132.298 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
131.590 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
106.740 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
105.698 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
100.377 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
99.847 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
99.775 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
99.579 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
95.470 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
95.138 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
94.811 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
93.215 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
92.078 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
90.355 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
89.193 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
87.722 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
87.215 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
86.417 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
86.199 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
85.386 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
85.369 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
84.584 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
83.699 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
83.619 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
82.474 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
82.057 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
82.052 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
79.797 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
76.834 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
76.185 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
75.991 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
75.072 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
74.185 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
73.995 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
73.567 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
73.005 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
72.883 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
70.658 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
70.281 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
70.166 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
67.181 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
66.935 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
66.556 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
66.270 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
65.466 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
64.471 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
64.343 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
63.833 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
63.005 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
62.825 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
61.463 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
60.216 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
59.713 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
59.586 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
59.064 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
58.496 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
58.025 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
57.886 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
56.938 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
55.956 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
54.902 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
54.245 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
53.042 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
52.692 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
52.483 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
52.237 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
51.734 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
50.417 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
50.135 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
48.420 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
46.800 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
46.343 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
45.691 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
45.481 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
45.394 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
45.231 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
42.885 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
42.648 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
42.606 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
41.405 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
41.070 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
40.818 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
40.704 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
39.527 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
39.463 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
39.439 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
39.216 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
38.706 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
37.850 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
36.997 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
36.963 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
36.937 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
36.493 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
36.454 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
35.171 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
35.033 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
34.094 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
32.303 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
31.594 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
30.807 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
30.236 | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
30.142 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
29.620 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
29.456 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
27.214 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
26.942 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
26.738 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
25.403 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
25.360 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
23.562 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
23.243 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
20.818 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
20.808 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
20.326 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
20.255 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
18.010 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
16.706 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
16.436 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
16.221 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
16.137 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
15.569 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
14.673 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
14.072 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
13.884 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
12.165 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
11.432 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
11.138 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
10.854 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
9.945 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
9.853 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
9.273 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
9.214 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
7.884 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
7.231 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
6.836 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
5.157 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
4.943 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
3.060 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
2.896 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
1.251 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
0.398 | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
0.207 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
- | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
-0.790 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-2.729 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-3.235 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
-5.195 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-5.218 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
-5.261 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-6.158 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-6.700 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-6.716 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-7.060 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
-9.858 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-10.691 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-11.055 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-11.518 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
-16.060 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
-18.355 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
-19.216 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
-19.719 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-21.506 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-21.984 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-22.888 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-27.145 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-27.292 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-29.545 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-31.228 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-34.445 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-35.525 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-36.173 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-36.361 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
-37.551 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-43.375 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-47.224 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
-51.341 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-51.818 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-59.440 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
-60.326 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-67.385 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-68.899 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-77.589 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
-78.133 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-84.515 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-87.779 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-90.853 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-93.799 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-94.885 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
-120.991 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-123.683 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-129.798 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
-131.309 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-157.567 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-210.638 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-219.668 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-229.465 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-375.039 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-736.709 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
-839.285 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |