cookics999

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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4074	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
143.624	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
135.383	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
124.955	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
114.484	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
104.876	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
104.790	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
100.562	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
98.828	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
96.904	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
95.824	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
95.122	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
93.702	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
92.706	Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025?	Binary
92.294	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
88.111	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
88.081	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
88.013	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
87.580	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
86.334	Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025?	Binary
78.421	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
74.695	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN)	Continuous
74.641	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
74.415	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
71.477	What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
70.610	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6)	Continuous
67.014	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
64.818	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
64.476	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23)	Continuous
63.257	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
62.671	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
62.019	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
60.658	Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025?	Binary
60.176	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD)	Binary
58.909	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20)	Continuous
57.808	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
57.310	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9)	Continuous
56.936	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD)	Continuous
54.727	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
54.656	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
54.595	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
52.980	How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025?	Multiple Choice
51.865	Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025?	Binary
51.534	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
48.302	Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025?	Binary
45.718	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
43.871	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
43.669	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
43.608	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
43.425	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
43.422	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
42.898	How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session?	Continuous
42.329	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25)	Continuous
39.987	Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025?	Binary
39.892	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
39.882	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
39.478	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
38.830	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
38.230	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
38.000	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA)	Continuous
37.903	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13)	Continuous
37.314	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
36.139	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
35.889	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
35.278	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
35.112	Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025?	Binary
33.824	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
32.625	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025)	Continuous
32.467	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
32.059	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
32.027	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
31.389	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30)	Continuous
31.303	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27)	Continuous
28.564	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
28.461	Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from?	Multiple Choice
28.338	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
26.282	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
26.144	What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit?	Multiple Choice
25.653	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
25.154	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
23.899	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES)	Binary
23.215	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
23.048	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD)	Continuous
21.261	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
21.244	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey)	Continuous
20.859	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1)	Continuous
20.570	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
20.458	Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025?	Binary
18.499	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
17.630	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
17.481	What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025?	Multiple Choice
17.358	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
17.039	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27)	Binary
16.641	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
15.237	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
14.766	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
14.761	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
14.307	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
13.330	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
12.857	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
11.916	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
11.843	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
11.327	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue)	Continuous
10.701	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses)	Continuous
10.459	What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025?	Continuous
10.124	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
9.928	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
9.762	What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin)	Continuous
8.138	What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025?	Continuous
7.707	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
6.292	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
6.201	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
5.835	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
5.193	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27)	Binary
4.474	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
4.355	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
2.585	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
1.873	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
1.348	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT)	Continuous
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
-	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025)	Binary
-	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025)	Binary
-0.365	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
-0.544	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2)	Binary
-2.027	Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2)	Binary
-2.159	Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025?	Binary
-2.894	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30)	Binary
-2.911	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25)	Binary
-4.005	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
-4.154	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-4.795	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2)	Continuous
-5.202	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16)	Binary
-8.892	Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13)	Binary
-10.820	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN)	Binary
-20.738	What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16)	Continuous
-20.857	Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13)	Binary
-20.927	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
-29.585	Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025?	Binary
-33.996	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-35.153	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
-37.537	Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit?	Binary
-43.183	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-44.740	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-47.815	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-53.103	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
-54.717	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-57.120	Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?	Binary
-220.241	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-509.853	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary