Money77

User

Duration:1 year

Time Period:2025

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532.9	Total Score
Score	Question	Question Type
98.773	Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025?	Binary
94.550	Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025?	Binary
92.712	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
88.137	Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?	Binary
87.583	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
87.106	Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025?	Binary
86.151	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
86.151	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
83.300	Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026?	Binary
82.210	Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025?	Binary
80.085	Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?	Binary
77.282	Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025?	Binary
76.919	Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025?	Binary
75.941	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
75.650	Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026?	Binary
73.393	Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025?	Binary
73.250	Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025?	Binary
70.124	Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024?	Binary
68.257	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Production Tax Credits (45Y)?	Binary
65.660	Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025?	Binary
64.354	Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025?	Binary
64.082	What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)?	Continuous
63.342	Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026?	Binary
61.981	Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026?	Binary
61.277	Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025?	Binary
61.010	Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?	Binary
60.657	Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025?	Binary
59.808	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
59.624	Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025?	Binary
58.600	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk)	Binary
58.593	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura)	Binary
57.352	Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025?	Binary
57.225	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka)	Binary
57.209	Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025?	Binary
56.420	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Anish Giri)	Binary
56.420	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (R Praggnanandhaa)	Binary
55.683	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ding Liren)	Binary
55.682	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda)	Binary
55.561	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
55.078	Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025?	Binary
54.573	Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025?	Binary
53.826	Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026?	Binary
53.174	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Magnus Carlsen)	Binary
53.035	Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
52.321	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Levon Aronian)	Binary
52.321	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Aravindh Chithambaram)	Binary
52.124	How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026?	Multiple Choice
52.067	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad)	Binary
51.458	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi)	Binary
51.142	In 2025, will the domestic content requirements become mandatory for obtaining the IRA's Investment Tax Credits (48Ε)?	Binary
50.586	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hans Niemann)	Binary
49.111	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
48.814	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wesley So)	Binary
48.814	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev)	Binary
47.281	Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025?	Binary
47.002	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Shakhriyar Mamedyarov)	Binary
46.989	What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025?	Continuous
46.952	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR)	Binary
46.026	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES)	Binary
45.912	Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026?	Binary
45.752	Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025?	Binary
45.032	Will Alassane Ouattara win 80% or more of the first round vote in the 2025 presidential election of Ivory Coast (Côte d'Ivoire)?	Binary
44.753	Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025?	Binary
44.405	Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025?	Binary
43.315	Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after?	Multiple Choice
43.186	Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026?	Binary
42.599	Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025?	Binary
42.289	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave)	Binary
42.179	Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
41.845	Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025?	Binary
41.330	Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026?	Binary
41.283	Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?	Binary
41.064	Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard?	Continuous
40.506	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Capped credits)	Binary
39.912	Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026?	Binary
39.268	Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
38.388	What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025?	Continuous
38.052	Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
37.877	Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025?	Binary
37.839	What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
37.671	Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025?	Binary
37.278	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
37.162	Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025?	Binary
36.748	Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise?	Binary
36.685	Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September?	Binary
36.577	What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025?	Continuous
36.107	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (Limits on share buybacks)	Binary
35.986	Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector?	Binary
35.769	Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025?	Binary
35.560	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
34.499	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA)	Continuous
34.304	Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023?	Binary
33.967	Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%?	Binary
33.708	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi)	Binary
33.599	Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025?	Binary
33.031	Will Chegg file for bankruptcy before January 1, 2026?	Binary
32.986	Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF?	Binary
31.842	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45Q carbon capture tax credit established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
31.695	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
30.829	Will there be major civil unrest or martial law in the Philippines in 2025?	Binary
30.772	Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026)	Binary
30.650	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
29.276	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vincent Keymer)	Binary
29.180	Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025?	Binary
29.083	Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025?	Binary
29.036	Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025?	Binary
28.836	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
28.720	Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025?	Binary
28.565	Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025?	Binary
28.244	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov)	Binary
27.452	Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026?	Binary
26.895	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
26.379	What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories?	Continuous
26.255	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi)	Binary
25.772	Will the PSOE finish 2025 ahead of the PP in the polls average?	Binary
25.391	Who Will be President of Zimbabwe on January 1, 2026?	Multiple Choice
25.365	When will Metaculus reach 3 million total forecasts? (Winners announced!)	Continuous
25.182	Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025?	Binary
25.007	Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025?	Binary
24.183	Will the FTC's proposed ban on non-compete agreements for most workers be enacted in more or less its current form before 2026?	Binary
24.032	What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup?	Continuous
23.869	Who will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?	Multiple Choice
23.667	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
23.287	Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025?	Binary
23.033	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
22.874	Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025?	Binary
22.728	Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
22.168	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
22.117	Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?	Binary
21.745	What will happen to the adders to tax credits established by the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
21.719	Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025?	Binary
21.579	How many parties will be in the next German parliament?	Multiple Choice
21.387	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Alireza Firouzja)	Binary
20.780	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
20.413	Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion?	Binary
20.282	Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025?	Binary
20.222	Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?	Binary
19.933	Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025?	Binary
19.155	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025)	Continuous
18.750	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025)	Binary
18.255	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
18.067	Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025?	Binary
17.051	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
16.792	Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025?	Binary
16.690	What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025?	Continuous
16.651	Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025?	Binary
16.553	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025)	Binary
15.938	Will the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) draw from a dollar swap line with the US government before January 1, 2026?	Binary
15.353	Will housing prices in Madrid rise by more than 18% in 2025?	Binary
15.143	Will Boeing's total revenue for 2025 be equal to or higher than $85 billion?	Binary
15.054	Who will win the UK Labour Party's Deputy Leadership election in 2025?	Multiple Choice
14.818	Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025?	Binary
14.559	Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026?	Binary
14.368	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections?	Binary
14.325	Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025?	Binary
14.317	Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025)	Binary
13.740	Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025?	Binary
13.687	Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election?	Binary
13.564	Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025?	Binary
12.159	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
11.787	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
11.725	How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025?	Multiple Choice
10.584	What will be the best score by an AI on the full Humanity's Last Exam (HLE) before 2026?	Continuous
10.458	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services))	Binary
9.461	Will the SAF maintain control of both Khartoum city center and el-Obeid in North Kordofan through December 31, 2025?	Binary
9.452	Will legislation enacted before January 1, 2026 eliminate the transferability of any of these clean energy tax credits (§48E ITC, §45Y PTC, §45X AMPC)?	Binary
9.412	Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025?	Binary
9.284	Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025?	Binary
9.173	What will be the weekly total number of RSV hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks in the 2024-25 season? (March 1, 2025)	Continuous
9.060	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence))	Binary
8.858	What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
8.401	Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025?	Binary
8.347	Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025?	Binary
8.067	Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025?	Binary
7.389	How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025?	Continuous
7.265	Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025?	Binary
7.012	Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025?	Binary
6.928	Will the 2017 TCJA Individual Tax Cuts Be Extended Using a "Current Policy" Baseline in Senate Reconciliation?	Binary
6.636	What will be the seasonally adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index in the following months? (Aug-25)	Continuous
6.602	In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents?	Binary
6.308	Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games?	Multiple Choice
6.300	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
5.443	What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament?	Multiple Choice
5.375	Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026?	Binary
5.256	What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units?	Continuous
5.103	Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada?	Multiple Choice
4.966	Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025?	Binary
4.623	What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season? (March 1, 2025)	Continuous
4.096	Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024?	Binary
3.946	Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025?	Binary
3.690	Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026?	Binary
3.443	What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL)	Continuous
3.030	What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025)	Continuous
2.795	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on education programs?	Continuous
2.770	What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?	Multiple Choice
2.684	Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?	Binary
2.624	What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025?	Continuous
2.588	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Nov 24 - Dec 5)	Continuous
2.400	When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?	Multiple Choice
2.321	How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
1.894	What will happen next concerning the repeal of the 45V (hydrogen) tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act?	Multiple Choice
1.431	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
1.426	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
1.365	How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025?	Multiple Choice
1.351	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7)	Continuous
1.282	Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025?	Binary
0.971	Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025?	Binary
0.828	How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025?	Multiple Choice
0.625	How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week?	Multiple Choice
0.445	How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025?	Continuous
0.320	Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025?	Binary
0.057	Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026?	Binary
0.029	[Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025?	Continuous
-0.170	What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025?	Continuous
-0.219	Who will win the Tour de France 2025?	Multiple Choice
-0.223	What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter?	Continuous
-0.263	What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-0.491	When will Canada replace Justin Trudeau with a new Prime minister?	Continuous
-0.744	Will any of these listed US federal government officials be out of their position before October 1, 2025?	Binary
-0.922	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-1.029	What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup?	Continuous
-1.125	What will be the change in seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment in the following months? (Nov-25)	Continuous
-1.373	Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?	Binary
-1.501	Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk)	Binary
-1.581	When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill?	Multiple Choice
-1.679	What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX?	Continuous
-2.095	Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026?	Multiple Choice
-2.255	By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup?	Multiple Choice
-2.386	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-2.471	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-2.686	What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025?	Multiple Choice
-2.913	Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025?	Binary
-4.004	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-4.250	Will Time Magazine name a human individual as its 2025 Person of the Year?	Binary
-5.153	How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-5.730	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-6.293	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-6.645	What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
-6.750	Which of these changes to the 45X clean energy manufacturing tax credit of the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act will occur before January 1, 2026? (FEOC exclusion)	Binary
-7.374	Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025?	Binary
-7.570	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24)	Continuous
-7.577	Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025?	Binary
-9.866	Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-11.036	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce health insurance coverage?	Continuous
-13.023	What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META)	Continuous
-14.080	When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown?	Continuous
-14.968	Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?	Binary
-15.255	How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025?	Continuous
-15.488	Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025?	Binary
-15.668	Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD)	Binary
-16.407	Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025?	Multiple Choice
-16.894	Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-17.733	Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025?	Binary
-18.619	How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-19.033	What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025?	Continuous
-20.001	Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?	Binary
-20.125	Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026?	Binary
-20.867	Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025?	Binary
-22.905	On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN)	Continuous
-23.866	Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025?	Binary
-28.283	Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026?	Binary
-29.916	Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?	Multiple Choice
-30.976	What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025?	Continuous
-31.348	How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025?	Continuous
-32.063	What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025?	Continuous
-32.508	Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-34.849	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-35.556	How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (September 2025)	Continuous
-37.395	How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025?	Continuous
-37.933	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights)	Continuous
-37.981	On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment?	Binary
-38.622	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wei Yi)	Binary
-39.704	How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025?	Continuous
-40.988	Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026?	Binary
-42.659	Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025?	Binary
-43.443	Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release?	Binary
-44.545	Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act?	Binary
-46.743	How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World)	Continuous
-52.083	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-53.013	Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started?	Binary
-64.960	What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025?	Continuous
-66.276	What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025?	Continuous
-68.861	What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025?	Continuous
-70.887	Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023?	Binary
-72.219	What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025?	Multiple Choice
-73.764	What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025?	Continuous
-74.106	How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-78.194	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10)	Continuous
-85.547	What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025?	Continuous
-85.867	What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025?	Continuous
-87.211	Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place?	Binary
-88.213	Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025?	Binary
-90.039	Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025?	Binary
-93.455	When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown?	Continuous
-98.613	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-99.300	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-100.547	How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025?	Continuous
-101.502	What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025?	Continuous
-102.491	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-106.671	Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Javokhir Sindarov)	Binary
-113.870	What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025?	Continuous
-116.472	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-117.513	Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025?	Binary
-118.412	How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034?	Continuous
-120.316	What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale?	Continuous
-121.457	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15)	Continuous
-131.223	What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-131.280	What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-134.867	What will be the homicide rate per 100,000 inhabitants in Brazil in 2024?	Continuous
-142.527	Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?	Binary
-158.317	Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025?	Binary
-172.112	Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026?	Binary
-173.429	Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025?	Binary
-186.672	What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025?	Continuous
-188.360	What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025?	Continuous
-191.973	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29)	Continuous
-197.283	How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025?	Continuous
-203.694	How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-206.817	What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12)	Continuous
-212.130	How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-213.780	How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26)	Continuous
-288.535	Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print))	Binary