Alexander230

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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4534	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
93.251	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
85.628	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
81.975	Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025?	Binary
80.811	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
72.078	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
72.049	How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025?	Continuous
68.050	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
66.573	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
64.165	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
61.216	Will Beyond Meat hit $12 a share before November 1, 2025?	Binary
58.467	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
58.279	Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School?	Binary
57.201	Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025?	Binary
56.787	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
55.800	Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?	Binary
54.865	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
54.498	Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025?	Binary
53.123	Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025?	Binary
52.943	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025?	Binary
52.472	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
51.655	[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?	Binary
51.430	Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025?	Binary
51.330	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
51.247	Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?	Binary
50.832	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
50.496	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
50.297	Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025?	Binary
49.874	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
49.828	Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?	Multiple Choice
47.850	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
47.330	Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025?	Binary
46.992	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
46.926	How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?	Multiple Choice
45.731	Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025?	Binary
45.278	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
44.914	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
43.985	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
43.850	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
43.783	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
43.377	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
42.862	Which group will win the most seats in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election?	Multiple Choice
41.811	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
41.635	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
41.594	Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025?	Binary
41.543	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
41.288	Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?	Binary
40.727	[Short Fuse] Will Donald Trump win the inaugural FIFA Peace Prize?	Binary
40.721	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Andrew Wilkie (20.8 v ALP in Clark, TAS))	Binary
40.406	Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?	Binary
40.358	Before December 1, 2025, how many banks will be added to the FDIC's Failed Bank List?	Continuous
40.205	Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?	Multiple Choice
40.187	Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025?	Binary
39.976	Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?	Binary
39.948	Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?	Multiple Choice
39.929	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
39.913	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
39.367	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
38.803	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
38.734	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
37.951	How many people will be added to the Viasna Belarusian political prisoners tracker in September 2025?	Multiple Choice
37.609	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
36.574	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
36.224	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
35.968	When will the 2025 Australian Federal election be held?	Continuous
35.940	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
35.678	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
35.038	Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?	Binary
34.988	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
34.755	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
34.079	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
33.618	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
33.604	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
33.590	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
33.409	Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025?	Binary
33.394	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
33.181	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
32.996	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
32.989	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
32.943	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
32.100	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
31.849	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
31.772	Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025?	Binary
31.439	How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
31.425	Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award?	Multiple Choice
31.393	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Allegra Spender (6.8 v LIB in Wentworth, NSW))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Helen Haines (8.9 v LIB in Indi, VIC))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zali Steggall (9.4 v LIB in Warringah, NSW))	Binary
28.723	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
28.679	What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?	Continuous
28.648	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
27.970	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
27.701	What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
27.403	Will the United States commit to providing Ukraine with Tomahawk missiles before December 1, 2025?	Binary
27.298	Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024?	Binary
27.078	How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025?	Continuous
26.907	Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?	Binary
26.217	Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election?	Binary
26.050	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
25.930	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
25.899	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
25.743	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
25.600	How many vehicle deliveries will Tesla report for Q3 2025?	Continuous
25.413	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
25.269	Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
25.183	Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off?	Multiple Choice
24.897	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
24.567	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
24.315	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025?	Continuous
24.271	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
24.171	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025?	Binary
24.087	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
23.741	Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?	Binary
22.830	Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?	Binary
22.802	[Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025?	Binary
22.679	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
22.565	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
21.959	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
21.822	Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election?	Multiple Choice
21.721	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
21.718	What percentage of the Project 2025 Tracker will be complete on October 1, 2025?	Continuous
21.569	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
21.569	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
21.257	How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?	Continuous
20.924	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
20.893	Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?	Binary
20.603	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés)	Binary
20.603	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami)	Binary
20.603	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls)	Binary
20.603	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
20.471	Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League?	Multiple Choice
20.392	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
20.333	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
20.253	Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship?	Multiple Choice
20.207	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q3 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
19.689	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
19.458	What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale?	Continuous
19.421	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
19.397	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
19.181	What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections?	Continuous
18.265	How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in November 2025?	Continuous
18.206	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi)	Binary
18.150	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
18.070	How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026?	Continuous
17.921	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
17.066	What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025?	Multiple Choice
17.021	Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025?	Binary
16.992	Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025?	Multiple Choice
16.787	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
16.755	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei)	Binary
16.340	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
16.128	Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?	Multiple Choice
15.628	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
15.399	Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025?	Binary
15.233	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser)	Binary
15.081	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Dai Le (1.1 v ALP in Fowler, NSW))	Binary
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Sophie Scamps (3.3 v LIB in Mackellar, NSW))	Binary
14.501	How many vehicle deliveries will Rivian report for Q3 2025?	Continuous
14.376	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
14.360	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
14.316	Will the People's Party win an absolute majority in the next regional elections in Extremadura, Spain?	Binary
14.154	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
13.879	What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025?	Multiple Choice
13.428	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
13.401	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
13.399	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
13.199	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
13.105	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
12.961	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
12.803	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
12.647	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
12.297	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
11.922	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
11.422	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
11.345	What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
11.328	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
10.944	Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election?	Multiple Choice
10.927	What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025?	Multiple Choice
10.923	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
10.808	What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ?	Continuous
10.643	Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? (re-opened question)	Binary
9.955	What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (May-25)	Continuous
9.946	Will Tampa, Florida hit 100°F in August 2025?	Binary
9.743	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
9.194	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
8.859	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
8.768	What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025?	Continuous
8.762	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
8.650	Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025?	Binary
8.180	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
8.079	Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025?	Binary
8.051	Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025?	Binary
8.050	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
8.011	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
7.654	In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?	Multiple Choice
7.386	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
7.348	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
7.303	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
7.241	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Nov 10 - Nov 21)	Continuous
7.098	What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?	Continuous
6.952	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
6.863	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
6.735	Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?	Multiple Choice
6.734	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
6.685	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
6.505	Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?	Binary
6.403	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara)	Binary
6.333	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men)	Continuous
5.987	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
5.215	Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025?	Binary
5.212	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
5.154	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
5.026	When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?	Continuous
4.739	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
4.705	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
4.677	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Kate Chaney (1.3 v LIB in Curtin, WA))	Binary
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Monique Ryan (2.2 v LIB in Kooyong, VIC))	Binary
4.644	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
4.494	What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025?	Continuous
4.468	Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?	Binary
4.250	What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025?	Continuous
4.093	Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025?	Binary
4.085	Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?	Binary
3.951	How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series?	Continuous
3.909	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
3.378	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
3.233	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
3.068	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?	Binary
2.965	Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	Multiple Choice
2.858	What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?	Continuous
2.703	Will Yuma, Arizona receive any rain in November 2025?	Binary
2.653	How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025?	Continuous
2.556	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
2.349	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
1.930	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
1.902	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
1.873	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
1.852	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
1.668	How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025?	Multiple Choice
1.366	Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?	Binary
1.265	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
1.096	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
0.850	What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025)	Continuous
0.683	Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?	Multiple Choice
0.295	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
0.159	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
0.082	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
0.049	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
0.029	Will Sean Duffy be Acting Administrator of NASA continuously through December 31, 2025?	Binary
-	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
-	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
-	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds compete in the 2025 FIDE World Cup final?	Binary
-	Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?	Binary
-0.928	When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?	Continuous
-1.118	What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on December 14, 2025?	Continuous
-1.126	Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?	Multiple Choice
-1.189	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
-1.479	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
-3.881	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
-4.507	Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-5.353	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Oct-25)	Continuous
-5.731	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
-5.902	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
-5.907	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
-5.967	What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”?	Multiple Choice
-5.999	[Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have?	Continuous
-6.584	How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025?	Continuous
-6.844	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-8.479	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-8.665	Who will get the 2nd highest number of votes in round 1 of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast)	Binary
-9.860	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
-10.000	Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?	Binary
-11.268	Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-12.526	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-12.928	Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?	Binary
-13.471	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
-14.606	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
-16.096	Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?	Binary
-16.096	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
-16.607	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zoe Daniel (3.3 v LIB in Goldstein, VIC))	Binary
-17.013	When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?	Continuous
-17.251	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-18.487	What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
-19.131	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-19.260	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-19.713	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
-20.500	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
-25.783	[Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-26.307	[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?	Binary
-26.330	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
-27.363	Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025?	Binary
-28.776	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-32.591	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
-34.664	What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-34.861	Will NVIDIA's stock price close above $220 or below $180 on any single day before November 22, 2025?	Binary
-36.848	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
-49.999	Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?	Binary
-51.073	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-53.543	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-58.293	Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?	Binary
-58.632	Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025?	Binary
-67.847	What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025?	Continuous
-70.009	Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-84.251	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?	Multiple Choice
-89.046	Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?	Binary
-104.368	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
-109.598	Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?	Binary
-162.198	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous