Contests
This page shows the obsolete contests. They were superseded in April 2021 by Tournaments.
| Contest | Start | End | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasting AI Progress — Bayes Prize Leaderboard | Dec 13, 2020 | Apr 16, 2021 | 81 |
| Consensus Forecasting | . | . | . |
| Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament I | Feb 17, 2020 | Jun 17, 2020 | 52 |
| Li Wenliang Tournament 2 | . | . | . |
| Covid-19 Tournament Round 2 | . | . | . |
| Cryptocurrency Prediction Contest | Sep 14, 2017 | Dec 1, 2017 | 24 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Deep Learning Round | Feb 13, 2021 | Apr 16, 2021 | 30 |
| El Paso Series | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [first tournament] | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [second tournament] | . | . | . |
| Foresight 2020 contest | Oct 14, 2019 | Oct 31, 2020 | 13 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Hill Climbing Round | Jan 13, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Lockdown Tournament | . | . | . |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Maximum Likelihood Round | Dec 9, 2020 | Jun 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Road to recovery | Oct 1, 2020 | Feb 28, 2021 | 16 |
| Salk Tournament | . | . | . |
This contest will address the hot topic of cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, blockchain, smart contracts, initial coin offerings, and all that.
The rules are simple: there are a set of questions opening and resolving between September 15 and December 1, 2017 in the category "Contests – Cryptocurrency 2017." The contest ranking is based on the total Metaculus points earned on those questions. (If you are new to Metaculus, be sure to check out how scoring works on the FAQ.)
To add to the fun, the top point-earner will be awarded 1 ETH (~$330, with current value here); the 2nd place winner will be awarded 1 LTC (~$80, with current value here).
(To be eligible for prizes, contestants must be able to provide their full name and address upon winning. No more than one account is allowed per contestant. Metaculus staff and their families are not eligible.)| Rank | Player | Points | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ElliotOlds | 680 | 20 |
| 2 | gjm | 525 | 23 |
| 3 | jzima | 488 | 23 |
| 4 | Barbarossa | 486 | 22 |
| 5 | shahar.avin | 460 | 23 |
| 6 | raven.kopelman | 408 | 24 |
| 7 | AndrewMcKnight | 316 | 24 |
| 8 | FinanAdamson | 236 | 24 |
| 9 | Random5 | 234 | 16 |
| 10 | chris.j.cundy | 219 | 20 |
| 11 | Sigbold | 189 | 8 |
| 12 | moons R us | 157 | 14 |
| 13 | 1984gf | 157 | 4 |
| 14 | lukas.baker | 144 | 12 |
| 15 | erik.bjareholt | 136 | 24 |
| 16 | minheltegenepost | 134 | 11 |
| 17 | r.grannell2 | 131 | 2 |
| 18 | paul | 116 | 3 |
| 19 | benelson7 | 112 | 15 |
| 20 | englisc aspyrgend | 107 | 11 |
| 21 | AngraMainyu | 104 | 2 |
| 22 | PhobonNika | 100 | 2 |
| 23 | Pablo | 88 | 11 |
| 24 | Cdp | 84 | 1 |
| 25 | Reprisal | 79 | 6 |
| 26 | EvanHarper | 77 | 1 |
| 27 | rickylqhan | 75 | 2 |
| 28 | Federico | 74 | 3 |
| 29 | davidmanheim | 72 | 3 |
| 30 | aran | 68 | 18 |
| 31 | vsharan2002 | 68 | 1 |
| 32 | mrbenmoore | 68 | 1 |
| 33 | jimrandomh | 66 | 21 |
| 34 | rassmundur | 66 | 3 |
| 35 | rhdiazm | 64 | 1 |
| 36 | durbanus | 61 | 1 |
| 37 | postmort | 60 | 3 |
| 38 | SectorConnector | 59 | 1 |
| 39 | Phob | 59 | 1 |
| 40 | freekbo | 57 | 1 |
| 41 | AlexRay | 56 | 6 |
| 42 | sanxiyn | 54 | 1 |
| 43 | v | 53 | 4 |
| 44 | Marco | 47 | 3 |
| 45 | mdickens | 47 | 1 |
| 46 | jjohnsonjj1251 | 46 | 1 |
| 47 | JanElkan | 46 | 1 |
| 48 | IvanBelashkin | 40 | 1 |
| 49 | craigmacnaughton | 40 | 1 |
| 50 | NASMITH | 38 | 2 |
| 51 | vlado | 37 | 1 |
| 52 | ecstatichedgehog | 37 | 2 |
| 53 | teeza | 37 | 1 |
| 54 | CredibleHulk | 37 | 1 |
| 55 | erik.tallberg | 36 | 1 |
| 56 | robert.spiker | 35 | 1 |
| 57 | bendersalt | 28 | 2 |
| 58 | claudiadg54 | 28 | 1 |
| 59 | redbubo | 28 | 1 |
| 60 | John | 27 | 1 |
| 61 | MichelleTaylor | 25 | 2 |
| 62 | SwagDizzle420 | 25 | 1 |
| 63 | vinamra.b | 19 | 2 |
| 64 | ijv | 15 | 1 |
| 65 | Shupumputhum | 13 | 1 |
| 66 | muzzle | 12 | 4 |
| 67 | Panconkes | 11 | 2 |
| 68 | jaketchm | 9 | 1 |
| 69 | jwentworth | 8 | 1 |
| 70 | egleaves22 | 7 | 2 |
| 71 | matthewbarnett | 7 | 2 |
| 72 | alexlyzhov | 6 | 1 |
| 73 | datscilly | 3 | 23 |
| 74 | defuse00 | 1 | 5 |
| 75 | adomhartell | 0 | 1 |
| 76 | reneereigle | 0 | 1 |
| 77 | rst | -1 | 3 |
| 78 | mtm | -1 | 1 |
| 79 | fellfromatree | -3 | 3 |
| 80 | tophattingson | -3 | 2 |
| 81 | babtras | -4 | 22 |
| 82 | lifi | -6 | 2 |
| 83 | WillManidis | -9 | 1 |
| 84 | hinin | -13 | 2 |
| 85 | admiller9 | -15 | 1 |
| 86 | javert | -19 | 1 |
| 87 | AndrewCheng | -19 | 1 |
| 88 | RookAndalus | -21 | 21 |
| 89 | r.m.0 | -24 | 1 |
| 90 | george.moga | -25 | 1 |
| 91 | Rogozjin | -27 | 4 |
| 92 | James | -30 | 23 |
| 93 | Brainzahoyhiya | -35 | 1 |
| 94 | MathCat | -37 | 1 |
| 95 | brordaniel | -40 | 10 |
| 96 | dvnwgmn | -49 | 2 |
| 97 | mutlay | -51 | 1 |
| 98 | hzds | -53 | 5 |
| 99 | paulgabrielsen | -61 | 3 |
| 100 | ziyicai841117 | -75 | 4 |