| 85.494 | 88.2% | What will be the maximum percent of Gallup Coronavirus Pandemic polls respondents who say the pandemic is getting a lot worse in 2023 and 2024? | Continuous |
| 66.803 | 66.5% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 66.315 | 58.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 63.267 | 94.8% | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| 57.649 | 74.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 49.836 | 99.9% | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.776 | 99.9% | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.868 | 89.3% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 44.710 | 74.4% | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 43.497 | 89.4% | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 39.970 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 38.905 | 57.0% | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 38.329 | 100.0% | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 34.732 | 99.9% | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 33.621 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| 32.990 | 98.9% | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 31.184 | 62.1% | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 30.387 | 94.0% | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 30.330 | 80.6% | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 30.258 | 90.0% | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 29.212 | 30.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 29.204 | 73.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 29.074 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Sheffield United) | Continuous |
| 28.907 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| 25.244 | 98.7% | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.526 | 39.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 23.382 | 100.0% | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 22.764 | 36.4% | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.013 | 90.6% | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.010 | 79.9% | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (July 2024) | Continuous |
| 20.944 | 95.8% | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 20.737 | 98.7% | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 20.327 | 99.9% | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 19.655 | 99.9% | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 18.480 | 73.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 17.857 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 17.546 | 84.8% | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 16.569 | 96.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 16.402 | 81.9% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Jun-24) | Continuous |
| 16.129 | 99.9% | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.682 | 99.9% | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.441 | 56.9% | When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users? | Continuous |
| 15.117 | 49.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 15.023 | 77.2% | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2024) | Continuous |
| 14.378 | 94.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 14.268 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 13.968 | 99.9% | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.897 | 91.3% | Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 13.420 | 91.3% | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 13.374 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 13.324 | 99.9% | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.120 | 85.2% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 12.526 | 26.0% | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.292 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 12.234 | 93.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 12.158 | 91.2% | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.919 | 20.1% | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 11.819 | 73.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 11.697 | 80.4% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 11.421 | 57.9% | Will Meta's Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023? | Binary |
| 11.131 | 70.3% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 11.099 | 17.2% | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| 11.085 | 99.9% | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.163 | 50.8% | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| 9.796 | 89.4% | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 9.723 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 9.682 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 9.577 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| 9.289 | 99.9% | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.215 | 46.7% | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 9.023 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 8.972 | 8.1% | Will the Pandemic and All Hazards Preparedness Act (PAHPA) be reauthorized for more than 4 years before April 1st, 2024, and December 31st, 2024? (2024 Dec 31) | Binary |
| 8.679 | 24.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 8.565 | 91.0% | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.414 | 88.9% | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 8.384 | 70.3% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 8.289 | 99.9% | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 8.072 | 99.9% | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.958 | 95.4% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 7.791 | 80.4% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 7.677 | 97.4% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Luton Town) | Continuous |
| 7.512 | 99.9% | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.351 | 89.6% | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 7.339 | 49.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 7.310 | 93.5% | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.280 | 66.9% | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.201 | 97.4% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
| 7.163 | 88.4% | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 7.079 | 63.2% | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-23) | Continuous |
| 6.902 | 90.0% | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.648 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 6.595 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 6.573 | 70.6% | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Jan-24) | Continuous |
| 6.550 | 87.2% | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 6.440 | 94.3% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 6.415 | 67.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 5.809 | 46.1% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| 5.726 | 36.4% | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses autonomously self-replicating LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.503 | 96.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 5.434 | 28.2% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 5.282 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 5.223 | 99.9% | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 5.198 | 97.6% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 5.044 | 96.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 4.841 | 99.1% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 4.817 | 8.5% | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 4.760 | 65.3% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 4.702 | 98.4% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 4.652 | 77.3% | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 4.648 | 99.4% | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.642 | 20.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 4.501 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 4.468 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 4.453 | 96.6% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 4.446 | 84.0% | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 4.402 | 39.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 4.376 | 96.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 4.165 | 97.6% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 4.159 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 4.155 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 4.097 | 74.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 4.086 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 4.038 | 95.3% | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 3.926 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 3.905 | 65.3% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 3.894 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 3.741 | 70.3% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 3.594 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 3.574 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 3.562 | 18.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 3.553 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 3.471 | 55.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 3.463 | 69.3% | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.406 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 3.403 | 63.5% | Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise? (2024) | Binary |
| 3.312 | 42.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 3.268 | 39.3% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 3.267 | 23.1% | What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Sep-24) | Continuous |
| 3.182 | 53.4% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 3.115 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 3.078 | 65.3% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 3.002 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 2.984 | 95.7% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 2.932 | 41.3% | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 2.908 | 11.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 2.892 | 85.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 2.891 | 25.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 2.869 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 2.868 | 90.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 2.804 | 34.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 2.768 | 28.2% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 2.760 | 36.2% | Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.719 | 92.9% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 2.702 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 2.701 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 2.683 | 42.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 2.668 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 2.595 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 2.564 | 65.6% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 2.543 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 2.481 | 58.7% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 2.433 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 2.410 | 58.7% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 2.388 | 34.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 2.359 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 2.313 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 2.310 | 82.2% | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 2.279 | 49.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 2.274 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 2.251 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| 2.184 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 2.101 | 7.7% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Green Party of England and Wales) | Continuous |
