144.557 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
122.721 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
117.590 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
99.208 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
98.357 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
97.955 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
95.501 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
94.793 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
94.728 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
92.659 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
92.133 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
91.425 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
90.871 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
88.969 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
87.419 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
87.140 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
81.195 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
81.020 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
81.000 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
80.086 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
78.741 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
76.135 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
75.802 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
75.462 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
74.862 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
70.634 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
70.160 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
68.898 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
68.752 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
68.468 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
66.756 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
64.409 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
64.400 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
63.838 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
60.694 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
59.717 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
57.853 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
57.191 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
55.951 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
53.180 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
51.374 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
50.377 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
50.063 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
47.455 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
44.702 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
44.554 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
44.483 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
40.226 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
39.648 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
39.602 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
38.410 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
38.211 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
37.777 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
36.809 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
36.072 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
36.072 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
33.630 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
30.426 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
28.896 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
27.922 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
27.288 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
26.822 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
26.739 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
25.067 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
24.989 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
24.910 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
24.760 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
24.012 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
22.774 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
22.382 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
22.268 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
21.547 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
21.061 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
19.899 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
19.792 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
19.359 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
18.841 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
17.436 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
17.197 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
16.960 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
16.131 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
15.500 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
15.344 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
15.179 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
14.088 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
14.085 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
13.938 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
13.924 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
13.654 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
13.111 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
12.004 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
11.474 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
9.736 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
9.496 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
8.774 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
8.199 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
6.916 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
6.426 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
5.196 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
4.761 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
4.382 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
4.115 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
3.275 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
3.042 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
2.421 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
1.765 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
- | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-0.776 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
-5.876 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
-8.276 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
-10.001 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-10.387 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-10.439 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
-10.799 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-12.611 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-12.987 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-13.909 | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
-14.604 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
-23.356 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-23.607 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
-24.948 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
-25.836 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-28.367 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-29.128 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-29.625 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-29.690 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-30.063 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-30.575 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
-30.575 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
-34.593 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-42.326 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-44.745 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-45.081 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-54.283 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-55.206 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
-58.658 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-59.918 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-69.630 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
-70.027 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-75.572 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-79.104 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-85.985 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-87.033 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-102.385 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
-107.661 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-115.983 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-116.396 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
-119.136 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-146.852 | What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-158.992 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-170.164 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-212.146 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-833.975 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |