| 100.371 | 89.7% | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 81.292 | 98.9% | How many people will be employed in the electric vehicle industry in the United States in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 62.379 | 99.8% | Will Meta claim that there was AI-driven "coordinated inauthentic behavior" to influence the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| 56.935 | 87.7% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Las Vegas Aces) | Binary |
| 53.414 | 56.0% | Will the right-wing incumbent BJP win the 2024 national election in India? | Binary |
| 52.382 | 100.0% | Will Dutch supermarket Albert Heijn still sell crompouces by April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 51.770 | 99.0% | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 47.494 | 99.7% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| 44.854 | 83.7% | How many weeks will influenza-like illness (ILI) activity levels be at "high" or above in at least five states during the 2023-2024 season? | Continuous |
| 44.227 | 62.9% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| 38.181 | 98.9% | What will be the total number of military fatalities at the North and South Korean border between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 35.873 | 99.0% | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 35.540 | 87.5% | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| 34.036 | 98.7% | Will OpenAI Inc. change its mission statement before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 31.268 | 50.8% | Will Johnathan Davis be re-elected at the 2024 ACT election? | Binary |
| 30.716 | 83.0% | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 28.740 | 80.9% | Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 27.857 | 98.5% | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| 26.736 | 38.8% | When will the first Activision/Blizzard/King game be added to Xbox Game Pass? | Continuous |
| 25.127 | 75.8% | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 25.080 | 77.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 24.750 | 58.3% | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| 24.107 | 99.5% | Will the Sacramento Kings advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs in 2024? | Binary |
| 23.598 | 60.8% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 22.849 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Everton) | Continuous |
| 22.649 | 94.4% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 22.138 | 72.7% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 21.985 | 98.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| 20.605 | 62.5% | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 20.566 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 20.073 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 19.949 | 81.9% | Will Kalshi win its lawsuit against the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission before November 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 19.522 | 94.4% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 19.507 | 87.8% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 19.499 | 71.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| 19.483 | 98.1% | What will be the wheat price on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 19.465 | 95.4% | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 19.183 | 99.2% | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 19.134 | 99.5% | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 17.767 | 98.4% | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 17.250 | 55.8% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Missouri) | Continuous |
| 16.285 | 64.0% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 15.872 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 15.775 | 97.7% | Which Republican candidate will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.676 | 99.8% | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Joe Manchin) | Binary |
| 15.565 | 99.0% | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.540 | 64.0% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 15.371 | 75.5% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 15.368 | 58.9% | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 15.354 | 83.2% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Washington Mystics) | Binary |
| 15.035 | 87.2% | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 14.955 | 99.7% | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 14.844 | 72.7% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 14.815 | 99.1% | Will Adobe acquire Figma by the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 14.762 | 91.4% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Massachusetts for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 13.950 | 69.0% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 13.754 | 74.0% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 13.698 | 93.2% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Continuous |
| 13.497 | 99.4% | Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.359 | 86.0% | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| 13.284 | 74.0% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 13.243 | 93.1% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 13.125 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Continuous |
| 12.975 | 78.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 12.929 | 64.0% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 12.902 | 99.0% | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.705 | 57.7% | Will the US claim that Russia has exceeded New START treaty limits on nuclear weapons before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.601 | 71.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 12.572 | 94.3% | Will US Attorney General Merrick Garland be impeached before the 2024 federal election? | Binary |
| 12.559 | 55.9% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (California) | Continuous |
| 12.310 | 49.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| 12.209 | 99.2% | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 12.156 | 60.8% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 12.093 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Sheffield United) | Continuous |
| 12.067 | 75.4% | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.003 | 84.0% | Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.861 | 98.6% | Will at least one nuclear whistle-blower go public between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.808 | 77.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 11.612 | 39.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 11.529 | 84.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 11.461 | 92.1% | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 11.170 | 56.9% | Will Meta's Horizon Worlds report more than 500,000 active users for any month of 2023? | Binary |
| 11.116 | 60.8% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (Peak) | Continuous |
| 11.017 | 84.0% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Seattle Storm) | Binary |
| 10.987 | 42.1% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Pennsylvania for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 10.945 | 91.7% | Will Gary Gensler be subpoenaed by Congress before 2025? | Binary |
| 10.323 | 93.1% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 10.301 | 95.9% | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 10.237 | 47.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 10.077 | 70.4% | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 10.050 | 86.0% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Wolverhampton Wanderers) | Continuous |
| 9.854 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Leinier Domínguez Pérez) | Binary |
| 9.748 | 35.3% | What will China's total population be in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 9.684 | 76.7% | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 9.652 | 61.9% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI investors against OpenAI board) | Binary |
| 9.590 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 9.541 | 99.3% | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 9.510 | 84.3% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Phoenix Mercury) | Binary |
| 9.505 | 99.4% | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.436 | 99.7% | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 9.174 | 93.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 9.082 | 59.1% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Pennsylvania) | Continuous |
| 9.060 | 44.3% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Missouri for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 9.046 | 60.2% | Will Ursula von der Leyen be re-appointed as President of the European Commission following the 2024 European elections? | Binary |
| 8.609 | 59.1% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (New York) | Continuous |
| 8.401 | 31.3% | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 8.365 | 96.8% | By what year will AI resolve binary questions on Metaculus? (2025) | Binary |
| 8.362 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Brighton And Hove Albion) | Continuous |
| 8.343 | 83.2% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Chicago Sky) | Binary |
| 8.122 | 99.8% | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mitt Romney) | Binary |
| 8.060 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Continuous |
| 8.043 | 37.2% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
New York for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 7.961 | 89.5% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Minnesota Lynx) | Binary |
| 7.931 | 72.0% | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.787 | 99.7% | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 7.764 | 85.1% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 7.753 | 98.1% | What will be the UK natural gas futures price (GBp/thm) for May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 7.674 | 29.9% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 7.188 | 71.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| 7.151 | 78.6% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 7.109 | 83.2% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Los Angeles Sparks) | Binary |
| 6.838 | 43.8% | In these months, what will be Biden's polling margin over Trump according to RealClearPolitics' 2024 election polling average? (Feb-2024) | Continuous |
| 6.752 | 77.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 6.669 | 43.3% | When will Israel lift the Gaza Strip total blockade on four essential goods? | Continuous |
| 6.654 | 98.6% | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 6.651 | 74.4% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 6.422 | 99.7% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 6.198 | 50.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 6.149 | 37.2% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
California for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 5.803 | 53.3% | Will the stock price of NVIDIA trade below $250 (adjusted to pre-split value) for at least 1 full day before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.791 | 88.4% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Connecticut Sun) | Binary |
| 5.769 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 5.625 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 5.437 | 58.4% | Will Spain announce a snap general election before March 2024? | Binary |
| 5.380 | 74.4% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 5.354 | 72.3% | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.323 | 99.8% | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Mark Cuban) | Binary |
| 5.190 | 34.5% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 5.186 | 20.7% | Will a major attack on voting systems in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.124 | 35.8% | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| 5.050 | 63.4% | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 5.040 | 74.8% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 5.005 | 93.7% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 4.957 | 95.6% | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.915 | 44.3% | Will India conduct a military intervention against Pakistan before the 2024 Indian general elections? | Binary |
| 4.911 | 74.0% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 4.890 | 98.5% | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 4.654 | 99.8% | Who will declare as a third-party or independent candidate for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dwayne Johnson) | Binary |
| 4.581 | 20.7% | Will a stock exchange halt trading for >24 hours with a cause widely attributed to AI before 2025? | Binary |
| 4.496 | 45.8% | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 4.419 | 47.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 4.408 | 84.0% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Atlanta Dream) | Binary |
| 4.395 | 99.7% | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 4.335 | 37.2% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Illinois for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 4.287 | 79.5% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 4.278 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 4.227 | 70.4% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 4.207 | 76.0% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 4.204 | 54.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 4.169 | 62.4% | Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.169 | 49.7% | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 4.077 | 84.3% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Indiana Fever) | Binary |
| 3.985 | 73.3% | Will Hawaiian Electric Company file for bankruptcy before 2025? | Binary |
| 3.984 | 13.4% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 3.897 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 3.846 | 65.0% | Will a New or Joint "Worst 82-Game Regular Season Record" in NBA History be set in 2024? | Binary |
| 3.800 | 61.9% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Government antitrust against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 3.730 | 96.3% | LLM passes ARA before 2025? (No) → LLM training paused for dangerous capability? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 3.592 | 87.7% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| 3.540 | 75.3% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 3.497 | 86.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 3.345 | 18.9% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 3.332 | 83.2% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Dallas Wings) | Binary |
| 3.320 | 98.4% | Will Cris Ericson win the 2024 United States Senate election in Vermont? | Binary |
| 3.318 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 3.289 | 87.7% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Microsoft) | Binary |
| 3.247 | 34.5% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 3.216 | 95.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 3.168 | 76.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 3.118 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 3.112 | 29.7% | Will the ANC receive more than 50% of the vote in the 2024 South African general election? | Binary |
| 2.980 | 95.5% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 2.959 | 54.0% | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.901 | 50.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 2.885 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| 2.879 | 77.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| 2.833 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 2.818 | 20.7% | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.794 | 25.6% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks? (Jan. 13, 2024) | Continuous |
| 2.758 | 99.7% | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.724 | 50.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 2.666 | 49.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 2.647 | 33.9% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 2.639 | 98.3% | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.626 | 82.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 2.618 | 15.0% | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the general ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 2.584 | 95.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 2.558 | 10.7% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Chris Christie) | Continuous |
| 2.437 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 2.420 | 50.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 2.408 | 94.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 2.400 | 79.9% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 2.393 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Continuous |
| 2.343 | 55.8% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Texas) | Continuous |
| 2.316 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 2.274 | 81.6% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 2.269 | 67.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 2.253 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 2.245 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 2.215 | 16.2% | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 2.208 | 68.0% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 2.182 | 22.7% | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.175 | 70.3% | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 2.111 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Parham Maghsoodloo) | Binary |
| 2.021 | 62.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 1.999 | 90.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 1.943 | 35.5% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 1.930 | 86.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 1.909 | 83.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 1.906 | 98.2% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 1.889 | 59.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 1.883 | 87.0% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 1.881 | 76.5% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
| 1.881 | 56.8% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 1.849 | 71.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 1.811 | 87.7% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (Sam Altman against OpenAI) | Binary |
| 1.793 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 1.788 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 1.780 | 79.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 1.776 | 57.3% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 1.752 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 1.748 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 1.745 | 78.6% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 1.741 | 37.2% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Washington for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| 1.726 | 45.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 1.717 | 66.6% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 1.715 | 40.6% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 1.701 | 62.0% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 1.699 | 34.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 1.698 | 87.7% | Will lawsuits related to the firing of Sam Altman by OpenAI be filed with the following plaintiffs and defendants before March 1, 2024? (OpenAI against Sam Altman) | Binary |
| 1.680 | 70.4% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 1.664 | 62.0% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 1.660 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 1.637 | 98.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 1.626 | 58.9% | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 1.608 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 1.603 | 78.6% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 1.584 | 60.4% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 1.580 | 59.6% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 1.578 | 96.1% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Burnley) | Continuous |
| 1.572 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 1.563 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 1.538 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 1.537 | 57.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 1.537 | 66.6% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 1.522 | 55.0% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 1.499 | 47.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 1.448 | 19.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 1.445 | 90.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 1.445 | 99.7% | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.417 | 49.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 1.412 | 54.7% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 1.407 | 7.9% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 1.399 | 95.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 1.395 | 18.3% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 1.390 | 71.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 1.385 | 88.1% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 1.381 | 71.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 1.369 | 58.5% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 1.367 | 80.6% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 1.347 | 74.4% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 1.337 | 40.6% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 1.324 | 50.5% | Will Tether collapse before 2025? | Binary |
| 1.291 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 1.282 | 23.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 1.276 | 24.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 1.273 | 77.1% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 1.264 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 1.261 | 28.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 1.242 | 66.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 1.237 | 60.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 1.228 | 60.2% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Terry Gou (Independent)) | Binary |
| 1.213 | 80.6% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 1.211 | 11.3% | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 1.207 | 14.8% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 1.193 | 19.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 1.176 | 25.5% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 1.169 | 81.4% | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 1.093 | 2.4% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Continuous |
| 1.085 | 79.8% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 1.082 | 35.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 1.025 | 64.4% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 1.013 | 31.8% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 0.997 | 99.7% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 0.990 | 40.6% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 0.976 | 95.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 0.971 | 70.1% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
| 0.966 | 74.4% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 0.917 | 79.5% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 0.902 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 0.898 | 40.6% | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 0.882 | 75.2% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 0.881 | 50.0% | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 0.870 | 63.6% | Will at least 2 of the countries listed below be reinfected with either WPV1 or cVDPV before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.852 | 60.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 0.852 | 19.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 0.850 | 7.2% | Will Georgian Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili experience a significant leadership disruption before the next scheduled election? | Binary |
| 0.787 | 71.1% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 0.754 | 19.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 0.742 | 71.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 0.719 | 75.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 0.711 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 0.700 | 17.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 0.693 | 97.6% | Will the German value-added tax (VAT) of plant-based milks be reduced to be the same as cow's milk by end of 2024? | Binary |
| 0.692 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 0.686 | 13.0% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 0.682 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 0.681 | 18.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 0.675 | 75.1% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 0.659 | 1.9% | Will at least 3 months of third party safety evaluations be conducted on Gemini before its deployment? | Binary |
| 0.656 | 71.4% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 0.637 | 12.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 0.625 | 1.6% | Will the weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV equal or exceed 3.0 in the same week in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 0.618 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 0.588 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 0.586 | 97.5% | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 0.576 | 36.2% | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 0.571 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 0.569 | 67.9% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 0.556 | 12.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 0.555 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 0.542 | 98.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 0.539 | 78.6% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 0.529 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 0.526 | 14.9% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 0.506 | 85.3% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 0.504 | 11.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 0.484 | 60.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 0.474 | 19.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 0.472 | 86.1% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 0.467 | 99.1% | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.465 | 82.2% | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 0.458 | 20.7% | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 0.455 | 57.6% | Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024? | Binary |
| 0.454 | 10.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 0.453 | 50.9% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 0.438 | 85.3% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 0.437 | 5.4% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Emmett Shear) | Binary |
| 0.381 | 24.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 0.375 | 17.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 0.367 | 92.1% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 0.353 | 93.7% | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 0.297 | 18.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 0.270 | 2.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.265 | 0.6% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Nikki Haley) | Continuous |
| 0.261 | 13.7% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 0.239 | 5.4% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Ilya Sutskever) | Binary |
| 0.230 | 3.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 0.214 | 2.0% | Will Oil Exports account for less than 70% of Saudi Arabian exports in Q1 2024? | Binary |
| 0.197 | 3.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 0.180 | 0.9% | Will Alphabet’s (GOOG) market capitalisation fall below $1 Trillion by 2025? | Binary |
| 0.174 | 21.9% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 0.169 | 5.4% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Andrej Karpathy) | Binary |
| 0.139 | 2.7% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| 0.131 | 5.4% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Satya Nadella) | Binary |
| 0.127 | 47.5% | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 0.109 | 21.9% | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 0.103 | 5.4% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Eric Schmidt) | Binary |
| 0.093 | 55.9% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Florida) | Continuous |
| 0.084 | 1.4% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 0.034 | 0.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.025 | 4.7% | What will the unemployment rate be in the eurozone in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 0.011 | 0.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 0.007 | 0.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 0.007 | 0.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| - | 99.5% | What will the end of year unemployment rate in South Africa be, according to the Q4 QLFS report, in the following years? (2024) | Continuous |
| -0.206 | 98.1% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| -0.328 | 34.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| -0.353 | 99.5% | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| -0.428 | 86.0% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Fulham) | Continuous |
| -0.576 | 5.1% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Ko Wen-je (TPP)) | Binary |
| -0.695 | 65.6% | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| -0.792 | 98.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| -0.796 | 5.1% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Hou Yu-ih (Kuomintang)) | Binary |
| -0.801 | 83.3% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| -0.862 | 96.0% | Will Linda Yaccarino be the CEO of Twitter on July 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.056 | 8.3% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Mira Murati) | Binary |
| -1.106 | 24.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| -1.127 | 76.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| -1.484 | 81.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| -1.738 | 55.9% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Colorado) | Continuous |
| -2.090 | 5.1% | Who will win the 2024 Taiwanese presidential election? (Lai Ching-te (DPP)) | Binary |
| -2.528 | 100.0% | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| -2.781 | 63.9% | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| -2.876 | 76.6% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| -2.941 | 86.9% | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| -3.432 | 19.0% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| -3.622 | 86.7% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -3.804 | 99.0% | UN Troops In Gaza (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| -3.908 | 93.6% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Luton Town) | Continuous |
| -4.151 | 93.1% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| -4.157 | 61.3% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Texas for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -4.789 | 24.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| -4.794 | 18.2% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| -5.181 | 55.8% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Washington) | Continuous |
| -5.516 | 94.8% | What will the UK consumer price inflation rate for April 2024 be? | Continuous |
| -5.517 | 99.7% | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| -5.894 | 22.2% | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| -5.928 | 61.2% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Colorado for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -6.043 | 86.9% | Will a major political party leave the I.N.D.I.A. alliance before the next Indian general election? | Binary |
| -6.523 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Continuous |
| -6.830 | 13.4% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Asa Hutchinson) | Continuous |
| -7.037 | 79.8% | What percent of US adults will report having received an updated COVID booster vaccine for the 2023-2024 season on the following dates? (March 30, 2024) | Continuous |
| -7.299 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| -8.052 | 38.7% | What will be the weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations in
Florida for these periods? (March 2, 2024) | Continuous |
| -8.849 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Crystal Palace) | Continuous |
| -8.888 | 49.3% | Will China's economy grow faster than India's in 2023? | Binary |
| -9.396 | 55.8% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Illinois) | Continuous |
| -10.211 | 99.3% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| -10.332 | 93.1% | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| -10.523 | 77.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| -12.375 | 81.0% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| -12.534 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (West Ham United) | Continuous |
| -12.678 | 99.5% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Nottingham Forest) | Continuous |
| -13.356 | 55.8% | When will the maximum weekly total number of influenza hospitalizations occur in the following states? (Massachusetts) | Continuous |
| -13.384 | 72.3% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Continuous |
| -13.451 | 8.3% | Who will be the next non-interim CEO of OpenAI? (Sam Altman) | Binary |
| -14.700 | 77.2% | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| -19.510 | 96.1% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Bournemouth) | Continuous |
| -23.674 | 89.5% | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (New York Liberty) | Binary |
| -30.803 | 72.1% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (RSV) | Continuous |
| -35.976 | 72.1% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Combined) | Continuous |
| -41.043 | 94.9% | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -43.101 | 98.6% | Will the Georgia Power Co Vogtle nuclear power plant Unit 4 be operational in May, 2024? | Binary |
| -43.805 | 86.7% | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Brentford) | Continuous |
| -46.619 | 83.1% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (Flu) | Continuous |
| -47.726 | 83.5% | When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2023-2024 season? (COVID-19) | Continuous |
| -77.158 | 98.2% | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| -122.741 | 89.4% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -132.437 | 97.6% | When will these Republicans end their 2024 primary campaigns? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| -171.710 | 90.6% | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |