Nichevo

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

Baseline Accuracy measures how accurate a user was compared to chance. User scores are determined by summing their Baseline scores for all questions within a time period. This category rewards forecasters who are both accurate and forecast on many questions. Learn more here.

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4190	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
96.021	Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?	Binary
92.788	When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed?	Continuous
84.607	Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?	Binary
83.431	Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026?	Binary
82.951	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
82.265	Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025?	Binary
81.436	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)	Binary
81.174	Will Russia test a nuclear device before January 1, 2026?	Binary
78.856	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
77.754	Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?	Binary
77.296	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
76.468	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
76.224	Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025?	Multiple Choice
75.358	Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026)	Binary
75.037	Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School?	Binary
74.856	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
74.756	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Production Tax Credits (45Y)?	Binary
74.609	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
73.669	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
73.354	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
73.326	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
71.387	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
71.257	Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025?	Binary
71.053	Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?	Binary
70.995	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Investment Tax Credits (48Ε)?	Binary
70.896	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
70.602	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
70.186	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
69.807	Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026?	Binary
69.410	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
67.802	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
67.600	Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win?	Multiple Choice
67.363	Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
67.057	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)	Binary
66.848	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
65.378	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
64.188	Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026?	Binary
63.652	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
63.128	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
62.978	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
62.112	Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?	Binary
61.637	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
60.962	Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025?	Binary
60.919	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
60.391	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
59.578	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
59.373	Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025?	Binary
58.401	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
57.812	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
57.795	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
57.794	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
57.653	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
57.054	How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025?	Continuous
56.671	When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?	Multiple Choice
56.044	Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025?	Binary
55.999	Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026?	Multiple Choice
55.259	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
55.150	Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?	Binary
54.754	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Q carbon capture tax credit established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
54.682	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
54.653	What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season?	Continuous
53.790	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
53.334	Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026?	Binary
53.262	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
53.176	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
52.788	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
52.622	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
52.190	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
51.278	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
50.688	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
50.497	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
49.062	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
47.704	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
47.501	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
47.281	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
45.445	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
45.005	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
44.958	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
44.454	Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025?	Binary
44.169	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
43.869	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
43.543	What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025?	Continuous
43.511	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
43.507	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
43.468	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
42.116	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
41.957	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
41.727	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
41.624	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December)	Continuous
41.392	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
40.357	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
40.304	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
39.274	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
39.263	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
39.056	Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026?	Binary
39.034	What will happen to the adders to tax credits established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
38.996	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
38.565	When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine?	Continuous
38.183	Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025?	Binary
38.030	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
37.948	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
37.682	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
37.607	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
37.579	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
37.446	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
37.434	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
36.690	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
36.578	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
36.460	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
36.438	Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting?	Binary
35.593	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
35.553	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
35.515	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
35.309	How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025?	Multiple Choice
35.184	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
35.074	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
31.632	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
30.608	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
30.461	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
30.454	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
30.271	How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026?	Continuous
30.150	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
29.293	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
28.928	How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026?	Continuous
28.163	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
28.035	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
27.900	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
27.820	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men)	Continuous
26.856	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
26.343	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
24.861	Will the FTC's proposed ban on non-compete agreements for most workers be enacted in more or less its current form before 2026?	Binary
24.021	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
23.238	What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025?	Continuous
23.134	Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025?	Binary
23.108	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
23.008	Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship?	Multiple Choice
22.641	Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025?	Binary
22.478	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
22.284	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
22.189	Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026?	Binary
21.728	Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026?	Binary
21.001	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
20.041	Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025?	Binary
19.720	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
19.476	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
19.284	Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?	Binary
18.654	When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!)	Continuous
18.104	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
17.970	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
17.471	Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025?	Binary
17.227	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
17.193	What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?	Multiple Choice
16.719	Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season?	Binary
16.560	Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico?	Binary
16.508	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
16.360	Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026?	Binary
15.962	Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?	Binary
15.544	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
15.471	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
15.413	When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?	Multiple Choice
15.045	When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in?	Continuous
13.800	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
13.271	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
13.237	Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government?	Multiple Choice
12.117	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
12.063	Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025?	Binary
11.508	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
11.216	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
11.210	What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (November)	Continuous
9.985	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
9.292	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
9.006	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
8.738	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
8.583	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
8.246	Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season?	Multiple Choice
8.034	What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025?	Continuous
7.900	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
7.748	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
7.470	Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land?	Binary
6.999	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
6.938	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
6.696	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion)	Binary
6.673	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
6.133	What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th?	Continuous
5.709	Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)?	Binary
5.685	How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend?	Continuous
5.444	What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025?	Continuous
5.376	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
5.228	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
5.059	How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series?	Continuous
5.026	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
4.911	Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025?	Binary
4.675	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
3.529	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
3.259	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
3.120	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
1.609	Will the US Senate vote on a rescission proposal from President Trump before October 1, 2025?	Binary
1.434	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
1.325	Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026?	Binary
1.295	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
1.062	In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released?	Multiple Choice
0.839	Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026?	Multiple Choice
0.539	Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for overtime income in tax year 2026?	Binary
0.140	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
0.081	Will the 2025 reconciliation bill impose new work requirements on Medicaid recipients?	Binary
0.009	Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026?	Binary
-0.499	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election?	Multiple Choice
-0.770	How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025?	Continuous
-2.145	How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?	Multiple Choice
-2.339	What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be?	Multiple Choice
-2.412	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
-2.914	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN)	Binary
-3.383	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-3.815	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
-3.870	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-4.702	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
-4.848	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
-4.982	What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women)	Continuous
-5.486	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-5.610	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
-6.074	Who will win the Texas 18th district special election?	Multiple Choice
-6.993	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-7.147	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
-8.958	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-9.509	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
-9.578	In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?	Binary
-9.923	[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?	Binary
-10.631	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-12.545	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
-12.771	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-13.573	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-13.969	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
-14.806	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
-14.928	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
-20.367	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
-20.738	How many people will be admitted to the UK under the Agreement on the Prevention of Dangerous Journeys before 2026?	Continuous
-20.999	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
-22.638	Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?	Binary
-24.883	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-25.835	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-26.839	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
-27.096	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
-27.325	Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Binary
-27.460	How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week?	Continuous
-28.770	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
-32.327	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
-32.676	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
-33.174	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
-33.300	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-38.991	[Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election?	Binary
-40.947	Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)?	Multiple Choice
-40.971	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
-42.870	On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025?	Continuous
-44.159	How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025?	Continuous
-47.399	What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026?	Continuous
-49.075	Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election?	Multiple Choice
-50.942	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
-51.074	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-52.377	What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025?	Continuous
-54.559	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-56.912	Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-59.290	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
-60.163	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
-63.118	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)	Binary
-63.367	Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025?	Binary
-65.567	Will the UN Security Council reauthorize the UNIFIL mission at the next UNIFIL review meeting in August?	Binary
-66.741	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-68.397	How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff?	Multiple Choice
-86.433	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-90.360	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-90.934	Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season?	Binary
-91.414	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
-103.337	Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant?	Binary
-115.438	How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025?	Continuous
-129.564	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-137.311	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
-137.784	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?	Binary
-153.647	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-180.000	What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026?	Continuous
-189.194	Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025?	Multiple Choice
-192.911	Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026?	Binary
-252.452	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary