| 129.534 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 97.055 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 97.043 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 96.446 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 96.393 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 93.679 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 93.300 | Depending on the US giving Ukraine fighter aircraft, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US aircraft) | Binary |
| 93.188 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 92.259 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 91.860 | Depending on the US supplying Ukraine with an ATACMS, Will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (ATACMS provided) | Binary |
| 91.323 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 90.767 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 90.345 | Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukrainian Control) | Binary |
| 89.732 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 89.217 | Depending on Ukraine striking targets in Russian territory, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukraine strikes) | Binary |
| 89.073 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 88.839 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 88.292 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 87.678 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.768 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 85.275 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 84.635 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 84.548 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Meatpacking) | Binary |
| 84.502 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 83.430 | What will Meta’s yearly operating loss on Reality Labs be? (2023) | Continuous |
| 83.124 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon in the following years? (2023) | Binary |
| 82.945 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Water Treatment) | Binary |
| 82.751 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 78.486 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 77.677 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
| 75.168 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 74.625 | Which of these US infrastructure sectors will be hit by a ransomware attack by May 30, 2023? (Aviation) | Binary |
| 73.755 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (John Legere) | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Lex Fridman) | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Blake Masters) | Binary |
| 73.279 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Mike Schroepfer) | Binary |
| 73.249 | Will a state actor successfully use an ASAT weapon against a foreign satellite before 2024? | Binary |
| 72.822 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 72.623 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 71.192 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 70.944 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.401 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 70.322 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.978 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Peter Thiel) | Binary |
| 69.970 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 69.270 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 69.231 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
| 69.230 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 68.854 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jason Calacanis) | Binary |
| 68.854 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sriram Krishnan) | Binary |
| 68.560 | On January 1, 2024, will Elon Musk remain owner of Twitter? | Binary |
| 68.465 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 67.828 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 67.218 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| 66.034 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 64.274 | Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula? | Continuous |
| 63.740 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 62.223 | When will Zelenskyy next be pictured in a suit on his Instagram? | Continuous |
| 62.113 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 62.111 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 61.493 | Will Binance or a subsidiary file for bankruptcy or be sold "under duress" before 2024? | Binary |
| 61.321 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 59.980 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 59.384 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR ≥ 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 58.323 | Will there be a publicly reported cyberattack against the global navigation satellite systems between April 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 57.709 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 57.524 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.923 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (David Sacks) | Binary |
| 55.542 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| 55.440 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
| 54.883 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 54.470 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 54.461 | In 2023 will a cultured meat product be available in at least one US store or restaurant for less than $30? | Binary |
| 52.200 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| 50.715 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE < 3%) | Binary |
| 50.006 | What will be the worldwide number of confirmed monkeypox (mpox) infections per year? (2023) | Continuous |
| 49.849 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 49.849 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 48.419 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 46.229 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 44.917 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 44.714 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 44.327 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 44.257 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 44.063 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |
| 43.652 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 43.523 | Will Shanghai continue to subsidize up to 30% of investment in semiconductor materials and equipment projects within the city until 2024? | Binary |
| 43.471 | Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | Binary |
| 42.845 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 42.756 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 42.548 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 41.813 | Will Twitter have a corporate credit rating in the "C"s or worse before July 2023? | Binary |
| 41.751 | Will Israel impose sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 41.674 | Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back? (March 1, 2023) | Binary |
| 41.192 | Will the Kakhovka dam be breached before May 2023? | Binary |
| 39.668 | What will be state-of-the-art accuracy on the Massive Multitask dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| 38.790 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| 38.642 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 38.633 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 38.354 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 38.061 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 37.891 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 37.352 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 36.802 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 36.130 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 35.967 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 35.634 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 35.553 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 35.015 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 34.990 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 34.893 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 34.817 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 33.778 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 33.682 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 33.295 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
| 32.991 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 32.313 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 31.345 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| 30.661 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 30.658 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 30.658 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 30.658 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 30.581 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 30.333 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 30.195 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 30.079 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 29.809 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 29.475 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 29.383 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 29.121 | West Africa Monitoring: Will the number of forcibly displaced people double in 2022? (Ghana) | Binary |
| 28.253 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 27.210 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 26.308 | In 2023 will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action? | Binary |
| 26.244 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 25.884 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 25.884 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 24.958 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 24.876 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 22.901 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 22.554 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 21.431 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.823 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 19.695 | How many satellites will be deployed in 2022? | Continuous |
| 19.611 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| 18.098 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 17.955 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Denver Broncos) | Binary |
| 16.951 | How many politically motivated criminal offenses will be reported in Germany for 2022? | Continuous |
| 15.336 | In 2023 will any new country join NATO? | Binary |
| 14.508 | If the Australian "Indigenous Voice to Parliament" Referendum is held before 2026, will it pass? | Binary |
| 14.091 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Houston Texans) | Binary |
| 14.091 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Chicago Bears) | Binary |
| 13.765 | Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.619 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| 12.054 | Will Israel arm Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 12.011 | Will Russia start another wave of mobilization before the following dates? (July 1, 2023) | Binary |
| 11.926 | Will a mainstream voice assistant use freeform dialog based on a large language model before end of 2023? | Binary |
| 11.555 | Will Microsoft integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Bing Search before September 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 11.091 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 10.870 | What will be Turkey's inflation rate on the following dates? (August 2023) | Continuous |
| 10.591 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Newcastle United) | Binary |
| 10.342 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
| 10.210 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| 10.180 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 10.075 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester United) | Binary |
| 9.521 | Will personal ID authentication be obligatory for new Twitter accounts on July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.858 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.740 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brighton & Hove Albion) | Binary |
| 7.199 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 7.003 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 6.282 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Tottenham Hotspur) | Binary |
| 5.106 | Will Andrej Babiš win the next Czech Republic presidental election? | Binary |
| 4.077 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.726 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Liverpool) | Binary |
| 1.352 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 1.352 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Brentford) | Binary |
| 1.267 | What will be the upper limit of the federal funds target range on the following dates? (December 31, 2023) | Continuous |
| 0.459 | What percentage of people in low-income countries will have recieved at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by January 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 0.385 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Aston Villa) | Binary |
| 0.385 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Chelsea) | Binary |
| 0.385 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Fulham) | Binary |
| - | Will Twitter make verification generally available before July 2023? | Binary |
| - | By December 31, 2023, will the courts block any part of the Biden Administration's plan to broadly cancel student debt? | Binary |
| -1.414 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -1.591 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| -3.248 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| -4.274 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| -4.786 | What will be the total venture capital funding (in USD) for Anthropic, Adept, Character, Inflection, Conjecture, Cohere, & Huggingface on June 30, 2023? | Continuous |
| -7.189 | What will the seasonally adjusted month over month headline CPI inflation be in the United States in the following months? (Dec-22) | Continuous |
| -8.751 | What price will Coinbase quote for FTX's FTT token on February 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| -12.243 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| -14.176 | What will be state-of-the-art performance on the MATH dataset on the following dates? (June 30, 2023) | Continuous |
| -14.210 | When will China first reach 250,000 confirmed Covid-19 cases per day? | Continuous |
| -16.134 | Will a grant recipient of the FTX Foundation have their grant funds frozen, seized, or demanded back? (January 1, 2024) | Binary |
| -18.819 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| -22.934 | In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction? | Binary |
| -24.021 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| -24.582 | What will be the Levelized Cost of Energy Storage in 2022? | Continuous |
| -25.086 | Will Twitter's net income be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -30.425 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| -30.481 | In 2023 will a successful deepfake attempt causing real damage make the front page of a major news source? | Binary |
| -30.979 | Will the 3.47 second Rubik's Cube world record be broken by July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -32.160 | Will the TSA extend or reimpose a mask mandate on public transportation before 2024? | Binary |
| -35.991 | Will Holden win his Bet with Zvi about Omicron, conditional on one of them winning? | Binary |
| -42.306 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -50.931 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| -53.808 | Will there be a collision or ramming incident between a military vessel or military aircraft of Russia or Belarus, and one of a NATO country, before 2024? | Binary |
| -58.707 | Will the Shanghai index of Chinese stocks go up over 2023? | Binary |
| -75.193 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| -83.976 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -94.067 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -118.061 | What will core PCE and the max unemployment rate be at the end of 2023? (UR < 4.5%, core PCE ≥ 3%) | Binary |
| -176.589 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |