115.063 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
110.718 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
104.311 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
98.044 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
96.521 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
96.202 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
86.183 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
85.821 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
82.151 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
80.831 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
79.453 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
79.195 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
72.890 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
72.524 | Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships? | Binary |
71.186 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
70.808 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
66.291 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
66.267 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (March 29, 2025) | Continuous |
63.740 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
63.703 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
63.293 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
63.160 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 15, 2025) | Continuous |
63.152 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
58.614 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
58.163 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
57.235 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
56.830 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (March 1, 2025) | Continuous |
56.822 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
55.348 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
55.223 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
53.518 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
53.105 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
51.843 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
50.746 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
50.341 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
50.208 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (March 15, 2025) | Continuous |
50.063 | What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (February 15, 2025) | Continuous |
49.853 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
47.795 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
47.668 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
46.422 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
45.739 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
45.319 | What will be the weekly total number of RSV hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 29, 2025) | Continuous |
42.755 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
42.680 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
42.440 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 29, 2025) | Continuous |
40.495 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
38.093 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
36.970 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
35.564 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
35.488 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
34.755 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
33.790 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
33.428 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
33.104 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
33.091 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
31.760 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
30.484 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
29.970 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
29.953 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
29.672 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
29.585 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
29.572 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
27.700 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
27.483 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
27.181 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
26.525 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
26.203 | What will be the weekly total number of RSV hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 15, 2025) | Continuous |
25.919 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
25.504 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
24.926 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
23.859 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
23.817 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
23.192 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
22.803 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
18.532 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
18.057 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
16.167 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
13.627 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
11.699 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
11.447 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
11.406 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
10.752 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
6.865 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
5.842 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
4.564 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
3.795 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
1.804 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
1.649 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
0.192 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
- | Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100) | Binary |
-0.281 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
-0.462 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
-0.760 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
-1.042 | What will be the weekly total number of RSV hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 1, 2025) | Continuous |
-1.081 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-1.402 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-1.848 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-2.871 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
-3.709 | What will be the weekly total number of RSV hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (February 15, 2025) | Continuous |
-4.827 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-6.262 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
-6.775 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
-10.204 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-14.280 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-14.293 | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-14.693 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-16.125 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-21.067 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-22.808 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-30.869 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 1, 2025) | Continuous |
-36.205 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-41.754 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-69.632 | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-70.999 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-72.941 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-111.304 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-115.410 | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (February 15, 2025) | Continuous |
-126.449 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-135.232 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-151.146 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-164.704 | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
-387.373 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |