| 74.519 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| 59.528 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| 59.503 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 56.784 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| 42.120 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 40.009 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.970 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.745 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 31.287 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| 29.597 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.209 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 28.669 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 28.474 | Will Twitter make verification generally available before July 2023? | Binary |
| 27.036 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 24.572 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.498 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 21.891 | How many surveillance cameras per 1000 people will the most surveilled city in China have in 2023? | Continuous |
| 21.764 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 21.697 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 20.567 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.715 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.684 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.579 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 19.081 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.138 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 16.800 | Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | Binary |
| 16.617 | Will Google or DeepMind release a public interface for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 15.710 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 14.943 | Will personal ID authentication be obligatory for new Twitter accounts on July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 14.808 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 14.530 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 13.699 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 13.144 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 12.832 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 12.771 | How many satellites will be deployed in 2022? | Continuous |
| 12.603 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.555 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 12.433 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.120 | In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction? | Binary |
| 12.005 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 11.824 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.690 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 11.082 | Will a member of the Chinese Politburo be expelled or arrested in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 11.064 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 10.961 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 10.253 | How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)? | Continuous |
| 9.948 | If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, will it pass? | Binary |
| 9.840 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.718 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.665 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 9.447 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 9.132 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 9.074 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.728 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| 8.683 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 8.358 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 8.315 | Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (ATACMS provided) | Binary |
| 8.106 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 7.733 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.488 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 6.949 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.749 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 6.556 | Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.409 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 6.116 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 6.071 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 6.023 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 5.831 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 5.711 | Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukraine strikes) | Binary |
| 5.638 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 5.244 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
| 5.137 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 4.972 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 4.867 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 4.801 | Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 4.747 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.653 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 4.586 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.437 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 4.288 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 4.253 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 4.242 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 4.027 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 3.958 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 3.803 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.659 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 3.656 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 3.549 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 3.522 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize before 2024? | Binary |
| 3.454 | Will Microsoft integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Bing Search before September 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.421 | Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula? | Continuous |
| 3.285 | When will Zelenskyy next be pictured in a suit on his Instagram? | Continuous |
| 3.163 | Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates? (July 1, 2023) | Binary |
| 3.131 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 3.090 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 3.026 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.987 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.972 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 2.901 | Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.856 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 2.836 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.805 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 2.801 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 2.699 | Will the US provide Ukraine with any fighter aircraft? | Continuous |
| 2.693 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 2.646 | Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US aircraft) | Binary |
| 2.644 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 2.614 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 2.543 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 2.538 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 2.529 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 2.465 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| 2.379 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| 2.309 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 2.175 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 2.093 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 2.021 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 1.995 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 1.994 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 1.967 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 1.930 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 1.868 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 1.861 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 1.722 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 1.620 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 1.605 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 1.590 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.562 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.523 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 1.515 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 1.474 | When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions? | Continuous |
| 1.432 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 1.231 | When will GPT-4 be announced? | Continuous |
| 1.182 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 1.181 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 0.955 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 0.936 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.910 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 0.881 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.865 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 0.826 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.739 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| 0.617 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 0.520 | Will Joe Rogan leave Spotify before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.503 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 0.470 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 0.467 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 0.329 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2023) | Binary |
| 0.326 | Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukrainian Control) | Binary |
| 0.090 | Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023? | Binary |
| 0.058 | Will Tsinghua University bar some students from returning to the dorms for the 2023 Spring Semester? | Binary |
| -0.256 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| -0.375 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| -0.612 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -0.817 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
| -0.997 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| -1.610 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| -2.553 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| -2.631 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| -3.386 | What percent of the EU's gas storage capacity will be full on the following dates? (March 1, 2023) | Continuous |
| -10.690 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -12.150 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| -12.969 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| -16.058 | Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023? | Binary |
| -34.015 | Will Chase Bank send a notice to customers about updates to its security protocols, referencing the threat of social engineering attacks that can be attributed to LLMs, before 2024? | Binary |
| -50.015 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -79.301 | Will a mainstream voice assistant use freeform dialog based on a large language model before end of 2023? | Binary |