| 114.001 | 95.5% | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 106.264 | 84.5% | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| 84.150 | 63.0% | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
| 74.421 | 92.1% | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.007 | 97.5% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 69.805 | 93.4% | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 69.019 | 52.9% | Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 62.020 | 96.9% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.326 | 44.6% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 58.320 | 74.5% | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 56.989 | 73.9% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 56.916 | 97.6% | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 50.634 | 50.0% | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| 46.935 | 74.5% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 46.246 | 33.9% | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 46.104 | 56.0% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 43.045 | 75.0% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| 42.066 | 69.7% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 39.148 | 75.0% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 37.304 | 72.5% | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 36.398 | 99.3% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 35.187 | 89.7% | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.097 | 70.7% | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.795 | 96.2% | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| 30.028 | 34.6% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 28.775 | 62.9% | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.908 | 98.0% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 25.541 | 97.7% | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 25.383 | 50.0% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 24.949 | 78.2% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 24.599 | 49.2% | What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 24.580 | 61.0% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 24.340 | 84.3% | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
| 23.398 | 98.8% | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.775 | 91.9% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
| 20.051 | 22.3% | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| 19.846 | 17.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 19.645 | 52.4% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.382 | 75.0% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 18.994 | 91.3% | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.447 | 57.1% | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.166 | 88.0% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.159 | 65.5% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.070 | 73.9% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 16.040 | 65.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.428 | 85.3% | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
| 15.333 | 28.6% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| 14.355 | 65.8% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 12.958 | 78.0% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 12.714 | 58.6% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 12.154 | 77.6% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 12.034 | 75.9% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.986 | 35.5% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 11.870 | 50.0% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 11.852 | 92.4% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.014 | 30.5% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.914 | 12.0% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.513 | 15.8% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 9.003 | 62.8% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 8.316 | 36.7% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.250 | 35.6% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 7.900 | 34.6% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 7.862 | 14.5% | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.771 | 72.7% | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.643 | 14.0% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 7.469 | 28.1% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.329 | 68.3% | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.196 | 87.6% | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.022 | 95.3% | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
| 6.944 | 68.3% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.639 | 7.2% | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.485 | 62.8% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 6.109 | 51.4% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 6.078 | 76.0% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.077 | 62.3% | Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.237 | 17.7% | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 4.549 | 5.9% | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| 4.116 | 12.8% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.092 | 53.3% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 3.864 | 4.2% | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.820 | 2.4% | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 3.657 | 49.8% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.417 | 11.8% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 3.389 | 44.7% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.872 | 48.2% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.733 | 9.8% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 2.527 | 25.0% | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 1.887 | 72.5% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 1.684 | 8.4% | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.547 | 4.9% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.357 | 14.3% | Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.104 | 8.9% | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.742 | 42.9% | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.377 | 1.5% | Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 0.240 | 0.5% | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.116 | 29.7% | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.001 | 75.1% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| -0.382 | 25.0% | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.304 | 31.7% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -1.385 | 31.2% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| -1.517 | 65.9% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| -2.765 | 67.9% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| -2.885 | 59.4% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| -3.221 | 62.8% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| -3.266 | 60.2% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -3.581 | 10.7% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| -5.068 | 68.8% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| -6.049 | 65.8% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| -8.238 | 18.4% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -13.215 | 75.0% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| -17.063 | 74.0% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -23.933 | 74.0% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| -37.437 | 31.9% | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |