| 81.727 | 99.9% | How many zero emission light vehicles will be available for under 40 thousand dollars (in 2022 US dollars) in the United States for the following model years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 77.039 | 98.5% | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 71.294 | 99.0% | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| 66.930 | 98.6% | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 61.481 | 99.7% | What will Great Britain's maximum solar power capacity (MW) be for October 2024? | Continuous |
| 58.775 | 99.7% | What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD? (2024) | Continuous |
| 58.110 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 57.178 | 66.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 55.873 | 98.5% | What will be the total bilateral commitments of Ukraine support (in billions of EUR) on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 50.319 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 49.400 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 48.861 | 98.5% | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.676 | 99.9% | What will the annual real GDP growth rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| 47.512 | 98.9% | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 47.251 | 98.5% | What will be the total capacity (in GW) for all operational offshore windfarms in the UK on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 42.048 | 98.5% | How many OpenAI or Anthropic model versions will be released between December 1, 2023 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 34.648 | 77.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 34.248 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 33.354 | 99.7% | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 32.405 | 99.6% | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 31.706 | 99.9% | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.280 | 100.0% | Will an LLM pass an ARA evaluation before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.700 | 98.5% | What will be the US Consumer Sentiment for May 2024? | Continuous |
| 27.446 | 98.5% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 26.826 | 97.4% | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 23.210 | 98.8% | Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 22.191 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 21.365 | 98.5% | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| 19.518 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 18.183 | 53.5% | What will be the share of light vehicles sold globally which are zero-emission vehicles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 17.796 | 98.5% | What will be the US Federal Funds Rate on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 17.398 | 97.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 16.523 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 16.480 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 16.423 | 99.8% | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 16.207 | 90.3% | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.503 | 98.5% | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 15.394 | 97.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 14.578 | 25.2% | Will Dianne Feinstein resign from the Senate before the end of her term in early 2025? | Binary |
| 13.767 | 95.7% | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 13.699 | 98.5% | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.633 | 97.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 13.575 | 95.0% | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.076 | 99.6% | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 12.979 | 98.5% | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.824 | 98.5% | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 12.303 | 96.7% | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.792 | 23.2% | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 11.667 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 11.565 | 99.8% | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.444 | 100.0% | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.430 | 86.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 11.179 | 20.0% | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 11.148 | 99.7% | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.610 | 98.5% | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.020 | 98.5% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 9.958 | 96.3% | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 9.247 | 77.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 9.114 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 8.661 | 98.5% | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.625 | 100.0% | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.551 | 7.1% | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 8.381 | 98.5% | What will be the US labor force participation rate for the May 2024? | Continuous |
| 8.260 | 98.5% | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.228 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 8.195 | 98.7% | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.090 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 7.475 | 98.5% | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.368 | 97.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 7.304 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 7.101 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 6.945 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 6.807 | 98.5% | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.667 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 6.595 | 99.8% | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 6.442 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 6.193 | 99.2% | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.750 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 5.410 | 65.3% | What will be the total number of air incursions into the ADIZ between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 5.348 | 97.4% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 5.283 | 98.1% | Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.112 | 98.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 4.779 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 4.711 | 98.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 4.580 | 99.9% | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.541 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 4.528 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 4.484 | 98.5% | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.341 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 4.233 | 99.8% | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.225 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 3.980 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 3.978 | 98.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 3.839 | 76.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 3.836 | 90.1% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 3.810 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 3.788 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 3.697 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 3.657 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 3.568 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 3.526 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 3.482 | 99.6% | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.228 | 29.3% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 3.059 | 98.5% | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.044 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 2.975 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 2.821 | 66.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 2.817 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 2.527 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 2.448 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 2.447 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 2.369 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 2.359 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 2.340 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 2.282 | 60.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 2.233 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 2.195 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 2.174 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 2.136 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 2.042 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 1.944 | 7.5% | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 1.944 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 1.872 | 56.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 1.789 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 1.781 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 1.772 | 57.2% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 1.763 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 1.717 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 1.692 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 1.650 | 97.0% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 1.633 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 1.629 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 1.557 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 1.554 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 1.537 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 1.451 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 1.405 | 98.7% | Room-temp Superconductor Replicated by 2025 (No) → Commercial Room-Temp Superconductor by 2025? | Binary |
