95.459 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
88.289 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
86.974 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
85.813 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
85.754 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
83.522 | Will The United States Give Israel Bunker Busting Bombs By The End of June 2025? | Binary |
81.623 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
79.982 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
79.390 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
78.826 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
78.806 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
78.780 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
77.405 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
77.020 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
76.984 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
76.875 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
76.839 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
76.590 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
76.344 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
75.092 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
74.845 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
74.299 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
72.733 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
72.641 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
72.266 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
70.496 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
70.482 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
69.472 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
69.222 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
68.788 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
68.608 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
68.471 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
68.311 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
68.122 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
66.241 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
65.054 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
63.035 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
63.001 | Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico? | Binary |
61.071 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
59.099 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
57.570 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
57.234 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
56.928 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
56.814 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
56.668 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
55.234 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
53.931 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
53.533 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
53.394 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
53.372 | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
52.997 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
52.495 | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
52.004 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
51.360 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
50.633 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
50.597 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
50.310 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
50.272 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
50.061 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
48.971 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
47.273 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
47.173 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
46.407 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
45.986 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
45.709 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
45.303 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
44.253 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
43.587 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
43.571 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
43.520 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
42.120 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
41.946 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
40.469 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
39.381 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
37.674 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
36.223 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
36.155 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
36.145 | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
36.127 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
35.968 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
35.694 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
35.512 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
35.117 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
34.982 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
34.885 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
34.813 | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
34.533 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
34.225 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
33.840 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
32.421 | Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation? | Binary |
31.845 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
29.537 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
29.258 | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
28.566 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
27.490 | Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025? | Binary |
27.159 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
27.082 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
25.785 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
25.639 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
25.368 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
24.986 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
24.933 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
23.360 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
21.312 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
20.330 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
19.675 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
19.407 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
18.996 | Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)? | Binary |
17.777 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
16.566 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
16.153 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
15.677 | Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion) | Binary |
15.072 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
14.995 | Will Anthropic announce an AI Claude 4 model in 2025? | Binary |
14.629 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
14.625 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
14.318 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
13.691 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
13.364 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
12.466 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
12.353 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
11.775 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
11.127 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
9.703 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
9.228 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
6.970 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
6.806 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
6.465 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
6.415 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
6.260 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
6.160 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
5.666 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
5.434 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
3.966 | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
3.924 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
3.867 | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
2.624 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
2.366 | When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility? | Continuous |
2.235 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
1.810 | What will be the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility estimate of CPI inflation for 2025 as of March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
1.117 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
1.085 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
0.809 | Will the United States or Israel attack the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
0.440 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
0.142 | Will the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the following thresholds before 2026? (100) | Binary |
0.091 | Will Israel carry out attacks within Iran resulting in at least 50 deaths before August 2025? | Binary |
-3.116 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
-3.185 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
-3.205 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
-3.564 | What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act? | Multiple Choice |
-4.875 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-5.206 | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
-5.229 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
-5.236 | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
-5.643 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-5.667 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-5.780 | Will there be a new world record in the 2025 World Figure Skating Championships? | Binary |
-6.274 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
-6.745 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
-6.998 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
-7.608 | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
-10.949 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
-11.898 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-12.033 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
-13.221 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
-13.928 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
-13.929 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
-15.017 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
-16.251 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-17.792 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
-17.810 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
-18.876 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
-19.213 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
-20.255 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
-21.634 | When will the DC cherry trees reach peak bloom in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
-24.340 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
-24.877 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
-24.916 | Will FC Barcelona win both the Liga F1 and the Women's Champions League in the 2024/25 season? | Binary |
-27.665 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-29.980 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
-31.619 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
-37.952 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
-38.887 | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
-40.588 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
-45.751 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
-52.666 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
-62.384 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
-65.991 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
-73.008 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
-76.446 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
-78.439 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
-80.792 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
-101.670 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
-109.984 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
-114.949 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
-115.798 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
-116.839 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-129.681 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
-138.613 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-140.430 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
-153.160 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
-466.987 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |