Contests
This page shows the obsolete contests. They were superseded in April 2021 by Tournaments.
| Contest | Start | End | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasting AI Progress — Bayes Prize Leaderboard | Dec 13, 2020 | Apr 16, 2021 | 81 |
| Consensus Forecasting | . | . | . |
| Li Wenliang Forecasting Tournament I | Feb 17, 2020 | Jun 17, 2020 | 52 |
| Li Wenliang Tournament 2 | . | . | . |
| Covid-19 Tournament Round 2 | . | . | . |
| Cryptocurrency Prediction Contest | Sep 14, 2017 | Dec 1, 2017 | 24 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Deep Learning Round | Feb 13, 2021 | Apr 16, 2021 | 30 |
| El Paso Series | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [first tournament] | . | . | . |
| COVID-19 Lightning Round Tournament [second tournament] | . | . | . |
| Foresight 2020 contest | Oct 14, 2019 | Oct 31, 2020 | 13 |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Hill Climbing Round | Jan 13, 2021 | Mar 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Lockdown Tournament | . | . | . |
| Forecasting AI Progress — Maximum Likelihood Round | Dec 9, 2020 | Jun 15, 2021 | 29 |
| Road to recovery | Oct 1, 2020 | Feb 28, 2021 | 16 |
| Salk Tournament | . | . | . |
Forecasting AI Progress
is a large-scale, comprehensive forecasting tournament dedicated to predicting
advances in artificial intelligence.
The Deep Learning Round is aimed at forecasting key AI questions over timeframes of 2-years and longer timeframes (6-years and longer). There is a total prize pool of $7,500 for this round. Forecasting each of the relevant questions is required to qualify for prizes.
The Deep Learning Round is aimed at forecasting key AI questions over timeframes of 2-years and longer timeframes (6-years and longer). There is a total prize pool of $7,500 for this round. Forecasting each of the relevant questions is required to qualify for prizes.
| Rank | Player | Points | Questions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jack | 865 | 26 |
| 2 | Cory | 729 | 26 |
| 3 | Pablo | 667 | 26 |
| 4 | PepeS | 648 | 26 |
| 5 | elifland | 640 | 26 |
| 6 | datscilly | 617 | 26 |
| 7 | 2e10e122 | 541 | 26 |
| 8 | Vang | 515 | 26 |
| 9 | feistyguar | 491 | 26 |
| 10 | Mati_Roy | 466 | 18 |
| 11 | JonathanShi | 449 | 10 |
| 12 | RyanBeck | 413 | 26 |
| 13 | SimonM | 386 | 26 |
| 14 | Nichevo | 341 | 26 |
| 15 | JAJMLP | 334 | 26 |
| 16 | Bob_Jacobs | 317 | 24 |
| 17 | Zweihander | 284 | 26 |
| 18 | isaacdunn | 224 | 4 |
| 19 | avyaymc | 216 | 1 |
| 20 | qassiov | 202 | 26 |
| 21 | Jgalt | 191 | 26 |
| 22 | mattvdm | 191 | 26 |
| 23 | galen | 189 | 26 |
| 24 | Morpheus | 178 | 11 |
| 25 | Sergio | 163 | 26 |
| 26 | Reprisal | 150 | 26 |
| 27 | MaciekK | 107 | 3 |
| 28 | cos | 100 | 4 |
| 29 | delton137 | 100 | 1 |
| 30 | astromen1 | 96 | 3 |
| 31 | foo | 88 | 7 |
| 32 | dennlinger | 85 | 1 |
| 33 | lars3loff | 79 | 2 |
| 34 | Algon33 | 72 | 1 |
| 35 | grady | 65 | 2 |
| 36 | richardson.andrew | 63 | 1 |
| 37 | Hayes | 57 | 3 |
| 38 | pseudo | 54 | 26 |
| 39 | peterbarnett | 49 | 1 |
| 40 | gsastry | 48 | 1 |
| 41 | FNORD | 45 | 1 |
| 42 | EvanHarper | 36 | 1 |
| 43 | moridinamael | 36 | 2 |
| 44 | erwil | 30 | 2 |
| 45 | qumidium | 29 | 1 |
| 46 | ItsRyan | 27 | 1 |
| 47 | automorphism | 24 | 2 |
| 48 | Bristol_OPT | 23 | 1 |
| 49 | casens | 17 | 1 |
| 50 | NoUsernameSelected | 17 | 1 |
| 51 | mtrazzi | 13 | 1 |
| 52 | PrescientPangolin | 12 | 1 |
| 53 | ChALkeR | 10 | 1 |
| 54 | Alexander230 | 9 | 5 |
| 55 | Grigfall | 9 | 1 |
| 56 | FroZen_WayZ | 7 | 1 |
| 57 | isinlor | 7 | 1 |
| 58 | DevongTucker | 0 | 1 |
| 59 | SeanHanna | 0 | 1 |
| 60 | softsweep | 0 | 1 |
| 61 | vesa.s2 | 0 | 1 |
| 62 | Tamay | -4 | 4 |
| 63 | brand.guillermo | -5 | 1 |
| 64 | Bubba | -5 | 4 |
| 65 | Excal | -18 | 1 |
| 66 | herbie | -20 | 1 |
| 67 | zander.e.willoughby | -32 | 1 |
| 68 | riffraffselbow | -33 | 1 |
| 69 | nr3forecasting | -83 | 2 |
| 70 | onl | -206 | 26 |
| 71 | HIROSAKURABA | -244 | 10 |
| 72 | matthiasware | -268 | 1 |
| 73 | Afrowiz | -307 | 26 |
| 74 | BrentR | -430 | 24 |
| 75 | Bernhard | -540 | 26 |
| 76 | bc219 | -1419 | 26 |