katifish

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Peer Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to others. Users are ranked by the sum of their Peer scores, divided by the sum of their Coverages. This creates a weighted average, where each prediction is counted proportionally to how long it was standing. To reduce the impact of luck, all forecasters start with a prior of 30 questions with a score of 0. Learn more here.

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36.16		Weighted Average Score
Score	Coverage	Question	Question Type
179.322	98.9%	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
165.650	98.4%	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
136.576	99.9%	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
126.151	99.5%	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
121.887	99.3%	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
120.994	99.6%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
119.979	98.9%	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
110.187	99.4%	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
104.724	99.4%	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
99.746	99.6%	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
97.864	84.5%	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
96.203	99.8%	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
95.739	99.1%	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
93.100	99.3%	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
91.047	99.6%	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
89.787	99.3%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
89.670	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
89.630	99.7%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
88.915	99.5%	Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?	Binary
88.449	99.8%	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
85.014	99.4%	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
83.928	99.9%	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
83.346	99.2%	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
83.225	99.1%	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
82.880	95.9%	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
82.726	79.1%	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
81.162	79.3%	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
80.130	99.9%	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
76.643	99.6%	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
75.193	99.2%	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
74.992	99.5%	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
74.275	99.1%	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
74.217	98.5%	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
72.093	98.5%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
71.756	99.2%	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
69.854	99.9%	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
69.289	98.4%	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
66.699	77.0%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
65.973	99.4%	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
63.074	99.2%	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
59.201	98.8%	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
59.003	91.9%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
57.474	98.2%	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
57.368	99.3%	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
56.813	98.2%	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
54.709	99.9%	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
53.381	82.0%	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
53.057	97.9%	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
51.516	67.5%	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
51.358	89.1%	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
51.201	63.4%	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
50.679	100.0%	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
49.895	99.5%	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
46.935	64.7%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
46.211	96.1%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
45.565	99.2%	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
44.432	87.7%	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
44.317	96.3%	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
44.119	77.0%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
44.098	75.4%	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
43.916	92.8%	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
43.096	98.8%	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
41.767	96.1%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
41.617	70.2%	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
39.824	99.3%	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
39.003	98.5%	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
38.855	99.2%	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
38.476	99.1%	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
38.446	99.5%	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
37.741	99.3%	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
36.860	99.5%	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
36.675	91.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
36.091	98.4%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
35.857	99.5%	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
34.941	92.0%	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
34.351	99.4%	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
33.649	99.4%	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
33.021	99.4%	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
32.813	88.0%	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
32.088	99.4%	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
31.424	100.0%	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
31.097	96.1%	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
30.417	99.5%	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
30.105	99.4%	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
29.370	99.5%	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
28.371	83.5%	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
28.061	98.2%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
27.128	98.1%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
26.920	86.9%	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
26.390	99.4%	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
25.774	91.2%	Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
25.295	85.0%	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
24.758	51.2%	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
24.744	98.8%	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
24.163	90.4%	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
24.083	99.5%	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
23.992	57.1%	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
23.645	99.5%	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
22.773	93.9%	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
22.545	98.8%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
22.501	95.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
22.412	97.6%	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
21.195	99.3%	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
21.145	99.2%	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
20.371	91.8%	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
20.187	99.4%	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
19.995	99.4%	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
19.924	75.6%	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
19.864	95.6%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
19.655	98.3%	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
18.545	72.4%	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
18.388	96.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
18.079	99.5%	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
17.753	89.5%	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
17.333	64.7%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9)	Continuous
17.162	92.0%	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
17.123	96.7%	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
16.581	99.1%	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
16.424	62.0%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
16.061	77.0%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
15.610	99.4%	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
15.477	98.5%	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
15.347	58.8%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
15.341	62.0%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
15.114	99.5%	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
15.044	62.0%	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
14.995	96.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
14.939	98.3%	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
14.895	70.4%	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
14.782	90.4%	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
14.696	99.5%	Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise?	Binary
14.549	85.3%	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
14.461	99.5%	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
14.174	99.0%	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
13.831	25.2%	Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025?	Binary
13.581	96.1%	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
13.332	98.5%	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
13.053	64.7%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
12.680	93.8%	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
12.052	18.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
11.772	96.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
11.228	47.1%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
10.988	35.1%	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
10.973	75.9%	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
10.850	89.9%	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
10.287	47.1%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
9.979	83.4%	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
9.342	32.7%	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
9.220	96.7%	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
8.922	91.0%	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
8.847	16.2%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
8.768	79.3%	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
8.641	98.5%	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
8.449	93.9%	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
8.254	20.5%	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025?	Binary
8.194	96.4%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
8.020	98.2%	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
7.907	99.5%	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
7.549	36.7%	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
7.295	47.1%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
6.874	87.3%	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
6.734	60.5%	Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026)	Binary
6.241	77.5%	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
6.054	94.9%	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
5.741	34.7%	Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?	Binary
5.557	99.5%	Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025?	Binary
5.123	86.1%	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
4.915	77.0%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
4.781	58.1%	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
4.742	11.0%	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
4.690	99.4%	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
4.657	13.5%	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
4.644	99.1%	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
3.690	76.8%	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
3.449	55.8%	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
3.345	47.1%	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
3.276	81.8%	Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?	Binary
3.002	98.2%	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
2.711	99.1%	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
2.560	72.8%	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
2.408	94.8%	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
2.352	91.7%	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
2.344	76.8%	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
2.172	15.0%	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
2.172	87.0%	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
1.927	9.8%	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
1.890	14.9%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
1.740	14.9%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
1.551	41.2%	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
1.515	99.5%	Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?	Binary
1.510	99.5%	Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?	Binary
1.485	18.9%	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections?	Binary
1.166	12.1%	Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League?	Binary
0.901	95.7%	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
0.652	15.0%	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
0.461	99.5%	Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
0.449	2.1%	Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025?	Binary
0.234	1.2%	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
-0.159	11.8%	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?	Binary
-0.262	78.4%	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-0.419	15.0%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
-0.475	29.8%	Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025?	Binary
-1.182	99.5%	Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025?	Binary
-1.352	34.0%	Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025?	Binary
-1.381	12.8%	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
-1.470	29.0%	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-1.557	99.5%	Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-3.256	78.1%	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
-3.598	84.7%	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
-4.621	74.2%	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
-7.659	58.7%	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
-8.139	96.8%	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
-8.722	77.0%	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
-9.776	76.8%	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
-10.216	45.4%	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-10.282	95.7%	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
-15.358	98.9%	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-16.370	99.5%	Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?	Binary
-16.564	99.5%	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
-17.909	99.5%	Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?	Binary
-20.749	42.1%	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?	Binary
-36.335	77.0%	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
-72.096	33.2%	Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?	Binary
-213.931	94.0%	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary