| 95.999 | Will Russia invade Latvia, Lithuania, or Estonia before 2024? | Binary |
| 95.349 | Will Dnipro be under Russian control on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 94.872 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join the EU before 2024? | Binary |
| 90.976 | Will Medvedchuk become president of Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 84.340 | Will any member of NATO call for Hungary to be expelled before 2024? | Binary |
| 80.590 | Will China get involved in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict by 2024? | Binary |
| 79.210 | In 2023 will someone release "DALL-E, but for videos"? | Binary |
| 76.548 | Will Russia detonate a nuclear weapon in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 75.974 | Will Russia capture or surround a large Ukrainian city before June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 75.770 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Zaporizhzhia? | Binary |
| 72.235 | Will a radiological "dirty bomb" be detonated in Ukraine or Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 71.526 | Depending on US/NATO conducting military operations in Ukraine, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (No US/NATO Ops in UA) | Binary |
| 70.919 | Will Ukraine join the European Union before 2024? | Binary |
| 70.648 | Will Russia be the world's most sanctioned country on February 22, 2023? | Binary |
| 69.001 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of Sevastopol on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 68.299 | On January 1, 2024, will an ordinary person be able to take a self-driving taxi from Oakland → SF during rush hour? | Binary |
| 68.137 | Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council by 2024? | Binary |
| 67.755 | Will Tweets be inaccessible on Twitter.com for any seven days starting before 2024? | Binary |
| 66.222 | How many Internally Displaced Ukrainians will be estimated by the UN in 2022? | Continuous |
| 63.393 | Will a coup or regime change take place in Russia in 2022 or 2023? | Binary |
| 62.903 | In 2023 will any other war have more casualties than Russia-Ukraine? | Binary |
| 60.174 | Will Vladimir Putin be the president of the Russian Federation on February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 58.687 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 56.982 | What percentage of US GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| 56.505 | On January 1, 2024, will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia? | Binary |
| 56.422 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Luhansk? | Binary |
| 56.229 | Will Ukraine officially recognize a former Ukrainian territory as independent before 2024? | Binary |
| 55.977 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jared Kushner) | Binary |
| 55.977 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (John Legere) | Binary |
| 55.850 | When will Russia launch a new major land offensive in Ukraine outside of claimed oblasts? | Continuous |
| 55.498 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (50,000) | Binary |
| 55.146 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sriram Krishnan) | Binary |
| 55.146 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Sheryl Sandberg) | Binary |
| 55.145 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Blake Masters) | Binary |
| 53.445 | Will certain marble statues removed from Greece in the early 19th century be moved back before 2024? | Binary |
| 49.900 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Jason Calacanis) | Binary |
| 49.698 | When will US or NATO forces conduct military operations in Ukraine or Ukraine's occupied regions? | Continuous |
| 48.902 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (David Sacks) | Binary |
| 47.843 | Will Finland join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 47.251 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Lex Fridman) | Binary |
| 46.655 | Will COVID kill at least 50% as many people in 2023 as it did in 2022? | Binary |
| 46.586 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Ron DeSantis is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 46.318 | Will Georgia impose sanctions against Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 43.162 | Will Ukraine have de facto control of at least 90% of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 42.079 | Will there be more than 4 deaths between Russia and NATO forces outside of Ukraine before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 41.860 | How many nuclear weapons will there be in world stockpiles in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 41.693 | Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 38.481 | Who will be the most recent CEO of Twitter on February 1, 2023? (Elon Musk) | Binary |
| 37.984 | Will Ukraine have a security guarantee from another country before 2024? | Binary |
| 37.919 | Will Ukraine join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 36.801 | On January 1, 2024, will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over it? | Binary |
| 35.776 | Will Texas vote to secede from the United States before 2024? | Binary |
| 34.845 | What will be the annual number of objects launched into space in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 34.550 | Will Russia control any formerly Ukrainian territories other than LNR, DNR, or Crimea on January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 33.849 | What price will Coinbase quote for FTX's FTT token on February 1, 2023? | Continuous |
| 33.489 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Donald Trump is the most likely Republican nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 33.469 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (October 2023) | Continuous |
| 33.013 | How many Russian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 31.779 | How many recently active Russian flag officers will emigrate from the Russia-aligned sphere before 2024? | Continuous |
| 30.146 | Does Omicron have a shorter generation interval than Delta? | Binary |
| 29.490 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2023? | Binary |
| 27.662 | Will US CPI inflation for 2023 average above 4%? | Binary |
| 26.453 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cincinnati Bengals) | Binary |
| 26.116 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Shas) | Binary |
| 26.116 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Labor) | Binary |
| 26.116 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Religious Zionist) | Binary |
| 26.116 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Joint List) | Binary |
| 26.104 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Meretz) | Binary |
| 26.093 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (New Hope) | Binary |
| 26.092 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Yisrael Beiteinu) | Binary |
| 26.092 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Zionist Spirit) | Binary |
| 25.884 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Blue and White) | Binary |
| 25.795 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Likud) | Binary |
| 25.728 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (UTJ) | Binary |
| 25.682 | Which party will have a serving Prime Minister following Israel’s 2022 elections? (Yesh Atid) | Binary |
| 25.628 | Will Ukraine regain control of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 25.239 | Will Turkey declare sanctions on Russia before 2024? | Binary |
| 24.919 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (San Francisco 49ers) | Binary |
| 24.799 | How many Ukrainian soldiers will be killed in the Russo-Ukrainian conflict before 2024? (25,000) | Binary |
| 23.379 | Will Google or DeepMind release a public interface for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 22.812 | Will Peloton file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 22.461 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Giants) | Binary |
| 22.449 | What proportion of NATO member states, excluding the USA, will increase their real 2023 defense spending by at least 25 % compared to 2022? | Continuous |
| 22.371 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Jacksonville Jaguars) | Binary |
| 21.524 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Philadelphia Eagles) | Binary |
| 20.816 | Will Donald Trump post a new tweet before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 20.564 | How much foreign aid will the US provide Ukraine in 2022? | Continuous |
| 20.506 | Will Microsoft integrate Large Language Model responses directly into Bing Search before September 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 20.229 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Dallas Cowboys) | Binary |
| 19.898 | Will Coinbase file for bankruptcy protection before 2024? | Binary |
| 19.533 | What will be the real price of gas (per gallon, 2022 USD) in the US on the following dates? (April 2023) | Continuous |
| 19.135 | Will Sam Bankman-Fried return to US soil before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 18.839 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Baltimore Ravens) | Binary |
| 18.571 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) | Binary |
| 18.250 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs before January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 18.119 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Seattle Seahawks) | Binary |
| 18.089 | Will Ukraine formally pledge not to join NATO before 2024? | Binary |
| 17.880 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Miami Dolphins) | Binary |
| 17.704 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Chargers) | Binary |
| 17.619 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Minnesota Vikings) | Binary |
| 17.554 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Buffalo Bills) | Binary |
| 15.800 | When will Boris Johnson no longer hold the office of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom? | Continuous |
| 14.509 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Detroit Lions) | Binary |
| 14.434 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New England Patriots) | Binary |
| 14.434 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Pittsburgh Steelers) | Binary |
| 14.390 | Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict before 2023? | Binary |
| 14.170 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Green Bay Packers) | Binary |
| 13.795 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Tennessee Titans) | Binary |
| 13.539 | How many FLOPS will be used to train GPT-4 (if it is released)? | Continuous |
| 13.254 | Depending on Ukraine gaining territory in Crimea, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (< 50 km^2) | Binary |
| 13.015 | Will cost of living riots happen in the UK before March 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 10.976 | When will Ukraine regain control of the city of Kherson? | Continuous |
| 10.320 | In 2023 will Donald Trump make at least one tweet? | Binary |
| 10.276 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Las Vegas Raiders) | Binary |
| 10.275 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New York Jets) | Binary |
| 10.274 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (New Orleans Saints) | Binary |
| 10.273 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Washington Commanders) | Binary |
| 10.197 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Carolina Panthers) | Binary |
| 10.176 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 9.938 | Will there be a large-scale radioactive contamination of a German territory by 2024? | Binary |
| 9.582 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT be available for free public use on Jan 31, 2023? | Binary |
| 8.853 | On January 1, 2024, will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war? | Binary |
| 8.853 | On January 1, 2024, will Ukraine control the city of Sevastopol? | Binary |
| 8.847 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 8.845 | On January 1, 2024, will Joe Biden have a positive (approval minus disapproval) rating? | Binary |
| 8.836 | Will the US ban TikTok before 2024? | Binary |
| 8.830 | On January 1, 2024, will Rishi Sunak be Prime Minister of the UK? | Binary |
| 8.828 | In 2023 will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area? | Binary |
| 8.146 | In 2023 will WHO declare a new Global Health Emergency? | Binary |
| 8.121 | Will Bitcoin end 2023 above $30,000? | Binary |
| 8.106 | Will Iran disempower its Guidance Patrol "modesty police" before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.937 | Will OpenAI release a public API for programmatically querying ChatGPT before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 7.813 | On January 1, 2024, will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 7.769 | Will Binance or a subsidiary file for bankruptcy or be sold "under duress" before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.766 | Depending on Ukraine re-taking control of Kherson, will Russia use nuclear weapons against Ukraine before 2024? (Ukrainian Control) | Binary |
| 7.613 | If Russia invades Ukraine, will +1,000 Russian soldiers be killed by Ukrainian forces in 2022 and 2023? | Binary |
| 7.269 | Will North Korea send 100 or more troops to Ukraine before 2024? | Binary |
| 7.221 | In 2023 will the UK hold a general election? | Binary |
| 7.221 | In 2023 will there be any change in the composition of the Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 7.213 | In 2023 will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan? | Binary |
| 7.213 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be used in war (ie not a test or accident) and kill at least 10 people? | Binary |
| 7.213 | In 2023, will Tether de-peg? | Binary |
| 7.182 | In 2023 will Ali Khameini cease to be Supreme Leader of Iran? | Binary |
| 7.168 | In 2023 will AI win a programming competition? | Binary |
| 7.155 | In 2023 will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines? | Binary |
| 7.119 | In 2023 will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset? | Binary |
| 6.654 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023? | Binary |
| 5.930 | Will Twitter make verification generally available before July 2023? | Binary |
| 5.600 | Will Ukraine use American rocket systems against targets on Russian soil before July 2023? | Binary |
| 5.501 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Atlanta Falcons) | Binary |
| 5.500 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Cleveland Browns) | Binary |
| 5.037 | How much oil will Venezuela produce in 2022? | Continuous |
| 4.995 | Will China reverse its decision to ban financial institutions from trading and engaging in cryptocurrency transactions before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.914 | Will China reverse its ban on bitcoin mining and trading before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.853 | In 2023 will a nuclear weapon be detonated (including tests and accidents)? | Binary |
| 4.795 | Will China have approved cultivated meat for human consumption by 2024? | Binary |
| 4.749 | Will the UN open an investigation or otherwise intervene on the issue of the Xinjiang internment camps before 2024? | Binary |
| 4.682 | How many successful orbital rocket launches will there be in the following years? (2023) | Continuous |
| 4.650 | Will Kim Jong-un remain the de facto leader of North Korea until (at least) January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.491 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Indianapolis Colts) | Binary |
| 4.371 | On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024? | Binary |
| 4.084 | Will OpenAI offer a ChatGPT subscription for less than $25/month before July 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 3.616 | Will at least 5 million refugees from Ukraine seek assistance from other countries? | Binary |
| 3.321 | Will Microsoft acquire Activision Blizzard by June 30, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.517 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Los Angeles Rams) | Binary |
| 2.327 | Will Joe Rogan leave Spotify before February 1, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.220 | Will PredictIt be open for trading in the US on March 16, 2023? | Binary |
| 2.073 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Arizona Cardinals) | Binary |
| 1.790 | In 2023 will Donald Trump get indicted on criminal charges? | Binary |
| 1.757 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Manchester City) | Binary |
| 1.651 | Who will win the 2022-2023 Premier League? (Arsenal) | Binary |
| 1.623 | By 2024, will Vladimir Putin be charged with war crimes by the International Criminal Court in connection to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? | Binary |
| 1.391 | What will be the market cap of Baidu, Alibaba, and Tencent in 2023? | Continuous |
| 1.315 | Will the Peoples Democratic Party win the 2023 Nigerian Presidential election? | Binary |
| 1.030 | In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4? | Binary |
| 0.767 | When will GPT-4 be announced? | Continuous |
| 0.645 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Suella Braverman) | Binary |
| 0.645 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Theresa May) | Binary |
| 0.645 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Grant Shapps) | Binary |
| 0.643 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Jeremy Hunt) | Binary |
| 0.643 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Ben Wallace) | Binary |
| 0.491 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Penny Mourdant) | Binary |
| 0.197 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Boris Johnson) | Binary |
| 0.169 | Who will be the next leader of the UK Conservative Party? (Rishi Sunak) | Binary |
| -12.318 | In 2023 will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China? | Binary |
| -14.131 | Will there be 36 or more private fusion-energy companies in 2022? | Binary |
| -16.279 | What percentage of Russian GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2022? | Continuous |
| -18.806 | Will Ukraine regain control of at least 50 km^2 of the Crimean Peninsula? | Continuous |
| -24.985 | In 2023, will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high? | Binary |
| -29.598 | Will Google or DeepMind release an API for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -31.205 | What will Russia's nominal GDP be in 2022, in trillions of USD? | Continuous |
| -36.769 | Who will win the 2023 NFL Super Bowl? (Kansas City Chiefs) | Binary |
| -59.007 | How many quantum computing patents will China have filed before 2024? | Continuous |
| -63.813 | Will Twitter's average monetizable daily users be higher in 2023 than in 2022? | Binary |
| -70.286 | Will a major nuclear power plant in Germany be operational on June 1, 2023? | Binary |
| -83.848 | Will Johnny Depp receive a film contract from a major film studio by January 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -90.061 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2024? | Binary |
| -182.563 | How many parameters will the latest version of the Chinese Wu Dao AI model have before 2024? | Continuous |
| -248.882 | In 2023, will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit? | Binary |
| -289.575 | Will Sweden join NATO before 2024? | Binary |