| 157.000 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (China) | Continuous |
| 150.660 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (United States of America) | Continuous |
| 116.622 | What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 85.999 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 80.207 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 78.794 | Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026? | Binary |
| 73.260 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 72.327 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 70.398 | How will the countries that participated in the 2025 International Mathematical Olympiad rank in the 2026 IMO? (Republic of Korea) | Continuous |
| 70.261 | Who will win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Multiple Choice |
| 67.698 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 65.588 | Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026? | Binary |
| 65.399 | What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 64.682 | Will any coding tool introduce an integration with brain-computer interface technology before November 2026? | Binary |
| 64.548 | Will the Government of Albania or Prime Minister Edi Rama resign before September 2026? | Binary |
| 63.717 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 63.631 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 61.343 | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 60.591 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 60.370 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on April 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 60.207 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| 59.547 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 59.016 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 58.330 | How many points will the Presidents' Trophy winner have at the end of the 2025–2026 NHL season? | Continuous |
| 57.369 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 56.473 | What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.583 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 55.120 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 54.879 | Will the UK increase the qualifying period for settlement to 10 years before May 2026? | Binary |
| 54.343 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 54.280 | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 54.040 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 51.588 | Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from South Carolina? | Multiple Choice |
| 51.292 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 50.836 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 50.774 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 49.762 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 49.323 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 48.670 | Which party will win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.726 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 45.514 | How many MPs will Reform UK have on May 7, 2026? | Continuous |
| 44.678 | Who will be awarded the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.104 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before April 27, 2026? | Binary |
| 43.690 | Who will win the Tour de France 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.118 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 42.879 | Before May 1, 2026, will the United States offer to purchase Greenland from Denmark? | Binary |
| 42.641 | Will the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool be fully repaired before September 2026? | Binary |
| 42.118 | What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026? | Continuous |
| 41.374 | Will Instructure be subject to another major hack before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 41.247 | What will be the highest price of Brent crude oil during April 2026? | Continuous |
| 40.160 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 40.122 | Will the United States intervene militarily in Venezuela again before May 2026? | Binary |
| 39.966 | Will the United States provide written notices of withdrawal from the USMCA before September 2026? | Binary |
| 39.505 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 30–Apr 5, 2026) | Continuous |
| 39.221 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 38.825 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 38.087 | Will a 1kt meteor strike take place during March or April 2026? | Binary |
| 36.862 | Will the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) close above 30 on more than 5 trading days between April 20, 2026 and May 31, 2026? | Binary |
| 35.726 | Which country will be ranked the least peaceful in the Global Peace Index 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.969 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| 34.699 | How many countries will the United States attack before May 2026? | Continuous |
| 34.504 | Will the United States and Iran hold another face-to-face diplomatic meeting before June 6, 2026? | Binary |
| 34.403 | How many US banks will fail from January through April 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.322 | Which NHL team will win the 2026 Stanley Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.646 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 33.179 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 33.120 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (GSO Benchmark (OPT@1)) | Continuous |
| 32.995 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 32.436 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.969 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 30.237 | Will gas prices in the US reach a new all-time high before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 29.271 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for the United States in 2026? | Continuous |
| 29.186 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 28.621 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 28.573 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Checking code for potential issues) | Continuous |
| 27.965 | Will the North Atlantic sea surface temperature reach a daily record high before May 2026? | Binary |
| 26.548 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 26.237 | Will Iran's Internet not be "heavily filtered/whitelisted" for most users before May 2026? | Binary |
| 25.649 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 25.518 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Writing boilerplate, repetitive code) | Continuous |
| 25.338 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (OSWorld Verified) | Continuous |
| 25.189 | What will Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 24.765 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 24.472 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 24.347 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Improving or optimizing code) | Continuous |
| 24.143 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.817 | Will Jonathan Ross be indicted or charged in the death of Renee Good before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 23.678 | What proportion of SCOTUS decisions issued in Q2 2026 will be authored by a Democrat-appointed Justice? | Continuous |
| 22.938 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 22.824 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 22.592 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| 21.726 | What will be the price of Brent crude on August 28, 2026? | Continuous |
| 21.505 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 21.226 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (AGI-ARC-2) | Continuous |
| 21.113 | Will any political party or coalition acquire a supermajority in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| 20.513 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| 19.986 | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 19.891 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| 19.133 | Will Venezuela announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 18.878 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| 18.798 | What percent of Americans will oppose the Iran War on May 14, 2026? | Continuous |
| 18.099 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 17.784 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 17.584 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 16.288 | What will be the Chinese model share on Openrouter for the week of April 19, 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.218 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.843 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 15.307 | What will be the highest price of silver per troy ounce in April 2026? | Continuous |
| 15.210 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| 15.007 | What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 14.946 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 14.862 | Will the U.S. Senate pass another budget reconciliation bill before July 4, 2026? | Binary |
| 14.669 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 14.197 | Will any AI model achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GPQA Diamond Benchmark Leaderboard before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 13.297 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 13.259 | Will Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff in the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Binary |
| 13.223 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 12.668 | How many #1 seeds will reach the Elite Eight in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.594 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| 12.209 | What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections? | Continuous |
| 11.785 | Will Romuald Wadagni win the Benin presidential election in April 2026? | Binary |
| 11.620 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 10.853 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.845 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 10.570 | What will be the highest scores in these ΑΙ benchmarks before September 2026? (Remote Labor Index) | Continuous |
| 8.600 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 8.463 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 8.283 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 6.381 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 6.290 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.219 | What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 5.957 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 5.669 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 5.113 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in April 2026, according to the TSA? (Apr 27–May 3, 2026) | Continuous |
| 4.906 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 4.521 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 16–22, 2026) | Continuous |
| 4.464 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 3.680 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| 3.614 | Will the Community beat Nathan Young in the Metaculus Cup Spring 2026? | Binary |
| 3.528 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| 3.130 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Understanding recent code changes) | Continuous |
| 3.043 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI will eventually fully replace human developers? | Continuous |
| 3.028 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 9–15, 2026) | Continuous |
| 2.920 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli election? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.490 | What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q1 2026? | Continuous |
| - | Will the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in Louisiana v. Callais hold that race-conscious districting is unconstitutional? | Binary |
| - | Which book will win the 2025 National Book Critics Circle Award for fiction? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.551 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -0.714 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -0.861 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -1.210 | How many more (or fewer) seats will SDS win compared to GS in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Continuous |
| -1.906 | How far will the Duke Blue Devils advance in the NCAA's 2026 March Madness? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.245 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| -4.021 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -6.471 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in March 2026, according to the TSA? (Mar 23–29, 2026) | Continuous |
| -7.198 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 4 - May 15) | Continuous |
| -9.972 | Will Waymo have a service area of 1,200 square miles before July 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -11.477 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -12.381 | Will the United States report any locally acquired New World screwworm infestation (in a human or an animal) before 2027? | Binary |
| -14.841 | How concerned will the EU be in March 2026? | Continuous |
| -15.860 | What percentage of developers in 2026 will believe that AI coding will decrease the demand for professional developers? | Continuous |
| -18.585 | Who will win the 2026 Candidates Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| -23.367 | Will Saudi Arabia conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -25.384 | How many Iranian projectiles (drones and missiles) will the UAE engage with in the 7-day period March 20-26, 2026? | Continuous |
| -25.948 | Will the U.S. conduct a ground invasion of Iran before May 2026? | Binary |
| -32.379 | Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026? | Binary |
| -32.391 | Will Anthropic be a designated supply chain risk on May 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -38.863 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Debugging) | Continuous |
| -38.866 | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before May 2026? | Binary |
| -39.883 | Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire before May 2026? | Binary |
| -40.486 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| -42.026 | What percentage of developers would say that they are comfortable to delegate the following tasks to AI in 2026? (Refactoring) | Continuous |
| -43.730 | Will Donald Trump and Xi Jinping meet in person before April 3, 2026? | Binary |
| -47.166 | Will Cloudflare experience another critical incident before May 2026? | Binary |
| -47.802 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q1 FY2027 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| -48.466 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -48.571 | Will Iceland vote Yes in the 2026 EU negotiations referendum? | Binary |
| -50.702 | Who will win the Republican Primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District? | Multiple Choice |
| -53.195 | What first round vote share will Iliana Iotova win in the 2026 Bulgarian Presidential election? | Continuous |
| -55.675 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 1 - Jun 12) | Continuous |
| -57.458 | Will Neymar be called up for Brazil in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| -62.096 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -64.895 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (Jun 15 - Jun 26) | Continuous |
| -72.021 | Will Iran participate in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Binary |
| -83.200 | Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -102.320 | How many Clade I Mpox cases will have been reported in the US before 2027? | Continuous |
| -103.359 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -121.484 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q2 2026? (May 18 - May 29) | Continuous |
| -123.156 | What will U.S consumer sentiment be in April 2026? | Continuous |
| -126.077 | Will the United Arab Emirates conduct a direct military strike against Iran before June 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -146.357 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |
| -181.369 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2026 be for the following companies? (Nvidia) | Continuous |
| -217.351 | Which party will win the second highest number of seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | Multiple Choice |