| 99.534 | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 99.518 | Will a crewed Artemis II flight approach the moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 99.186 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 99.024 | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.813 | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 98.796 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 98.784 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 98.544 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.541 | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | Binary |
| 98.516 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Total Ban) | Binary |
| 98.053 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.955 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 97.955 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (California) | Binary |
| 97.608 | Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza? | Binary |
| 97.378 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.369 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.170 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 97.021 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 95.397 | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 94.968 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 94.968 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Washington) | Binary |
| 94.968 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 94.968 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 94.968 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 94.921 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024? | Binary |
| 94.618 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 94.465 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 93.932 | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 93.917 | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 93.228 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 93.177 | Will the Democratic nominee for President in 2024 be on the ballot in the following states? (Oklahoma) | Binary |
| 92.568 | Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.964 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 91.776 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 91.545 | Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 91.023 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 90.620 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 88.526 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Venezuela? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.083 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 87.757 | Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024? | Binary |
| 87.608 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025? | Binary |
| 86.916 | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | Binary |
| 86.001 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Approved Applications) | Binary |
| 85.989 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (July 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 85.399 | LLM cyberattack/virus/worm before 2025? (No) → NVIDIA stock below $250 before 31 Dec 2024? | Binary |
| 84.850 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Maryland) | Binary |
| 84.450 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 84.163 | Who will win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona? | Multiple Choice |
| 83.967 | Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.941 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 83.477 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 83.470 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 83.342 | Will Edmundo González be deprived of liberty before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.891 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.671 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 82.385 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 82.351 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 82.345 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 82.345 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 82.339 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 81.994 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 81.535 | Will the Republican Party retain Ohio's 6th congressional district (previously held by Bill Johnson) in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 81.417 | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 81.146 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.763 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 79.738 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 78.609 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 78.477 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Specific Groups) | Binary |
| 78.412 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 78.179 | Will Kamala Harris go on Joe Rogan's podcast before the 2024 election? | Binary |
| 78.010 | Will the White Sox lose 120 or more games in the 2024 MLB season? | Binary |
| 77.756 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 76.882 | Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 76.760 | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 75.899 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 75.700 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 75.422 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Minnesota) | Continuous |
| 74.377 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| 73.680 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 73.178 | Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case? | Binary |
| 72.833 | Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case? | Binary |
| 71.691 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Missouri) | Binary |
| 71.371 | Will the Crimean Bridge be hit with an attack before the listed dates? (May 9, 2024) | Binary |
| 71.183 | Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025? | Binary |
| 71.178 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Delaware) | Continuous |
| 70.463 | Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election? | Binary |
| 70.216 | Will the cherry blossoms reach full bloom in Tokyo before April 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.288 | Will Nigel Farage be elected as a Member of Parliament in the July 4 2024 UK General Election? | Binary |
| 68.510 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 67.884 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 66.229 | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 64.983 | What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on May 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 64.316 | Will the minimum wage in Türkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025? | Binary |
| 63.672 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Mel Stride) | Binary |
| 63.569 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Priti Patel) | Binary |
| 62.780 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (James Cleverly) | Binary |
| 62.662 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Tom Tugendhat) | Binary |
| 61.792 | Will Nvidia have the largest market cap in the world at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 58.791 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 57.947 | Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 57.246 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Hampshire) | Continuous |
| 56.540 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Oregon) | Continuous |
| 56.484 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 56.315 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-24) | Continuous |
| 54.502 | What will be the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February 2024? | Continuous |
| 54.320 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 54.295 | How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024? | Continuous |
| 53.181 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Virginia) | Continuous |
| 52.535 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| 52.357 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 52.017 | Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024? (No) → Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025? | Binary |
| 51.249 | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| 50.355 | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Nov-24) | Continuous |
| 50.278 | How many times will “artificial intelligence” be mentioned in White House Press Briefings in 2024? | Continuous |
| 49.905 | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |
| 48.634 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| 48.399 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 48.019 | Will a journalist or an opposition politician be charged in connection with the assassination attempt on Slovak PM Robert Fico, before June 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 47.903 | Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.162 | Who will win the Tour de France 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.808 | Fed Funds Rate Below 4%? (No) → S&P Goes Up In 2024? | Binary |
| 45.693 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Wisconsin) | Continuous |
| 44.986 | Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024? | Binary |
| 44.930 | How many times will the US Fed cut rates by 25 basis points this year? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.838 | What will be the close price of Bitcoin (in $USD) on these dates? (May 31, 2024) | Continuous |
| 43.002 | Will Dems have brokered convention in 2024? (No) → 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 42.240 | On June 28th, 2024, will Gamestop's market capitalization be higher than Docusign's, according to CompaniesMarketCap? | Binary |
| 42.094 | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Binary |
| 41.688 | Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA? (2024) | Binary |
| 40.771 | Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025? | Binary |
| 39.608 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Michigan) | Continuous |
| 38.887 | What will NVIDIA's market capitalization be on the last day of the following years? (End of 2024) | Continuous |
| 38.809 | What will be the value of Bitcoin (in USD) on April 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| 35.748 | What will be the close price of Bitcoin (in $USD) on these dates? (June 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| 33.619 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Georgia) | Continuous |
| 33.139 | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 32.277 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | Binary |
| 31.776 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (North Carolina) | Continuous |
| 31.438 | Will the Atlantic Ocean's daily mean sea surface temperature surpass 2023's record peak temperature before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 31.206 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Washington (state)) | Continuous |
| 30.214 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (7 or more) | Binary |
| 30.214 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (6) | Binary |
| 30.052 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (5) | Binary |
| 29.948 | What will be the highest closing price of Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock any day after April 14, 2024, and before the 2024 United States presidential election? | Continuous |
| 29.385 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Licensing for Use) | Binary |
| 28.596 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 28.154 | Before June 6, 2024, will there be an armed forces conflict death between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 27.995 | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.503 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| 27.193 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Nebraska's 2nd congressional district) | Continuous |
| 27.047 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 26.976 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 26.537 | What will be the closing price of Crude Oil (in USD per barrel) for the listed dates? (Nov. 30, '24) | Continuous |
| 26.483 | Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote? | Binary |
| 25.786 | What will be the outcome of Donald Trump's New York "hush money" criminal trial? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.380 | Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025? | Binary |
| 24.762 | Taurus Missile for Ukraine in 2024? (No) → Kerch Bridge knocked-out before 2025? | Binary |
| 23.900 | Which jurisdiction will be the "Tipping Point" in the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.909 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Montana) | Binary |
| 18.833 | When will the Metaculus open source rewrite go live? | Continuous |
| 16.756 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (4) | Binary |
| 16.364 | Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.628 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 15.178 | Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.886 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Robert Jenrick) | Binary |
| 14.040 | US Restricts China's Cloud Compute Access? (No) → NVIDIA's Market cap next 5 years (End of 2024) | Continuous |
| 13.998 | DCCPA passes before 2025? (No) → Bitcoin up over 2024 | Binary |
| 13.243 | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 12.073 | Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| 11.576 | Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.397 | Who will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader? (Kemi Badenoch) | Binary |
| 8.926 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Mexico) | Continuous |
| 8.503 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.377 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Nevada) | Continuous |
| 8.246 | [Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.073 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Maine (statewide)) | Continuous |
| 6.533 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Joe Biden) (No) → GOP Control of US Senate in 2025 | Binary |
| 6.394 | What is the probability that Bitcoin price will rise above $68k at any point between now and next meeting (10/10)? | Binary |
| 5.487 | How many U.S. federal executive department heads will the incoming administration announce between the election and December 16, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.303 | New PHEIC in 2024? (Yes) → International Pandemic Treaty before 2025 | Binary |
| 2.882 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (3) | Binary |
| 2.005 | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.458 | Will the Secretary of the US Department of Health and Human Services declare a public health emergency for mpox (monkeypox) before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.181 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.770 | When will monthly global land-surface temperatures fall below record highs? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.688 | What will be the US Dollar ($USD)-Israeli Shekel (₪ NIS) exchange rate on these dates? (December 30) | Continuous |
| 0.594 | Will Nikki Haley end her 2024 primary campaign before March 15, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.553 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 0.111 | By how much will the Fed cut rates at their September meeting? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.102 | How many Starship launches will reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2024? (2) | Binary |
| 0.029 | Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.010 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.019 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Nebraska (Class I)) | Binary |
| -1.250 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -2.683 | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.850 | When will the sixth Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| -5.854 | 2024 Democratic Vice Presidential Nominee? (Josh Shapiro) (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| -7.550 | Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity? | Binary |
| -8.575 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -10.725 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -10.728 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Kamala Harris) (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| -12.964 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Alaska) | Continuous |
| -25.963 | Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season? | Binary |
| -29.540 | Before August 22, 2024, will President Joe Biden take any of these specific actions to end his candidacy for re-election? | Binary |
| -31.604 | How Many States Will Split the Senate-Presidential Ticket in the 2024 US Election? | Multiple Choice |
| -33.651 | Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives? | Binary |
| -34.717 | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| -45.230 | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| -58.785 | Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -58.802 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| -63.915 | Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -65.622 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| -67.274 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New York) | Continuous |
| -68.579 | 2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -71.342 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -74.207 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Florida) | Continuous |
| -76.408 | Will Taylor Swift publicly endorse Kamala Harris for president before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -91.701 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Ohio) | Continuous |
| -101.556 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Texas) | Continuous |
| -103.464 | Will Allan Lichtman’s September 2024 prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct? | Binary |
| -114.301 | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| -117.021 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| -118.815 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (Arizona) | Continuous |
| -123.221 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (No Restriction) | Binary |
| -125.443 | How many executive orders will Joe Biden sign after Election Day and before January 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -134.790 | Will the Republican candidate win the 2024 US Senate election in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -136.343 | Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024? | Binary |
| -170.705 | What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024? (New Jersey) | Continuous |
| -315.941 | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -347.134 | Will at least one of Andrea Bocelli's concerts at Madison Square Garden on December 18 or 19, 2024 sell out? | Binary |