Contests
This page shows the obsolete contests. They were superseded in April 2021 by Tournaments.
| Contest | Start | End | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasting AI Progress — Bayes Prize Leaderboard | Dec 13, 2020 | Apr 16, 2021 | 81 |
| Consensus Forecasting | . | . | . |
| Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament I | Feb 17, 2020 | Jun 17, 2020 | 52 |
| Li Wenliang Tournament 2 | . | . | . |
| Covid-19 Tournament Round 2 | . | . | . |
| Cryptocurrency Prediction Contest | Sep 14, 2017 | Dec 1, 2017 | 24 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Deep Learning Round | Feb 13, 2021 | Apr 16, 2021 | 30 |
| El Paso Series | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [first tournament] | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [second tournament] | . | . | . |
| Foresight 2020 contest | Oct 14, 2019 | Oct 31, 2020 | 13 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Hill Climbing Round | Jan 13, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Lockdown Tournament | . | . | . |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Maximum Likelihood Round | Dec 9, 2020 | Jun 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Road to recovery | Oct 1, 2020 | Feb 28, 2021 | 16 |
| Salk Tournament | . | . | . |
Forecasting AI Progress
is a large-scale, comprehensive forecasting tournament dedicated to predicting
advances in artificial intelligence.
A total of $20,000 in payouts are to be awarded to top 5 forecasters across the Maximum Likelihood Round, the Hill Climbing Round, and the Deep Learning Round.
A total of $20,000 in payouts are to be awarded to top 5 forecasters across the Maximum Likelihood Round, the Hill Climbing Round, and the Deep Learning Round.
| Rank | Player | Points | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PepeS | 2372 | 75 |
| 2 | Pablo | 2337 | 75 |
| 3 | datscilly | 2262 | 75 |
| 4 | Cory | 2185 | 75 |
| 5 | jack | 2044 | 74 |
| 6 | Vang | 1870 | 75 |
| 7 | elifland | 1823 | 75 |
| 8 | galen | 1741 | 74 |
| 9 | Jgalt | 1693 | 75 |
| 10 | Sergio | 1587 | 75 |
| 11 | Bob_Jacobs | 1532 | 72 |
| 12 | JAJMLP | 1492 | 74 |
| 13 | mattvdm | 1382 | 73 |
| 14 | Pazzaz | 1192 | 25 |
| 15 | qassiov | 1146 | 75 |
| 16 | MariaSh | 1099 | 24 |
| 17 | onl | 1097 | 74 |
| 18 | pseudo | 1039 | 75 |
| 19 | kjz | 951 | 24 |
| 20 | Reprisal | 940 | 75 |
| 21 | Jotto | 931 | 48 |
| 22 | PeterWildeford | 915 | 49 |
| 23 | 2e10e122 | 894 | 75 |
| 24 | FinanAdamson | 803 | 49 |
| 25 | Mati_Roy | 796 | 41 |
| 26 | isaacdunn | 752 | 28 |
| 27 | ksipe | 749 | 48 |
| 28 | BrianGoodrich | 724 | 24 |
| 29 | Zweihander | 702 | 75 |
| 30 | steven0461 | 674 | 24 |
| 31 | james.jj.barry | 658 | 25 |
| 32 | isinlor | 649 | 25 |
| 33 | JonathanShi | 604 | 19 |
| 34 | SimonM | 601 | 75 |
| 35 | AdamRen | 592 | 10 |
| 36 | dansbecker | 580 | 21 |
| 37 | Hayes | 577 | 18 |
| 38 | Mazurkas | 512 | 26 |
| 39 | alexrjl | 471 | 10 |
| 40 | j.m. | 430 | 24 |
| 41 | TedSanders | 400 | 5 |
| 42 | tachyonmaster | 363 | 6 |
| 43 | alexlyzhov | 357 | 8 |
| 44 | ChristianPi | 294 | 24 |
| 45 | 9272 | 283 | 11 |
| 46 | cos | 282 | 13 |
| 47 | lars3loff | 272 | 5 |
| 48 | Nichevo | 260 | 75 |
| 49 | orion.tjungarryi | 259 | 3 |
| 50 | ItsRyan | 251 | 12 |
| 51 | sbowman | 250 | 6 |
| 52 | AloanCloud | 241 | 16 |
| 53 | jakub.chledowski | 240 | 24 |
| 54 | M4 | 239 | 1 |
| 55 | Morpheus | 232 | 12 |
| 56 | markbrownorama | 227 | 3 |
| 57 | devetec | 226 | 2 |
| 58 | avyaymc | 216 | 1 |
| 59 | florin.manolache | 204 | 29 |
| 60 | TeeJayKay | 200 | 5 |
| 61 | s1m0n | 186 | 1 |
| 62 | nextbigfuture | 178 | 13 |
| 63 | pmopuig | 170 | 2 |
| 64 | Meefburger | 163 | 1 |
| 65 | danthemanwithaplan44 | 156 | 1 |
| 66 | delton137 | 150 | 3 |
| 67 | MaciekK | 147 | 7 |
| 68 | Alexander230 | 141 | 18 |
| 69 | moosedesign | 138 | 1 |
| 70 | OhReallyWow | 137 | 1 |
| 71 | EvanHarper | 136 | 2 |
| 72 | astromen1 | 135 | 26 |
| 73 | TVRoeyen | 134 | 3 |
| 74 | duffy.logan | 133 | 1 |
| 75 | NoUsernameSelected | 130 | 4 |
| 76 | andytilia | 129 | 1 |
| 77 | NeelNanda | 129 | 2 |
| 78 | RKSingh28 | 124 | 23 |
| 79 | J_Steinbeck | 107 | 1 |
| 80 | paulk444 | 103 | 3 |
| 81 | nicolasca | 101 | 5 |
| 82 | Algon33 | 99 | 2 |
| 83 | zinfour | 98 | 1 |
| 84 | santi726 | 95 | 5 |
| 85 | foo | 88 | 7 |
| 86 | dennlinger | 85 | 1 |
| 87 | latorrefabian | 82 | 4 |
| 88 | soeren.mindermann | 79 | 1 |
| 89 | sebastian.zaldivar | 79 | 2 |
| 90 | regis | 77 | 1 |
| 91 | mavrande | 76 | 5 |
| 92 | Patello | 75 | 1 |
| 93 | zc | 74 | 1 |
| 94 | Bob_Muller | 72 | 1 |
| 95 | KarlOlsberg | 70 | 3 |
| 96 | paranormalexperiences | 69 | 1 |
| 97 | EmanueleAscani | 69 | 1 |
| 98 | ghabs | 67 | 1 |
| 99 | oden.petersen | 65 | 1 |
| 100 | AdamU | 65 | 1 |