| 136.482 | How many additional indictments will have been filed against Donald Trump on May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 98.559 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Hamas) | Binary |
| 98.559 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (International Government) | Binary |
| 98.512 | Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 98.358 | LLM passes ARA before 2025? (No) → LLM training paused for dangerous capability? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 98.194 | Will the US and Iran be primary actors on opposite sides of a war before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.129 | Will there be a non-test nuclear detonation in Iran before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.914 | India Acts in Pakistan by 2024 Election? (No) → Fatality due to Nuclear Detonation by 2025? | Binary |
| 97.404 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 97.198 | Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before these dates? (2025) | Binary |
| 97.146 | Trump Removed or Blocked From Primary Ballot? (No) → 2024 Republican Presidential Nominee? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 96.838 | Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99? | Binary |
| 96.155 | Will Israel use nuclear weapons in combat before October 7, 2024? | Binary |
| 95.836 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Borussia Dortmund) | Binary |
| 92.337 | Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 92.083 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Continuous |
| 91.525 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 91.525 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 91.345 | If Donald Trump is the Republican Nominee for President in 2024, will his name appear on the ballot in the State of Colorado on Election Day? | Binary |
| 90.560 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 90.560 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Fabiano Caruana) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vishwanathan Anand) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Amin Tabatabaei) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Richard Rapport) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexander Grischuk) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nihal Sarin) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alexandr Predke) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Etienne Bacrot) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 90.559 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Yuriy Kuzubov) | Binary |
| 87.246 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 85.092 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 84.330 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Paris Saint-Germain) | Binary |
| 84.309 | Will a third-party or independent candidate win at least 15% of the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 84.285 | Will Libya hold a presidential election before 2025? | Binary |
| 83.941 | Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? (No) → 2024 US election considered fraudulent? | Binary |
| 83.689 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Nijat Abasov) | Binary |
| 83.689 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Sam Sevian) | Binary |
| 83.161 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 83.161 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Larry Elder) | Binary |
| 83.161 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 82.919 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025? | Binary |
| 82.745 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Will Hurd) | Binary |
| 82.271 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Andre Esipenko) | Binary |
| 81.341 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Francis Suarez) | Binary |
| 81.329 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Dean Phillips) | Binary |
| 81.278 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Asa Hutchinson) | Binary |
| 79.890 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be generally available in the European Union on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 79.053 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Continuous |
| 78.996 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Cenk Uygur) | Binary |
| 77.823 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Marianne Williamson) | Binary |
| 76.443 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| 75.108 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 74.945 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Florida) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Ohio) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Texas) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Alaska) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Iowa) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Mexico) | Binary |
| 74.654 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Virginia) | Binary |
| 74.612 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Athletico Madrid) | Binary |
| 74.607 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Barcelona) | Binary |
| 74.001 | Which country will lead the medal table at the Paris 2024 Summer Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.556 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Hampshire) | Binary |
| 73.550 | Will the maximum weekly rate of hospitalizations per 100,000 in the US occur within four weeks of the combined peak for each of COVID, influenza, and RSV in the 2023-24 season? | Binary |
| 72.560 | Donald Trump wins 2024 Republican Nomination? (Yes) → Donald Trump as Third-Party Candidate 2024? | Binary |
| 72.345 | Will western sources conclude, before 2025, that Israel has used white phosphorus improperly? | Binary |
| 71.945 | On Election Day 2024, will Donald Trump be a third-party candidate for the US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 71.326 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Minnesota) | Binary |
| 71.321 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Bayern Munich) | Binary |
| 68.404 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Jill Stein) | Binary |
| 68.404 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Cornel West) | Binary |
| 68.404 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Chase Oliver) | Binary |
| 68.114 | Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025? | Binary |
| 66.037 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Colorado) | Binary |
| 66.037 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (statewide)) | Binary |
| 63.890 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Dallas Mavericks) | Binary |
| 60.879 | Will Donald Trump be removed or blocked from the primary election ballot of any U.S. state for a federal office under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment? | Binary |
| 60.467 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Uruguay-Argentina-Chile-Paraguay) | Binary |
| 60.467 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Ukraine-Morocco) | Binary |
| 60.467 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Spain-Portugal-Morocco) | Binary |
| 60.467 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Egypt-Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 60.467 | Which bid will be selected to host the 2030 FIFA World Cup? (Greece-Saudi Arabia) | Binary |
| 59.596 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 59.086 | Will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 58.912 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Palestinian Authority / Fatah) | Binary |
| 58.898 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Inter Milan) | Binary |
| 58.865 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (PSV) | Binary |
| 58.465 | How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024? (Q4 (ends Dec 2024)) | Continuous |
| 58.306 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Napoli) | Binary |
| 58.306 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Porto) | Binary |
| 57.280 | Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant be classified as a Variant of Concern (VOC) or worse in the United States before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.880 | Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.880 | Will there be at least one operational nuclear power plant in Germany on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 56.858 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (North Carolina) | Binary |
| 56.549 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Minnesota Timberwolves) | Binary |
| 56.530 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Indiana Pacers) | Binary |
| 56.010 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Copenhagen) | Binary |
| 55.905 | Will TikTok US be sold to a US entity before 2025? | Binary |
| 55.547 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Leipzig) | Binary |
| 55.446 | Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024? | Binary |
| 55.085 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Sociedad) | Binary |
| 55.084 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lazio) | Binary |
| 54.844 | Will China engage in a full-scale blockade against Taiwan before the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| 54.289 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Minnesota Lynx) | Binary |
| 53.983 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Shared Power) | Binary |
| 53.968 | Will there be at least 1 fatality from a non-test nuclear detonation before 2025? | Binary |
| 53.244 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New York Knicks) | Binary |
| 52.919 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Oklahoma City Thunder) | Binary |
| 52.859 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Google Deep Mind) | Binary |
| 51.899 | Meaningful commitments from UK AI Summit? (No) → ChatGPT available in Europe on June 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 51.693 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Cleveland Cavaliers) | Binary |
| 51.379 | Will Russia impose a total ban on Apple products before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 50.851 | Will Joe Biden be unwillingly removed from any state ballot relevant to the 2024 Presidential election? | Binary |
| 49.408 | Will Donald J. Trump be convicted of at least one count in his federal court cases before the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 49.276 | Will OpenAI be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.275 | Will Elon Musk be chairman of X (formerly Twitter) on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.272 | Will X (formerly Twitter) be a public company on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.272 | Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.269 | Will an LLM by Apple be ranked in the top-5 on the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on May 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 49.265 | How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024? (Q4 (ends Dec 2024)) | Continuous |
| 49.140 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Indiana Fever) | Binary |
| 49.140 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Phoenix Mercury) | Binary |
| 49.135 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Donald Trump (R)) | Binary |
| 48.824 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Atlanta Dream) | Binary |
| 48.044 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Los Angeles Sparks) | Binary |
| 48.044 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Washington Mystics) | Binary |
| 48.044 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Dallas Wings) | Binary |
| 47.590 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Orlando Magic) | Binary |
| 47.415 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Chicago Sky) | Binary |
| 47.276 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 47.276 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 47.276 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 47.276 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 47.276 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 47.138 | Will an investigation conducted by or on behalf of any NATO government report that the US was involved in the destruction of the Nord Stream pipeline before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.931 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Clippers) | Binary |
| 46.878 | Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 46.706 | Will a Chinese firm market an ArFi photolithography machine before 2025? | Binary |
| 46.518 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Philadelphia 76ers) | Binary |
| 46.323 | Will a major Republican run as a third-party candidate in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 46.088 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Miami Heat) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Renew) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (Greens–EFA) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ECR) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (ID) | Binary |
| 45.917 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (GUE-NGL) | Binary |
| 45.789 | Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 45.340 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Los Angeles Lakers) | Binary |
| 45.316 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (New Orleans Pelicans) | Binary |
| 45.276 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Seattle Storm) | Binary |
| 43.530 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2023/24 Premier League season? | Binary |
| 42.155 | Will Apple announce Apple Glasses before 2025? | Binary |
| 41.373 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Sacremento Kings) | Binary |
| 41.332 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Chicago Bulls) | Binary |
| 41.323 | Will a theft of >$10M of intellectual property be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 41.322 | Will an infrastructure disaster costing >$1B in a G20 country be widely attributed to an AI cyberattack before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.740 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q3 (FY2025, ends Oct 2024)) | Continuous |
| 40.587 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Atlanta Hawks) | Binary |
| 40.380 | Will the entire Internet Archive website be taken offline before 2025? | Binary |
| 40.057 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Phoenix Suns) | Binary |
| 39.491 | How many total arm sales to Taiwan will the US State Department approve between January 1, 2024 and May 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| 37.393 | Will a major cyberattack, virus, worm, etc. that uses LLMs in some important way occur before January 1st, 2025? | Binary |
| 36.766 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Brooklyn Nets) | Binary |
| 36.765 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Houston Rockets) | Binary |
| 35.746 | Will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000 before 2025? | Binary |
| 35.240 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Golden State Warriors) | Binary |
| 35.183 | Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024? | Binary |
| 35.165 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Connecticut Sun) | Binary |
| 34.873 | Which political group will hold the most seats after the 2024 European Parliamentary Elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 34.655 | How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024? (Q3 (ends Sep 2024)) | Continuous |
| 33.388 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (EPP) | Binary |
| 33.358 | Will a politician claim they lost a major election due to a "deepfake" image, video, or audio recording in a G20 country before 2025? | Binary |
| 33.161 | Will the Republican Party retain California's 20th District in the 2024 special election? | Binary |
| 33.122 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New Jersey) | Binary |
| 32.268 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Toronto Raptors) | Binary |
| 32.268 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Utah Jazz) | Binary |
| 32.085 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Meta) | Binary |
| 31.556 | How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024? (Q2 (ends Jun 2024)) | Continuous |
| 30.803 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 30.684 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Charlotte Hornets) | Binary |
| 29.876 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Memphis Grizzlies) | Binary |
| 28.496 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Milwaukee Bucks) | Binary |
| 28.420 | How much quarterly revenue will SMIC earn from 12" wafers in 2024? (Q3 (ends Sep 2024)) | Continuous |
| 28.412 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Denver Nuggets) | Binary |
| 28.216 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Portland Trail Blazers) | Binary |
| 27.317 | How many false keys will there be in the 2024 edition of "The Keys to the White House"? | Continuous |
| 26.965 | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (September 2024) | Continuous |
| 26.079 | UN Troops In Gaza (No) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 25.363 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Washington Wizards) | Binary |
| 25.066 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Detroit Pistons) | Binary |
| 24.765 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q2 (FY2025, ends Jul 2024)) | Continuous |
| 24.587 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (San Antonio Spurs) | Binary |
| 23.287 | Which political group will the President of the European Commission be affiliated with following the 2024 elections? (S&D) | Binary |
| 20.612 | Will Dutch supermarket Albert Heijn still sell crompouces by April 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 19.188 | How many 8"-equivalent wafers will SMIC ship in each quarter of 2024? (Q2 (ends Jun 2024)) | Continuous |
| 19.176 | Will Bing's search engine market share be at least 5% in March of 2024? | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ron DeSantis) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Vivek Ramaswamy) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Mike Pence) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tim Scott) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Chris Christie) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nikki Haley) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tucker Carlson) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Donald Trump Jr.) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ivanka Trump) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kari Lake) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Huckabee Sanders) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marjorie Taylor Greene) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Glenn Youngkin) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Sarah Palin) | Binary |
| 19.025 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kim Reynolds) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Kristi Noem) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ted Cruz) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Byron Donalds) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Joni Ernst) | Binary |
| 19.024 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Nancy Mace) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Tulsi Gabbard) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Elise Stefanik) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Katie Britt) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Ben Carson) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Marco Rubio) | Binary |
| 19.017 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (Doug Burgum) | Binary |
| 18.768 | Who will be the 2024 Republican nominee for Vice President on election day? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 18.508 | Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates? (March 15, 2024) | Binary |
| 17.441 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 17.441 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (J.D. Vance) | Binary |
| 17.441 | Who will be elected US President in 2024? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 16.743 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Shakhtar Donetsk) | Binary |
| 16.743 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 16.743 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (AC Milan) | Binary |
| 16.281 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 16.281 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Galatasaray) | Binary |
| 16.271 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Braga) | Binary |
| 15.225 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2025? | Binary |
| 13.559 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nevada) | Binary |
| 13.391 | When will OpenAI make the GPT-4 model available for free ChatGPT users? | Continuous |
| 13.257 | What will China's total population be in these years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 11.505 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Wisconsin) | Binary |
| 10.780 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the 2024 presidential election in Taiwan? | Binary |
| 10.319 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Sevilla) | Binary |
| 10.319 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Lens) | Binary |
| 10.287 | Will Israeli forces reach the Palestinian Legislative Council building in Gaza before the listed dates? (March 1, 2024) | Binary |
| 9.857 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Crvena Zvezda) | Binary |
| 9.857 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Feyenoord) | Binary |
| 9.857 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Celtic) | Binary |
| 8.459 | Will a New or Joint "Worst 82-Game Regular Season Record" in NBA History be set in 2024? | Binary |
| 7.430 | If these candidates are nominated, will they win the 2024 US Presidential Election? (Kamala Harris (D)) | Binary |
| 6.306 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 5.193 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| 4.527 | Will the Sacramento Kings advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs in 2024? | Binary |
| 4.463 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 3.986 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 3.907 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (OpenAI) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Senator Bob Menendez (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Mikie Sherrill (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Andy Kim (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Donald Norcross (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Josh Gottheimer (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Frank Pallone (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Representative Bonnie Watson Coleman (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (State Senate Majority Leader Teresa Ruiz (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Lt. Governor Tahesha Way (D)) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (Vacant) | Binary |
| 1.349 | Who will be the Class I Senator from New Jersey on February 1, 2024? (NJ First Lady Tammy Murphy (D)) | Binary |
| 0.940 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 0.848 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 0.837 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 0.781 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.781 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Nebraska (2nd CD)) | Binary |
| 0.781 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (New York) | Binary |
| 0.781 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Maine (1st CD)) | Binary |
| 0.546 | Will Twitter announce a policy of marking tweets as possibly AI generated before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.541 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (RB Salzburg) | Binary |
| 0.506 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Union Berlin) | Binary |
| 0.506 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Benfica) | Binary |
| 0.438 | Will Apple Watch feature a blood pressure monitor before 2025? | Binary |
| 0.108 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Antwerp) | Binary |
| 0.080 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Young Boys) | Binary |
| -0.353 | How much of Nvidia's quarterly 2024 revenue (FY 2025) will come from the Chinese market? (Q1 (FY2025, ends Apr 2024)) | Continuous |
| -1.276 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Arizona) | Binary |
| -3.283 | What will President Joe Biden's net approval rating be on November 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| -5.581 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| -5.883 | Will there be 100 or more homicides in Portland, Oregon in 2023? | Binary |
| -13.624 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| -17.490 | How many Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024? | Continuous |
| -21.080 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Real Madrid) | Binary |
| -24.751 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Inflection) | Binary |
| -28.529 | Which team will win the 2024 NBA Finals? (Boston Celtics) | Binary |
| -29.160 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| -32.591 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (New York Liberty) | Binary |
| -36.116 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| -36.117 | Which teams will advance to the divisional round of the 2024 NFL playoffs? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| -42.135 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Pennsylvania) | Binary |
| -43.397 | Will Donald Trump be found guilty of any crime in the Manhattan case before Election Day 2024? | Binary |
| -47.297 | How many points will be scored by these teams in the 2023-2024 Premier League? (Sheffield United) | Continuous |
| -48.272 | Will AI be meaningfully discussed by both candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Debates? | Binary |
| -53.910 | Will the Republican nominee for President in 2024 win these battleground states? (Michigan) | Binary |
| -55.086 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| -57.759 | Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024? (Anthropic) | Binary |
| -77.810 | Musk Chairman Of Twitter in 2024? (Yes) → Twitter Public Company in May 2024? | Binary |
| -96.649 | Which team will win the 2024 WNBA Finals? (Las Vegas Aces) | Binary |
| -114.461 | Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025? (Contested) | Binary |
| -118.551 | Which team will win the 2023/2024 UEFA Champions League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| -200.731 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| -200.747 | In the 2024 U.S. presidential election, will Donald Trump and Joe Biden be the top two candidates in terms of electoral votes received? | Binary |
| -212.209 | When will Israel lift the Gaza Strip total blockade on four essential goods? | Continuous |
| -227.274 | Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years? (2025) | Binary |
| -260.651 | Which 8 players will participate in the 2024 FIDE Candidates tournament? (Gukesh Dommaraju) | Binary |
| -286.548 | Will Russian athletes be barred from competing at the 2024 Olympics? | Binary |