82.951 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
77.296 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
76.468 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
76.224 | Where will Kilmar Abrego Garcia be on October 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
75.037 | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
74.856 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
74.609 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
73.669 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
73.354 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
73.326 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
71.387 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
71.257 | Will Tulsi Gabbard depart from her position as Director of National Intelligence before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
70.896 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
70.602 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
69.410 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
67.802 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
66.848 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
65.378 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
63.652 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
63.128 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
61.637 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
60.962 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
60.919 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
60.391 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
59.578 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
59.373 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
58.401 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
57.812 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
57.795 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
57.794 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
57.653 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
55.259 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
55.150 | Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
54.682 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
53.790 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
53.262 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
52.788 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
52.622 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
51.278 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
49.062 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
47.704 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
47.501 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
45.005 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
44.958 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
44.454 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
44.169 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
43.869 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
43.543 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
43.507 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
43.468 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
42.116 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
41.957 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
41.392 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
39.263 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
38.996 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
37.948 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
37.682 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
37.607 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
37.579 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
37.446 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
37.434 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
36.578 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
36.460 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
35.593 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
35.553 | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
35.184 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
35.074 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
31.632 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
30.608 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
30.461 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
30.150 | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
29.293 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
28.163 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
28.035 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
26.343 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
24.021 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
23.134 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
23.108 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
22.641 | Will a vote of no confidence pass the French National Assembly before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
22.478 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
22.284 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
19.720 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
19.476 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
18.104 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
17.970 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
17.471 | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
17.193 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
16.719 | Will the Colorado Rockies lose 122 or more games in the 2025 MLB season? | Binary |
16.560 | Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico? | Binary |
16.508 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
15.962 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
15.544 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
15.413 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
13.271 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
13.237 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
11.508 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
11.216 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
9.985 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
9.292 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
9.006 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
8.738 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
8.583 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
8.034 | What will be be the price of Gold per troy ounce on May 16, 2025? | Continuous |
7.900 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
7.748 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
6.999 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
6.938 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
6.696 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
6.673 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
5.709 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
5.685 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
5.376 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
5.228 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
4.911 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
3.529 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
3.259 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
1.609 | Will the US Senate vote on a rescission proposal from President Trump before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
1.434 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
1.325 | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
1.295 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
0.539 | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for overtime income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
0.140 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
0.081 | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill impose new work requirements on Medicaid recipients? | Binary |
-0.499 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
-2.914 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-3.383 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-3.815 | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
-3.870 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-4.702 | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
-4.848 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
-5.486 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
-6.993 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-7.147 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
-8.958 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-9.923 | [Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025? | Binary |
-10.631 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-12.545 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
-12.771 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-13.573 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
-13.969 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-14.806 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
-20.367 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
-20.999 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
-24.883 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-25.835 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-26.839 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
-27.096 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
-27.325 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
-28.770 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-32.327 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
-32.676 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
-33.174 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-33.300 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-38.991 | [Short fuse] Will the Government lose its majority in the 2025 Japanese House of Councillors election? | Binary |
-40.947 | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
-40.971 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
-42.870 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-50.942 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-51.074 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-54.559 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-59.290 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
-63.118 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
-63.367 | Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
-65.567 | Will the UN Security Council reauthorize the UNIFIL mission at the next UNIFIL review meeting in August? | Binary |
-86.433 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-90.360 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-91.414 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-103.337 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-129.564 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-137.311 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
-153.647 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
-252.452 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |