98.706 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
95.324 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
93.842 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
92.136 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
84.996 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
81.655 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
79.929 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
79.096 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
77.091 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
76.405 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
73.856 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
73.495 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
73.302 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
72.226 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
71.794 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
69.988 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
69.049 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
66.142 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
65.626 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
64.484 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
63.050 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
62.407 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
59.888 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
59.865 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
56.760 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
56.228 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
55.839 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
55.652 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
54.517 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
53.927 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
50.745 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
50.109 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
50.019 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
49.872 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
49.583 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
48.407 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
46.148 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
44.705 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
43.546 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
42.307 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
42.246 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
40.745 | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
40.290 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
39.959 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
39.583 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
34.738 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
34.273 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
33.952 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
32.365 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
31.881 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
30.742 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
30.024 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
29.271 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
28.883 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
27.204 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
25.025 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
24.962 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
24.372 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
24.173 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
22.994 | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
22.917 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
20.132 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
18.809 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
18.170 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
18.139 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
17.972 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
17.636 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
16.807 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
16.807 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
16.112 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
15.985 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
15.916 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
15.294 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
15.092 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
14.519 | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for overtime income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
13.513 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
13.446 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
13.335 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
13.193 | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
12.005 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
11.664 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
11.342 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
11.318 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
11.119 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
10.782 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
10.698 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
10.236 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
10.224 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
9.789 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
9.017 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
8.665 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
7.496 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
7.359 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
6.567 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
5.883 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
5.747 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
5.211 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
4.179 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
3.909 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
3.487 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
3.349 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
2.963 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
2.931 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
2.855 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
2.720 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
2.716 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
2.557 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
2.487 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
1.617 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
1.450 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
- | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
- | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
-1.166 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
-1.244 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-5.331 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-7.373 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-8.943 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-9.207 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
-10.828 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-11.091 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-14.091 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
-14.384 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
-14.602 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
-15.132 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-16.297 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
-16.654 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
-18.024 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-18.240 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-18.463 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-19.091 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-22.402 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-26.206 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
-26.785 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
-27.788 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-32.138 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-39.113 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-52.463 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
-55.375 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
-66.256 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
-72.095 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-77.142 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-80.184 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
-82.637 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
-108.119 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-145.087 | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
-155.584 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-393.081 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |