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19
comments
34
forecasters
When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?
00
condition
CTs Deep Learning Revenue
19
forecasters
if yes
if no
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
5%
5%
CTs AI Extinction Before 2100
3%
3%
1
2
2
comments
19
19
forecasters
Conditional Trees: AI Risk
Forecast 2025 With Vox's Future Perfect Team — $2,500 Prize Pool
14
6
6
comments
Economist 2021 Series Announcement
8
13
13
comments
Economist 2021
4
comments
131
forecasters
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?
result
No
12
comments
112
forecasters
Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?
result
No
condition
2028: mini assay of carbon capture solvent
if yes
if no
2039 cost of point-source carbon capture
No forecasts yet
2039 cost of point-source carbon capture
No forecasts yet
0
comments
Synthetic Biology at Scale
The Understanding AI Series With Timothy Lee
8
0
comments
Understanding AI With Timothy B. Lee
Announcing the Future of AI Question Series
7
0
comments
ACX Contest Forecasting Window Is Closed
27
38
38
comments
ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
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