| 2.016 | 70.3% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 1.995 | 94.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 1.903 | 18.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 1.856 | 24.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 1.855 | 91.2% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 1.815 | 90.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 1.813 | 80.5% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 1.789 | 83.7% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 1.759 | 39.3% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 1.665 | 18.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 1.632 | 99.7% | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.531 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 1.501 | 60.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 1.488 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 1.462 | 28.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 1.446 | 29.5% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 1.438 | 94.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 1.421 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 1.386 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 1.373 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 1.356 | 80.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 1.337 | 60.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 1.330 | 56.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 1.327 | 58.3% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 1.322 | 18.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 1.299 | 74.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 1.272 | 90.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 1.253 | 49.1% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 1.231 | 38.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 1.226 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 1.219 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (R President, R House, R Senate) | Binary |
| 1.204 | 71.3% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 1.176 | 25.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 1.174 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 1.161 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 1.152 | 85.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 1.143 | 65.8% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 1.106 | 38.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 1.062 | 57.1% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 1.061 | 98.0% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 0.995 | 52.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 0.986 | 69.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 0.927 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 0.924 | 23.4% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 0.887 | 73.8% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 0.877 | 64.8% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 0.842 | 18.5% | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.830 | 59.6% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 0.809 | 57.8% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 0.755 | 7.7% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Scottish National Party) | Continuous |
| 0.752 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 0.744 | 7.7% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Conservative and Unionist Party) | Continuous |
| 0.740 | 95.2% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 0.725 | 17.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 0.724 | 46.1% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 0.723 | 54.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 0.673 | 4.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 0.660 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 0.641 | 6.4% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Nikki Haley) | Continuous |
| 0.638 | 17.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 0.638 | 79.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 0.636 | 53.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 0.583 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 0.575 | 72.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.542 | 10.6% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 0.513 | 11.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 0.501 | 96.6% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 0.497 | 11.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 0.479 | 5.4% | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.476 | 74.3% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 0.449 | 11.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 0.433 | 11.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 0.422 | 61.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 0.409 | 82.1% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 0.405 | 85.7% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 0.399 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 0.398 | 18.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 0.396 | 95.6% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 0.367 | 67.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 0.364 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 0.351 | 11.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 0.338 | 22.1% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 0.327 | 46.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.322 | 85.5% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 0.276 | 70.4% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 0.274 | 18.3% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 0.246 | 5.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 0.234 | 50.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 0.222 | 57.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 0.195 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 0.194 | 95.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 0.192 | 81.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 0.163 | 98.8% | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 0.153 | 68.7% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 0.149 | 7.7% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Liberal Democrats) | Continuous |
| 0.144 | 22.1% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 0.122 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 0.090 | 1.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.083 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 0.079 | 1.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 0.077 | 1.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 0.067 | 0.1% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Reform UK) | Continuous |
| 0.054 | 5.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 0.054 | 17.0% | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 0.039 | 1.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.006 | 0.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| -0.109 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| -0.110 | 7.7% | What share of the popular vote will these parties win in the next UK general election? (Labour Party) | Continuous |
| -0.141 | 99.5% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| -0.437 | 94.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| -0.587 | 76.8% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| -0.597 | 22.7% | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (September 2024) | Continuous |
| -0.864 | 93.6% | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| -0.871 | 20.1% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| -0.916 | 98.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| -0.938 | 3.4% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| -1.041 | 5.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| -1.809 | 29.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| -2.034 | 72.2% | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| -2.097 | 85.5% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| -2.322 | 91.0% | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| -2.522 | 85.2% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| -2.549 | 86.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| -3.002 | 98.4% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| -3.242 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| -3.367 | 99.8% | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| -3.723 | 79.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| -4.266 | 18.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| -4.721 | 56.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| -4.831 | 95.0% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| -5.074 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| -5.093 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, D Senate) | Binary |
| -5.368 | 99.7% | Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| -5.732 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| -7.557 | 96.1% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| -7.603 | 96.4% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| -7.911 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| -8.020 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| -8.678 | 99.9% | What will the US government balance of power be after the 2024 elections? (D President, D House, R Senate) | Binary |
| -8.853 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -9.168 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| -11.082 | 94.5% | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -11.873 | 58.3% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -13.209 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| -14.088 | 92.9% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| -15.366 | 99.9% | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| -20.060 | 32.8% | BTC Worth Over 100k USD by 2025? (Yes) → Federal Funds Target Range Upper Limit (December 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| -21.836 | 44.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| -22.954 | 4.7% | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -24.867 | 99.8% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| -28.746 | 30.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| -33.581 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| -36.868 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -43.208 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -46.898 | 98.5% | What will annual inflation be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -55.048 | 99.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -58.878 | 59.4% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -104.519 | 92.4% | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| -152.490 | 99.8% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |