| 145.149 | 96.6% | Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 128.434 | 96.5% | Will any opposition legislator in Taiwan lose their recall election on August 23, 2025? | Binary |
| 120.732 | 98.2% | How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 117.740 | 99.1% | Will Tampa, Florida hit 100°F in August 2025? | Binary |
| 111.774 | 86.5% | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 100.688 | 97.8% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 88.942 | 79.0% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 88.384 | 82.0% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 81.073 | 98.0% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 80.268 | 84.3% | Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026? | Binary |
| 77.584 | 97.9% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 77.262 | 95.5% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 75.645 | 99.8% | Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 71.471 | 89.4% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 68.911 | 90.2% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 65.427 | 99.3% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 65.404 | 99.1% | Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025? | Binary |
| 64.774 | 97.1% | What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025? | Continuous |
| 63.564 | 99.5% | Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 63.042 | 93.7% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 61.192 | 99.1% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 52.285 | 97.7% | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 49.577 | 99.1% | Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 48.128 | 96.2% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.028 | 89.3% | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 45.094 | 71.0% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 44.045 | 79.1% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 42.841 | 91.3% | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 41.194 | 99.4% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 39.971 | 98.0% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 34.643 | 33.6% | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.205 | 99.1% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 31.095 | 98.0% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 30.506 | 92.4% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 29.617 | 98.7% | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025? | Continuous |
| 29.347 | 99.5% | Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 28.600 | 97.3% | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 28.578 | 43.9% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 27.050 | 97.9% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.528 | 99.4% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 26.523 | 98.0% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 25.324 | 91.3% | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.843 | 95.3% | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.805 | 98.1% | Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025? | Binary |
| 24.051 | 85.5% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.767 | 52.2% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.391 | 41.1% | Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.361 | 98.0% | Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026? | Binary |
| 23.163 | 97.5% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 22.830 | 95.6% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 22.820 | 99.4% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 21.909 | 98.0% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 20.494 | 73.9% | Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.965 | 99.3% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 18.692 | 25.6% | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.314 | 97.9% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 16.864 | 98.9% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.923 | 97.7% | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.162 | 98.0% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 14.636 | 98.3% | Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.295 | 56.3% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.290 | 99.3% | Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.248 | 99.7% | Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 14.066 | 99.2% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 13.734 | 59.9% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 13.051 | 61.4% | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 12.994 | 96.5% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.478 | 88.7% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.070 | 98.1% | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.029 | 72.4% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 11.622 | 81.0% | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.307 | 33.9% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
| 9.166 | 15.5% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 8.972 | 99.3% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.851 | 27.6% | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.796 | 94.8% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.755 | 99.6% | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.743 | 98.7% | Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.642 | 97.2% | Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.398 | 42.3% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.922 | 17.8% | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.745 | 58.7% | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 7.637 | 13.7% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 7.115 | 99.6% | Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.884 | 9.6% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.267 | 71.2% | Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.041 | 99.0% | Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.018 | 95.9% | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026? | Binary |
| 5.988 | 96.0% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 5.341 | 56.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 5.288 | 97.9% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 5.141 | 97.9% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 4.841 | 80.1% | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.493 | 56.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 4.408 | 98.4% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.072 | 22.4% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill impose new work requirements on Medicaid recipients? | Binary |
| 3.285 | 71.6% | Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.106 | 27.5% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.984 | 96.8% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.828 | 99.1% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.622 | 89.6% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.563 | 22.5% | Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025? | Binary |
| 1.171 | 88.2% | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
| 0.702 | 11.1% | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.689 | 98.7% | Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.611 | 4.3% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.092 | 0.2% | Will two or more spacecraft land on the Moon in 2025? | Binary |
| -0.197 | 4.1% | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| -0.332 | 87.8% | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| -0.359 | 0.5% | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| -0.452 | 25.7% | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| -1.261 | 1.0% | Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025? | Binary |
| -1.388 | 98.7% | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |
| -1.668 | 78.9% | How many earthquakes of magnitude ≥ 4 will happen near Santorini, Greece in the first week of March, 2025? | Continuous |
| -1.673 | 56.4% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| -2.484 | 99.5% | Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -2.510 | 96.3% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| -3.114 | 99.7% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| -3.277 | 99.0% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| -3.741 | 99.3% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| -4.072 | 58.6% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| -5.195 | 11.4% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -5.507 | 97.9% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| -5.650 | 54.5% | Will the FDA approve a seasonal influenza vaccine for the 2025-2026 flu season before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -6.874 | 91.4% | Will Ghana sign into law "The Proper Human Sexual Rights and Ghanaian Family Values" bill before 2026? | Binary |
| -7.153 | 53.3% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.312 | 97.5% | Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024? | Binary |
| -7.618 | 99.1% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| -9.074 | 91.5% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |
| -9.914 | 99.9% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -10.200 | 87.8% | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -10.587 | 97.8% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| -11.676 | 99.3% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| -11.913 | 97.8% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| -12.493 | 97.7% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| -17.396 | 98.7% | Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -20.257 | 98.9% | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -21.343 | 98.0% | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -21.747 | 59.0% | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -23.480 | 94.5% | Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year? | Binary |
| -23.520 | 58.5% | Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025? | Binary |
| -23.698 | 99.7% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -27.923 | 37.3% | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -28.761 | 97.9% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| -29.482 | 98.0% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| -31.172 | 93.8% | Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year? | Binary |
| -33.902 | 96.9% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| -36.698 | 99.1% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| -41.055 | 96.7% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -43.049 | 66.0% | Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -44.558 | 92.7% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| -45.080 | 95.8% | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| -48.627 | 91.9% | Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026? | Binary |
| -53.548 | 91.5% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -54.780 | 99.6% | Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024? | Binary |
| -60.819 | 85.1% | [Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025? | Binary |
| -64.646 | 95.8% | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| -72.103 | 78.9% | [Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election? | Binary |
| -129.604 | 98.7% | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -189.365 | 80.4% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |