -487.127 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| -511.417 | Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025? | Binary |
| -558.446 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| -710.391 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |