Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will first come to pass before 2050?45212212 comments316316 forecasters
When will a primarily-AI-made movie accomplish these types of success?142121 comments3838 forecasters
Pandemic series: a significant flu pandemic by 2025?result: no111212 comments112112 forecastersResolvedNo
Pandemic series: a devastating bioterror attack by 2025?result: no1344 comments131131 forecastersResolvedNo
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q4 - More animals will be killed for US human consumption in 2019 than in 2018result: yes113030 comments8181 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q2 - US homicides will declineresult: yes655 comments7878 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q3 - Average world temperatures will increase relative to 2018result: yes988 comments8484 forecastersResolvedYes
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q1 - The United Kingdom will leave the European Union in 2019?result: no212626 comments122122 forecastersResolvedNo
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q5 - No Democratic presidential candidate will become a clear frontrunner in the political prediction markets at any point in 2019result: no588 comments7070 forecastersResolvedNo
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q6 - Impossible Burger meat will be sold in at least one national grocery chain by end of 201971% chance163838 comments108108 forecastersAmbiguous