| 100.388 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Continuous |
| 93.564 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Kursk Nuclear Plant 51°40'30.1"N 35°36'11.5"E) | Binary |
| 92.737 | Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza? | Binary |
| 88.446 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 85.289 | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| 83.609 | Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 81.376 | Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.708 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Missouri) | Binary |
| 77.592 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.224 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 76.804 | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 76.288 | Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.972 | Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 74.876 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 74.736 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 74.649 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Oklahoma) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 73.902 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (California) | Binary |
| 73.795 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Washington) | Binary |
| 73.662 | Will William Ruto cease to be President of Kenya before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 71.657 | Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025? | Binary |
| 71.163 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Maryland) | Binary |
| 71.060 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (B. Soldatskoe (51°20'15.4"N 35°30'27.1"E)) | Binary |
| 69.718 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Wisconsin) | Continuous |
| 68.465 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 68.235 | Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 68.162 | Will the USD be worth 0.935 EUR or more at the close of trading on any day before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.926 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.875 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Donald Trump, October 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 66.262 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 65.346 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.833 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 64.313 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Donald Trump, November 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 64.312 | Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election? | Binary |
| 63.847 | Will the CDC confirm a case of Clade I mpox in a US resident before August 23, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.831 | Will Sheikh Hasina get asylum in the United Kingdom before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 61.656 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 60.600 | Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.973 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Donald Trump, September 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 58.837 | What will be the highest closing price of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock any day after April 14, 2024, and before the 2024 United States presidential election? | Continuous |
| 58.578 | Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025? | Binary |
| 58.357 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 57.724 | Will Intel get dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.312 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 57.251 | Will the opposition candidate, Edmundo González, concede the 2024 Venezuelan election to Maduro before September 2024? | Binary |
| 56.895 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Georgia) | Continuous |
| 56.067 | Will the nominated Republican presidential candidate receive over 50% of the valid votes in Texas in 2024 United States presidential election? | Binary |
| 55.778 | How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.339 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 55.277 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 55.205 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Minnesota) | Continuous |
| 54.577 | Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 54.252 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Japan) | Binary |
| 53.793 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (North Carolina) | Continuous |
| 53.784 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 53.507 | Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025? | Binary |
| 53.054 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Kamala Harris) | Continuous |
| 52.471 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 52.242 | Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season? | Binary |
| 52.130 | Will the highest Elo LLM on Chatbot Arena be non-proprietary during 2024? | Binary |
| 51.918 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 50.461 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Russia) | Binary |
| 50.030 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Michigan) | Continuous |
| 49.790 | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |
| 49.767 | Who will win the Speed Chess Championship 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.378 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 49.360 | Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan? | Binary |
| 48.599 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (August 2024) | Continuous |
| 48.398 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (6) | Binary |
| 48.243 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (7 or more) | Binary |
| 47.920 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Kamala Harris, November 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 47.827 | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.712 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Hampshire) | Continuous |
| 46.934 | What will be the magnitude of the maximum weekly rate of COVID-19 hospitalizations occurring in the United States between June 1 and October 5, 2024? | Continuous |
| 45.542 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Virginia) | Continuous |
| 45.389 | Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 45.127 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Maine (statewide)) | Continuous |
| 44.116 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Glushkovo (51°20'43.9"N 34°38'54.9"E)) | Binary |
| 43.841 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024? | Binary |
| 43.624 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Mexico) | Continuous |
| 42.000 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (September 2024) | Continuous |
| 41.613 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (October 2024) | Continuous |
| 41.228 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (5) | Binary |
| 41.117 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Delaware) | Continuous |
| 41.111 | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 39.362 | Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) (Yes) → Will the GOP win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 38.137 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Moldova? | Multiple Choice |
| 38.011 | Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024? | Binary |
| 37.762 | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 37.179 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 36.861 | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 36.762 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| 36.635 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 36.474 | Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024? | Binary |
| 36.273 | How many IM and GM account closures will chess.com report for 2024? | Continuous |
| 36.041 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.805 | Will anyone win an Electoral College majority in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 35.792 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| 35.642 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Alaska) | Continuous |
| 35.353 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 35.107 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 34.979 | What will be the best score on the SWE-Bench (unassisted) benchmark before 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.860 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (December 2024) | Continuous |
| 34.756 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| 34.740 | In the Q3 AI Benchmarking tournament, how will the Pro aggregate Baseline score compare to the best bot? | Continuous |
| 34.196 | Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case? | Binary |
| 34.188 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Nevada) | Continuous |
| 34.030 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 33.996 | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 33.814 | Will Mitt Romney endorse the Democratic party nominee for US President in 2024? | Binary |
| 33.380 | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 33.219 | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 32.935 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New York) | Continuous |
| 32.338 | What will the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate be in Australia, for the following months? (November 2024) | Continuous |
| 32.131 | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Binary |
| 31.656 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Tetkino (51°16'45.1"N 34°16'57.7"E)) | Binary |
| 31.617 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| 31.246 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Ohio) | Continuous |
| 31.233 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 31.220 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mozambique? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.704 | Who will win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.664 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 30.207 | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| 30.173 | How many days will the Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue WA metro area experience an Air Quality Index value above 150 in the 3rd quarter of 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.915 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 29.768 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Bangladesh) | Binary |
| 29.347 | Will variants KP.2 and KP.1.1 (FLiRT variants) reach a combined 75% variant proportion in the United States in any period before September 28, 2024? | Binary |
| 29.266 | Who will win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.138 | Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | Binary |
| 28.960 | [Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 28.472 | What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024? | Continuous |
| 28.329 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 27.739 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 26.863 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Nebraska's 2nd congressional district) | Continuous |
| 26.546 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025? | Binary |
| 26.305 | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 26.250 | How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.213 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Washington (state)) | Continuous |
| 25.230 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Mexico) | Binary |
| 25.217 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| 24.403 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| 23.825 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Oregon) | Continuous |
| 23.789 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 22.905 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Brazil) | Binary |
| 22.595 | Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 21.652 | Which team will win the National League Central Division during the 2024 Major League Baseball season? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.347 | Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.603 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Iowa) | Continuous |
| 20.597 | Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season? | Binary |
| 20.539 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Indonesia) | Binary |
| 20.029 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Kamala Harris, October 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 18.684 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (2) | Binary |
| 18.132 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (France) | Binary |
| 17.901 | What will the month over month percentage increase in core CPI inflation be in the US in August 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.037 | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.849 | [Short Fuse] Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 16.767 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Arizona) | Continuous |
| 15.683 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (China) | Binary |
| 15.167 | Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.455 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Algeria? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.819 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on Tuesday November 5, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 13.712 | What will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris' net favorability ratings as reported by 538 be on these pre-election dates? (Kamala Harris, September 1 2024) | Continuous |
| 13.182 | Will Apple announce an iPhone with 40W fast charging by the end of its September 2024 event? | Binary |
| 12.889 | Will there be a US presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris held on September 10, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.469 | What will be the rate of immigration enforcement in the US in 2024, as a percentage of removals to encounters? | Continuous |
| 10.819 | Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024? | Binary |
| 10.640 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2024 Brandenburg state election? | Continuous |
| 10.284 | 2024 US popular vote: 3rd party at least 5%? (No) → 2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote? | Binary |
| 9.286 | Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025? | Binary |
| 8.699 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (United States) | Binary |
| 7.421 | 2024 US election considered fraudulent? (No) → Faithless electors in US 2024 Election? | Binary |
| 7.258 | How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.865 | US Federal Min Wage Increase before 2025 (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 6.706 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Jersey) | Continuous |
| 5.088 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (3) | Binary |
| 4.873 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Zambia) | Binary |
| 4.428 | Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote? | Binary |
| 4.409 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Sri Lanka? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.136 | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 1.775 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.190 | Will Hurricane Ernesto cause major damage in Bermuda, exceeding $200 million (USD)? | Binary |
| 0.543 | RFK Jr. to drop out by Oct 22? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 0.380 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Joe Biden) (No) → GOP Control of US Senate in 2025 | Binary |
| 0.372 | How many times will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.201 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris) (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| - | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| - | 2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro) (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -0.023 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -0.565 | Starship Reaches Orbit in 2024? (No) → Starship Booster Tower Catch Attempt in 2024? | Binary |
| -0.639 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.938 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| -1.419 | What will be the estimated number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Sudan at the end of December 2024? | Continuous |
| -1.690 | How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.745 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Texas) | Continuous |
| -3.426 | Who will win the 2024 Men's Ballon d'Or award? | Multiple Choice |
| -4.429 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -4.719 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| -5.983 | Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.310 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (India) | Binary |
| -7.327 | 2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -8.100 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (4) | Binary |
| -8.126 | Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives? | Binary |
| -8.565 | Will the Georgian Dream party win a majority of seats in Georgia's 2024 parliamentary elections? | Binary |
| -9.249 | Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025? | Binary |
| -9.678 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Germany) | Binary |
| -10.223 | Will Allan Lichtman’s September 2024 prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct? | Binary |
| -11.006 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (United Kingdom) | Binary |
| -13.900 | When will monthly global land-surface temperatures fall below record highs? | Multiple Choice |
| -14.431 | Will Ukrainian forces capture any of these locations before December 1, 2024? (Korenevo (51°24'37.7"N 34°54'02.2"E)) | Binary |
| -14.625 | Will China officially announce export restrictions on any additional metals before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -15.166 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (November 15) | Continuous |
| -18.071 | By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| -19.535 | Will Kamala Harris say "artificial intelligence" or "AI" in her 2024 Democratic National Convention keynote speech? | Binary |
| -20.316 | Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -23.719 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Florida) | Continuous |
| -29.849 | Four days after the first Donald Trump-Kamala Harris debate, how much will Harris's probability of winning change, according to the Metaculus Community? | Continuous |
| -31.177 | Which countries will confirm Clade I mpox infections before January 1, 2025? (Pakistan) | Binary |
| -32.820 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | Binary |
| -34.537 | How many major hurricanes will occur in 2024 Atlantic hurricane season? | Multiple Choice |
| -39.716 | Will Donald Trump and Kamala Harris shake hands in any of their debates, if any happen? | Binary |
| -46.506 | Will Yahya Sinwar cease to be the acting Chairman of the Hamas Political Bureau in 2024? | Binary |
| -49.371 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → Will Joe Biden Grant Clemency to Hunter? | Binary |
| -60.730 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -71.877 | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -74.294 | What will China's youth unemployment rate be for August 2024? | Continuous |
| -74.770 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (December 30) | Continuous |
| -94.319 | 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) (Yes) → BTC Worth Over 100k USD by 2025? | Binary |
| -110.992 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |