| 101.263 | 95.0% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 97.856 | 97.8% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 89.855 | 97.8% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 88.728 | 89.1% | What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be? | Multiple Choice |
| 75.408 | 78.6% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.674 | 99.4% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 56.954 | 96.1% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 45.496 | 92.5% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.740 | 66.4% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.893 | 99.3% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| 40.416 | 99.1% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.496 | 89.9% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.454 | 87.4% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.722 | 91.8% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| 32.968 | 96.3% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.930 | 58.6% | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 32.735 | 97.9% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.267 | 76.3% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 30.675 | 82.2% | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 29.730 | 46.4% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 29.405 | 50.4% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| 28.824 | 95.3% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 28.331 | 80.6% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 27.748 | 60.3% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 27.562 | 52.2% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 27.542 | 92.5% | Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026? | Binary |
| 27.262 | 98.3% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 27.146 | 87.9% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.974 | 78.3% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 24.771 | 27.6% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 24.391 | 88.5% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 22.649 | 82.9% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.498 | 99.4% | What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season? | Continuous |
| 21.873 | 97.3% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 21.626 | 76.1% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 20.879 | 65.4% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 18.517 | 75.7% | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.803 | 64.7% | Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.590 | 81.5% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 16.327 | 45.5% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 15.194 | 52.3% | Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.983 | 78.8% | How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.683 | 30.1% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 14.249 | 63.3% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 13.624 | 93.5% | Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025? | Binary |
| 13.358 | 81.7% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.236 | 89.1% | What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 12.854 | 98.2% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 12.374 | 85.8% | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 11.673 | 30.6% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 11.311 | 35.2% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.789 | 36.4% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.787 | 72.0% | How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026? | Continuous |
| 10.451 | 63.8% | Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land? | Binary |
| 9.487 | 43.7% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 9.458 | 38.6% | What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire? | Continuous |
| 9.448 | 42.9% | Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.123 | 54.7% | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 8.874 | 47.3% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.545 | 50.9% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.373 | 88.4% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.027 | 94.7% | Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 7.758 | 34.8% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.437 | 70.7% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.077 | 93.2% | How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week? | Continuous |
| 7.057 | 76.1% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 6.843 | 47.3% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 6.644 | 60.7% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.564 | 12.1% | Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 6.145 | 73.3% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 6.014 | 89.7% | Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.884 | 64.8% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 5.218 | 71.6% | When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine? | Continuous |
| 5.139 | 14.7% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| 4.230 | 13.7% | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.160 | 10.9% | How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.977 | 14.1% | Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.799 | 27.4% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.555 | 83.9% | Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.491 | 61.9% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.422 | 13.8% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.251 | 28.7% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.142 | 87.0% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.568 | 10.8% | Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.126 | 1.1% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.091 | 87.1% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 1.987 | 10.8% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.877 | 25.2% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 1.246 | 10.0% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| 1.201 | 90.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 1.101 | 94.2% | How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.788 | 1.4% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.739 | 3.7% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.631 | 48.2% | In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.327 | 45.3% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.152 | 3.5% | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| -0.920 | 15.3% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| -1.217 | 13.5% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -1.472 | 90.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| -1.908 | 82.7% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November) | Continuous |
| -1.913 | 63.4% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| -2.580 | 54.9% | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| -3.055 | 99.2% | Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after? | Multiple Choice |
| -3.828 | 71.4% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| -5.690 | 77.3% | Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026? | Binary |
| -5.811 | 81.8% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.895 | 69.5% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| -7.548 | 92.1% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December) | Continuous |
| -8.798 | 98.6% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| -10.222 | 93.5% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| -12.860 | 22.9% | Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026? | Binary |
| -15.235 | 41.2% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| -15.824 | 81.9% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -16.814 | 90.9% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| -30.752 | 54.9% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| -34.934 | 97.2% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| -37.068 | 34.1% | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| -37.166 | 84.6% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| -60.977 | 90.7% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| -61.992 | 98.8% | What will the winning time be in the Men's 100 meter final at the 2025 World Athletics Championships? | Continuous |
| -76.819 | 81.6% | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |
| -133.410 | 71.5% | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
| -185.024 | 89.8% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |