Alexander230

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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3203	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
93.251	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
85.628	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
81.975	Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025?	Binary
80.811	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
72.078	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
68.050	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
66.573	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
64.165	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
58.279	Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School?	Binary
57.201	Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025?	Binary
56.787	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
55.800	Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?	Binary
54.865	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
54.498	Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025?	Binary
53.123	Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025?	Binary
52.472	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
51.655	[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?	Binary
51.330	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
51.247	Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?	Binary
50.832	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
50.496	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
50.297	Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025?	Binary
49.874	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
49.828	Who will win the 2025 Green Party of England and Wales leadership election?	Multiple Choice
47.850	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
46.992	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
46.926	How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?	Multiple Choice
45.278	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
44.914	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
43.985	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
43.783	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
43.377	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
41.811	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
41.635	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
41.594	Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025?	Binary
41.543	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
41.288	Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025?	Binary
40.721	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Andrew Wilkie (20.8 v ALP in Clark, TAS))	Binary
39.929	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
39.913	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
39.367	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
38.803	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
38.734	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
37.609	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
36.721	Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100)	Binary
36.574	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
36.224	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
35.968	When will the 2025 Australian Federal election be held?	Continuous
35.940	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
35.678	Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections?	Binary
34.988	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
34.755	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
34.079	Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25?	Binary
33.618	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
33.604	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
33.590	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
33.409	Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025?	Binary
33.394	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
33.181	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
32.996	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
32.989	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
32.943	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
32.100	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
31.849	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
31.439	How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
31.393	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Allegra Spender (6.8 v LIB in Wentworth, NSW))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Helen Haines (8.9 v LIB in Indi, VIC))	Binary
29.935	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zali Steggall (9.4 v LIB in Warringah, NSW))	Binary
28.723	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
28.679	What percentage of the vote will the Alternative für Deutschland win in the 2025 German federal election?	Continuous
28.648	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
27.970	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
27.701	What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
27.078	How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025?	Continuous
26.050	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
25.930	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
25.899	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
25.743	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
25.413	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
25.183	Which team will win the 2025 4 Nations Face-Off?	Multiple Choice
24.567	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
24.087	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
23.741	Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?	Binary
22.802	[Short fuse] Will 4 million or more people participate in 'No Kings' rallies in the United States on June 14, 2025?	Binary
22.679	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
22.565	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
21.959	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
21.721	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
20.471	Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League?	Multiple Choice
20.392	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
20.253	Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship?	Multiple Choice
19.458	What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale?	Continuous
19.421	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
17.921	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
17.066	What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025?	Multiple Choice
16.787	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
16.340	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
15.628	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Dai Le (1.1 v ALP in Fowler, NSW))	Binary
14.938	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Sophie Scamps (3.3 v LIB in Mackellar, NSW))	Binary
14.360	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
14.154	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
13.879	What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025?	Multiple Choice
13.428	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
13.401	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
13.399	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
13.199	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
13.105	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
12.961	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
12.647	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
11.922	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
11.422	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
11.328	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
10.944	Which party will win the seat of Bullwinkel in the 2025 Australian Federal Election?	Multiple Choice
10.927	What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025?	Multiple Choice
10.923	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
10.808	What percentage of games will end in a decisive result in the open section of the 2025 FIDE Grande Swiss ?	Continuous
9.955	What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (May-25)	Continuous
9.946	Will Tampa, Florida hit 100°F in August 2025?	Binary
9.743	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
9.194	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
8.859	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
8.768	What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025?	Continuous
8.762	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
8.650	Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025?	Binary
8.079	Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025?	Binary
8.051	Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025?	Binary
8.050	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
7.303	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
7.098	What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025?	Continuous
6.952	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
6.863	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
6.734	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
6.685	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
5.987	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
5.212	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
4.739	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
4.705	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
4.677	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Kate Chaney (1.3 v LIB in Curtin, WA))	Binary
4.657	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Monique Ryan (2.2 v LIB in Kooyong, VIC))	Binary
4.644	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
4.250	What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025?	Continuous
3.378	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
3.233	Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025?	Binary
3.068	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025?	Binary
2.653	How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025?	Continuous
2.556	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
2.349	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
1.873	Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025?	Binary
1.852	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
1.366	Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025?	Binary
1.265	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
1.096	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
0.850	What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025)	Continuous
0.295	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
0.049	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
-	Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season?	Binary
-	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
-1.189	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
-1.479	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
-5.902	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
-5.907	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
-5.967	What will happen next concerning the US executive order “Reevaluating And Realigning United States Foreign Aid”?	Multiple Choice
-5.999	[Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have?	Continuous
-6.844	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-8.479	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-9.860	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
-10.000	Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025?	Binary
-12.526	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-13.471	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
-14.606	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
-16.096	Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?	Binary
-16.607	Will the following independent members retain their seats in the next Australian Federal Election? (Zoe Daniel (3.3 v LIB in Goldstein, VIC))	Binary
-17.251	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-18.487	What will the winning time be in the Women's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships?	Continuous
-19.131	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-19.260	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-20.500	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
-25.783	[Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-26.307	[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?	Binary
-26.330	Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025?	Binary
-28.776	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-32.591	Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25?	Binary
-49.999	Will Faith Kipyegon break the 4-minute mile on June 26, 2025?	Binary
-51.073	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary
-53.543	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-67.847	What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025?	Continuous
-70.009	Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025?	Binary
-104.368	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
-109.598	Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025?	Binary
-162.198	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous