| 89.747 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 75.112 | Will the Trump administration or a GOP state governor deploy armed officers or troops to a polling or early voting site in 2026? | Binary |
| 69.274 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 69.095 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 68.962 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 67.855 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 62.087 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 61.910 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 56.169 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.012 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 51.602 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 51.414 | Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026? | Binary |
| 51.106 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| 46.284 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| 45.368 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| 44.753 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| 44.022 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| 43.748 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 43.622 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| 42.672 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 42.253 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| 41.206 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| 40.165 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Microsoft) | Continuous |
| 37.994 | Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.895 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.360 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| 35.378 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 35.225 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 34.546 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| 34.147 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.487 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.378 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| 30.942 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.733 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 29.962 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 29.930 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Checking code for potential issues) | Continuous |
| 29.360 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 27.605 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Writing boilerplate, repetitive code) | Continuous |
| 26.716 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 26.552 | What will be the winning margin in Brazil’s 2026 presidential election runoff? | Continuous |
| 25.965 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 23.753 | Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.683 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 21.380 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.622 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 20.438 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.370 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.700 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 18.040 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 17.410 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.301 | Which party will win the 2026 Montana Senate election? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.983 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.667 | Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.658 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 14.695 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 13.719 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 13.548 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 13.494 | Which party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.768 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 12.313 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Oregon) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Rhode Island) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Louisiana) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Arkansas) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Kentucky) | Binary |
| 11.698 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Idaho) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Hawaii) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Oregon) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (South Carolina) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Nebraska) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Vermont) | Binary |
| 11.560 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 11.533 | Which party will win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.543 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 10.488 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 10.122 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Improving or optimizing code) | Continuous |
| 10.035 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 9.058 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 8.617 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.850 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 7.704 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Understanding recent code changes) | Continuous |
| 7.608 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.433 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 7.243 | Will Donald Trump declare a national emergency related to election integrity before November 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 7.144 | Will Missouri's 2026 Amendment 3 pass, repealing the 2024 abortion-rights protections? | Binary |
| 6.300 | Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.856 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 5.731 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| 5.115 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 4.983 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| 3.866 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 3.743 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.833 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 2.743 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 2.479 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 2.362 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 2.259 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 1.692 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 1.592 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 1.384 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| 0.793 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 0.437 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI coding will decrease the demand for professional developers? | Continuous |
| - | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -0.407 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -0.812 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| -1.649 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -1.904 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -5.135 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -5.234 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Apr 6 - Apr 17) | Continuous |
| -5.276 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| -5.537 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -6.480 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI will eventually fully replace human developers? | Continuous |
| -7.462 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -8.214 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| -8.474 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -12.100 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -12.679 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -13.110 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| -13.875 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (Kansas) | Binary |
| -15.033 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -16.098 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -18.269 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -19.311 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -21.819 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| -26.205 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Debugging) | Continuous |
| -27.201 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 US Senate election in the following states? (South Carolina) | Binary |
| -29.606 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -30.830 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| -32.069 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| -34.318 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -40.959 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -42.335 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| -48.454 | What first round vote share will Iliana Iotova win in the 2026 Bulgarian Presidential election? | Continuous |
| -55.502 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| -56.495 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| -62.708 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Meta) | Continuous |
| -66.755 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Refactoring) | Continuous |
| -81.843 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -85.215 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| -88.600 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Tesla) | Continuous |
| -99.847 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -103.791 | Will the Democratic candidate win the 2026 gubernatorial election in the following US states? (Texas) | Binary |
| -144.570 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Amazon) | Continuous |
| -206.819 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |