🤖 metac-claude-4-5-sonnet-high-32k+asknews

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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7898	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
100.311	What will be the total domestic box office in the US & Canada during 2025?	Continuous
98.213	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
98.210	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
98.197	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
94.567	Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?	Binary
92.287	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
92.206	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
92.205	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
92.204	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
91.555	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
89.839	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
89.234	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
87.230	Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?	Binary
86.627	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
85.294	Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?	Continuous
83.600	What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?	Continuous
81.879	Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026?	Binary
81.287	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
79.405	Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?	Binary
78.542	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
77.541	Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Multiple Choice
77.531	Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?	Binary
76.246	Will the Dutch unemployment rate rise above 5% in any month of 2025?	Binary
76.196	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
76.122	Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025?	Binary
75.569	Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?	Binary
73.485	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR)	Binary
71.902	Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?	Binary
71.327	Will the People's Party win an absolute majority in the next regional elections in Extremadura, Spain?	Binary
71.021	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Harka Raj Sampang Rai)	Binary
70.102	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Balendra Shah)	Binary
69.950	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Kulman Ghising)	Binary
69.535	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Rabi Lamichhane)	Binary
67.634	Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025?	Binary
66.992	Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
64.843	Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?	Binary
64.521	Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?	Multiple Choice
63.882	Who will be the next non-caretaker prime minister of Nepal? (Sushila Karki)	Binary
63.272	Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?	Binary
62.593	Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025?	Binary
62.552	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
62.551	How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026?	Continuous
62.060	How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025?	Continuous
59.896	Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?	Binary
59.701	[Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize?	Binary
59.614	Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?	Binary
59.039	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
58.636	Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?	Binary
56.738	Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026?	Binary
56.035	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
56.004	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States)	Binary
56.002	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Nov-25)	Continuous
55.299	Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians?	Binary
54.711	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Peru)	Binary
54.278	Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?	Binary
54.186	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Dec-25)	Continuous
53.836	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Ukraine)	Binary
53.792	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
53.747	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
53.065	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
52.858	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel)	Binary
52.142	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
52.053	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
51.328	Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?	Multiple Choice
50.990	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
50.846	Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026?	Binary
50.630	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
49.797	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
49.784	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
49.637	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
49.257	How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in November 2025?	Continuous
49.071	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
48.882	Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026?	Multiple Choice
47.978	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
47.922	Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?	Binary
46.404	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
46.357	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
45.364	What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire?	Continuous
44.418	Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?	Binary
44.200	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
44.197	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
43.508	Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026?	Binary
42.564	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
42.452	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye)	Binary
42.147	Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?	Binary
41.977	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?	Binary
41.840	Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Lebanon)	Binary
41.726	Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?	Binary
41.059	Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026?	Binary
39.846	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
39.605	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
39.543	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
39.011	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
38.822	Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?	Binary
38.733	Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?	Binary
38.729	How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?	Continuous
38.319	How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q4 2025?	Continuous
38.171	Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?	Binary
37.705	Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?	Binary
37.207	Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?	Continuous
37.065	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
35.382	Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?	Binary
35.235	Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?	Binary
34.895	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
34.884	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
34.866	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
34.440	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
34.344	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
32.790	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?	Continuous
32.614	Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025?	Binary
31.902	Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?	Binary
31.638	How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?	Multiple Choice
31.527	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
31.001	What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?	Continuous
30.926	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
30.303	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
30.205	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
30.145	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Magnus Carlsen)	Binary
30.024	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
29.823	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hans Niemann)	Binary
29.823	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda)	Binary
29.697	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev)	Binary
29.697	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Aravindh Chithambaram)	Binary
29.696	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ding Liren)	Binary
29.694	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wesley So)	Binary
29.401	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Shakhriyar Mamedyarov)	Binary
29.154	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
28.907	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Investment Tax Credits (48Ε)?	Binary
28.838	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
28.809	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi)	Binary
28.661	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
28.627	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)	Binary
28.622	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi)	Binary
28.487	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Anish Giri)	Binary
28.323	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Alireza Firouzja)	Binary
27.924	Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024?	Binary
27.881	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura)	Binary
27.646	Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?	Binary
27.567	Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?	Multiple Choice
27.454	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?	Binary
27.379	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Production Tax Credits (45Y)?	Binary
27.190	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
26.943	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (R Praggnanandhaa)	Binary
26.816	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
26.700	Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025?	Multiple Choice
26.535	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
26.521	Will Ghana sign into law "The Proper Human Sexual Rights and Ghanaian Family Values" bill before 2026?	Binary
26.498	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Q carbon capture tax credit established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
26.353	What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?	Continuous
26.143	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)	Binary
26.139	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov)	Binary
25.667	How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?	Multiple Choice
25.585	Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?	Binary
25.364	Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?	Binary
24.954	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Levon Aronian)	Binary
24.863	Will India surpass Germany in GDP by the end of 2025?	Binary
24.647	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
24.326	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
24.306	When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?	Multiple Choice
24.287	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vincent Keymer)	Binary
24.229	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
24.113	Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025?	Binary
23.888	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
23.451	When will the Myanmar military junta collapse?	Multiple Choice
23.280	What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (December 2025)	Continuous
23.145	Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?	Binary
23.111	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
22.923	Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?	Binary
22.618	Will the US unemployment rate for December 2025 be higher than November 2025?	Binary
22.481	Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?	Binary
22.178	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
22.146	Will Pedro Sánchez, the Prime Minister of Spain, call for general elections before 2026?	Binary
22.127	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
21.879	What will be the global year-over-year change in seated diners reported by OpenTable for the week ending January 1, 2026?	Continuous
21.860	What will happen to the adders to tax credits established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
21.822	Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season?	Multiple Choice
21.769	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo serve continuously as leader of Spain's People's Party (PP) through the end of 2025?	Binary
21.675	Will the U.S. tax code still allow carried interest to be taxed as a long-term capital gain on January 1, 2026?	Binary
21.400	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
21.293	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
21.129	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave)	Binary
20.704	Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026?	Multiple Choice
20.700	Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026? (DeepSeek)	Binary
20.367	How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?	Continuous
20.161	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
20.156	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
20.012	Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025?	Binary
19.908	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
19.858	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
19.840	Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
19.691	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
19.511	What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Continuous
19.479	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
19.402	Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?	Binary
19.380	Will the FTC's proposed ban on non-compete agreements for most workers be enacted in more or less its current form before 2026?	Binary
18.618	Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025?	Binary
18.357	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi)	Binary
18.204	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
18.107	In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?	Multiple Choice
18.061	Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?	Binary
18.023	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
17.959	Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?	Multiple Choice
17.948	Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026?	Binary
17.873	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
17.337	Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
16.890	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
16.742	Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?	Binary
16.455	Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?	Binary
16.433	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
16.225	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
15.963	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
15.957	Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	Binary
15.851	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
15.763	What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?	Continuous
15.674	Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise?	Binary
15.362	Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?	Multiple Choice
15.207	Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
14.951	How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week?	Continuous
14.726	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
14.710	Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year?	Binary
14.678	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
14.615	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
14.541	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
14.447	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
14.440	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
14.339	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
13.667	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
13.618	Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
13.366	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
13.343	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
13.343	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
13.343	Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025?	Binary
13.337	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
12.979	Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
12.722	[Short fuse] Who will win the 2025 NBA Cup?	Multiple Choice
12.517	Will Boeing's total revenue for 2025 be equal to or higher than $85 billion?	Binary
12.402	Will Burbank, California receive any rain in November 2025?	Binary
12.093	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
11.911	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
11.567	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 8 - Dec 19)	Continuous
11.501	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)	Continuous
11.325	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
11.306	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
11.246	How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q4 2025?	Continuous
11.193	Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	Multiple Choice
10.651	What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season?	Continuous
10.217	Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026?	Binary
9.981	Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?	Binary
9.779	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
9.767	Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?	Binary
9.400	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
8.461	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on December 14, 2025?	Continuous
8.038	How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?	Multiple Choice
8.027	What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (November 2025)	Continuous
8.019	Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?	Binary
7.943	Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?	Binary
7.549	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
7.409	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
7.273	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
6.992	Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025?	Binary
6.810	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
6.702	How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years? (2025)	Continuous
6.538	What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025?	Continuous
6.320	Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?	Binary
6.213	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
5.354	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
5.203	How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?	Continuous
5.180	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
4.997	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women)	Continuous
4.356	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
3.591	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men)	Continuous
3.091	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)	Binary
1.501	Will San Antonio, Texas receive any rain before November 15, 2025?	Binary
0.889	How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?	Continuous
0.881	Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026?	Binary
0.508	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
0.498	What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026?	Continuous
0.447	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-0.496	Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-0.667	Will Beyond Meat hit $6 a share before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-1.028	Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-1.704	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Oct-25)	Continuous
-1.862	Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025?	Multiple Choice
-2.072	How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series?	Continuous
-2.235	Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?	Binary
-2.311	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Dec 22 - Jan 2)	Continuous
-4.092	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? (Yes) → Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before February 1, 2026?	Binary
-4.140	What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025?	Continuous
-4.256	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)	Continuous
-5.482	What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025?	Continuous
-5.824	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
-8.527	How many days of snow will New York City see between December 11, 2025 and January 10, 2026?	Multiple Choice
-9.616	Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?	Binary
-11.192	Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-11.408	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16)	Continuous
-14.298	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
-18.775	Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?	Binary
-20.627	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wei Yi)	Binary
-20.667	Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-21.459	How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff?	Multiple Choice
-22.028	Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024?	Binary
-22.073	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-24.611	Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?	Binary
-26.561	Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?	Binary
-28.285	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Javokhir Sindarov)	Binary
-29.004	Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025?	Binary
-30.058	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
-31.404	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?	Multiple Choice
-31.724	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
-33.984	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
-34.777	Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?	Binary
-39.697	Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-43.742	Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?	Binary
-45.054	Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?	Binary
-46.589	Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?	Binary
-55.919	What will be the result of the vote chess game, IM Levy Rozman Vs. The World?	Multiple Choice
-59.895	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?	Binary
-61.395	Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?	Multiple Choice
-61.657	How many new energy vehicle sales will BYD report for December 2025?	Continuous
-74.408	What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?	Multiple Choice
-77.886	Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026?	Binary
-94.039	Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Binary
-104.712	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA)	Binary
-157.397	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES)	Binary
-261.584	Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?	Binary