| 1.333 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 1.325 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| 1.319 | 56.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 1.319 | 60.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 1.243 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 1.241 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 1.229 | 57.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 1.170 | 18.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 1.129 | 29.3% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 1.120 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 1.117 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 0.996 | 99.2% | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 0.916 | 98.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 0.894 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 0.867 | 99.5% | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.812 | 29.3% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 0.772 | 11.3% | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.697 | 18.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 0.689 | 90.3% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 0.635 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 0.629 | 17.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 0.614 | 1.6% | Will the first independent replication attempt confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 0.610 | 72.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 0.599 | 95.8% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 0.531 | 6.2% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 0.529 | 17.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 0.499 | 11.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 0.488 | 81.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 0.479 | 60.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 0.453 | 11.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 0.432 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 0.390 | 17.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 0.369 | 10.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 0.361 | 81.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 0.360 | 17.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 0.349 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.348 | 17.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 0.341 | 10.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 0.337 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 0.334 | 94.0% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 0.321 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 0.316 | 99.8% | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 0.309 | 10.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 0.279 | 99.3% | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.226 | 98.5% | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.223 | 98.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 0.206 | 60.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 0.199 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 0.192 | 25.1% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 0.192 | 77.4% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 0.177 | 71.4% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.128 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 0.083 | 21.3% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 0.076 | 29.3% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 0.071 | 0.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.069 | 7.5% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 0.066 | 1.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 0.063 | 1.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 0.052 | 81.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 0.046 | 1.6% | Hunter Biden Indicted by Nov 5, 2024? (Yes) → Joe Biden Impeached by House? | Binary |
| 0.037 | 1.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 0.021 | 0.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.013 | 79.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 0.008 | 0.0% | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| -0.011 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| -0.012 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| -0.017 | 11.9% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| -0.030 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| -0.053 | 95.6% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| -0.081 | 17.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| -0.088 | 98.2% | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| -0.098 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| -0.116 | 95.6% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| -0.122 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| -0.158 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| -0.262 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| -0.305 | 76.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| -0.455 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| -0.763 | 96.8% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| -0.986 | 18.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| -1.237 | 79.5% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| -1.491 | 18.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| -1.558 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| -1.608 | 90.8% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| -1.868 | 99.3% | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| -2.349 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| -2.430 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| -2.764 | 98.9% | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| -3.571 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| -3.647 | 98.1% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| -3.692 | 86.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| -3.701 | 96.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| -3.715 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| -3.741 | 37.4% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| -3.960 | 100.0% | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| -4.776 | 98.5% | What will be the Nino 3.4 sea surface temperature (in degrees Celsius) be for May 2024? | Continuous |
| -4.829 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| -5.265 | 100.0% | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| -5.279 | 100.0% | Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025? | Binary |
| -6.352 | 99.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| -7.346 | 99.2% | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| -7.474 | 75.7% | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -7.901 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| -8.178 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| -11.033 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| -11.125 | 99.3% | Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025? | Binary |
| -12.808 | 63.6% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| -13.724 | 99.9% | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| -13.831 | 64.7% | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| -14.090 | 99.7% | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| -14.311 | 99.7% | 5% Bing Market Share in March 2024? (No) → GOOG Market Cap Below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| -15.460 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| -16.361 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| -18.442 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| -21.050 | 98.4% | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -30.359 | 98.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -34.554 | 99.4% | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| -42.554 | 99.2% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| -52.881 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| -57.962 | 92.0% | What will annual CO2 emissions be in the United States (in tonnes) in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| -95.349 | 65.7% | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| -96.997 | 93.0% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |