| 121.111 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Toy Story 5) | Continuous |
| 119.083 | What will UK Labour Party's 7-poll moving average percent be on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 106.756 | How much will Toy Story 5 and Minions & Monsters gross domestically during their opening weekends? (Minions & Monsters) | Continuous |
| 99.581 | Will the number of manufacturing jobs in the US for February 2026 be above 12.7 million? | Binary |
| 98.912 | Will the Senate of the Philippines remove Vice President Sara Duterte from office before September 2026? | Binary |
| 98.825 | Will Japan receive more foreign visitors from China than from any other country during January 2026? | Binary |
| 96.888 | Will any NVIDIA GPUs better than the H200 be allowed to be exported to China before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 93.666 | Will any match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be delayed by more than 30 minutes due to extreme heat? | Binary |
| 92.330 | Will the Government of Albania or Prime Minister Edi Rama resign before September 2026? | Binary |
| 91.821 | Will Italy's Schengen suspension against Spain be lifted before August 30, 2026? | Binary |
| 91.786 | Will André Ventura win Portugal's 2026 presidential election? | Binary |
| 90.585 | Will the Brookmont Catastrophic Bond ETF drop at least $0.25 within two days before September 2026? | Binary |
| 87.981 | What will be the access status of Claude Fable and Mythos on September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 87.588 | How many WSOP bracelets will the 2026 Main Event winner hold at the end of the 2026 WSOP season? | Continuous |
| 86.069 | What will happen in the Russia–Ukraine war between July 20 and September 1, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 84.938 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 84.295 | Which party's candidate will win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Multiple Choice |
| 82.225 | Will the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool be fully repaired before September 2026? | Binary |
| 80.939 | Will at least 5 non-passengers be linked to the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak before August 2026? | Binary |
| 80.162 | Will the United States launch an attack against JNIM in Mali during August 2026? | Binary |
| 78.647 | Who will win Division 1A in the 2026 World Yo-Yo Contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 78.201 | Will the United States provide written notices of withdrawal from the USMCA before September 2026? | Binary |
| 77.955 | Who will be the 2026 Republican nominee for U.S. Senator from South Carolina? | Multiple Choice |
| 77.292 | Will another country announce they will quit OPEC or OPEC+ before September 2026? | Binary |
| 76.991 | Will OpenAI's ChatGPT Atlas browser be released for Windows before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 76.950 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Omsk) | Binary |
| 75.356 | Will a U.S. federal agency announce new or expanded model evaluation agreements with both OpenAI and Anthropic before September 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 74.903 | What will be the highest price of gold per troy ounce in February 2026? | Continuous |
| 72.981 | Will OpenAI API token prices fall before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 72.670 | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur before September 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.640 | Which party will win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Multiple Choice |
| 70.317 | Will the German 10-Year Bond Yield move by 20bps or more during February 2026? | Binary |
| 70.270 | Will the Community beat Dylan Matthews in the Metaculus Cup Summer 2026? | Binary |
| 68.224 | Will Instructure be subject to another major hack before September 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 63.003 | How much will Spider-Man: Brand New Day gross domestically before August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 62.314 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 61.432 | Which country will lead the medal table at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.263 | How many vehicles will enter Sturgis for the 86th Annual Sturgis Motorcycle Rally? | Continuous |
| 58.255 | Will layoffs.fyi explicity report at least 100 AI industry layoffs between January 12 and March 13, 2026? | Binary |
| 58.141 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 57.827 | Will Nvidia's revenue for the quarter ending January 25, 2026 exceed Nvidia's guidance by more than 5%? | Binary |
| 57.592 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 57.529 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 56.967 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 56.677 | Will Nvidia's stock price reach a new record close in February 2026? | Binary |
| 55.759 | Which theatrical production will win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards? | Multiple Choice |
| 54.475 | Will the UK National Threat Level reduce from SEVERE before September 2026? | Binary |
| 54.099 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 52.700 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 52.547 | What percentage of votes will Hakainde Hichilema receive in the first round of Zambia's 2026 presidential elections? | Continuous |
| 52.318 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 51.827 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 51.622 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| 50.405 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 50.117 | What will be the average live TV viewership rating of China Media Group's 2026 Chinese New Year’s Gala? | Continuous |
| 49.642 | Will Uber's takeover of Delivery Hero be approved by BaFin before September 2026? | Binary |
| 48.995 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 47.563 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 46.170 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 44.882 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 43.073 | What will be the percentage change in the S&P 500 from close of Aug 26, 2026 to open of Aug 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 42.520 | What will EFAMA report as net inflows to European investment funds in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 42.398 | Will the US and India finalise a new bilateral trade agreement before August 2026? | Binary |
| 42.183 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| 39.246 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| 38.093 | Will any US electric utility announce a $5 billion capex increase, citing data center demand, between January 13 and March 12, 2026? | Binary |
| 36.341 | Will Pope Leo XIV visit another country other than Spain before September 2026? | Binary |
| 36.190 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| 36.024 | What will the Upstart Macro Index values be for cohorts similar to recent applicants in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 35.329 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| 34.722 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.016 | What will be the MoM change to UK retail sales volume during January 2026? | Continuous |
| 31.010 | What will SpaceX's stock price be at the end of August 2026? | Continuous |
| 28.287 | How much in goods will the US export in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 25.493 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 25.199 | What will be the US monthly core CPI inflation for February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.601 | What will be the relative rank of the weakest team to advance to the knockout stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Continuous |
| 24.087 | What will be the S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI for February 2026? | Continuous |
| 22.027 | Will the United States impose additional sanctions on Russia related to the Ukraine war before March 14, 2026? | Binary |
| 19.636 | What will be the ratio of search interest between Google and ChatGPT in the first two weeks of March 2026? | Continuous |
| 18.914 | Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.975 | What will be the weekly cumulative burnt areas (ha) from forest fires in the EU on August 26, 2026? | Continuous |
| 17.663 | Will U.S. consumer sentiment in March 2026 be higher than in February 2026? | Binary |
| 14.890 | What will be the Boliviano-USD exchange rate on August 31, 2026? | Continuous |
| 14.815 | What will be the price difference between Brent Crude and West Texas Intermediate on March 4, 2026? | Continuous |
| 14.504 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Kstovo (Lukoil)) | Binary |
| 11.602 | What will be the verdict in Musk v. Altman et al? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.692 | What will be the average weekly YoY growth of the Redbook Same-Store Retail Sales Index during February 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.687 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| 6.805 | What will be the Indian Wholesale Price Index monthly inflation rate in January 2026? | Continuous |
| 4.673 | Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal on any day before September 2026? | Binary |
| 4.435 | What will be the combined weight (%) of AI companies in the S&P 500 on February 27, 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.813 | What will US manufacturing construction spending be in December 2025? | Continuous |
| 3.570 | What will be the highest price of copper futures in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.062 | Will the United States see less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? (Yes) → What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 on March 13, 2026? | Continuous |
| 2.628 | What percentage of the vote will Nigel Farage receive in the Clacton parliamentary by-election in August 2026? | Continuous |
| 2.520 | How many Italian teams will win their 2025–26 Champions League knockout play-off matchups? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.633 | Will any U.S. state or EU member state restrict large-scale data center grid connections before September 2026? | Binary |
| 1.312 | What will be the price of Brent crude on August 28, 2026? | Continuous |
| 0.772 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Wuthering Heights) | Continuous |
| -0.671 | Will Claude Mythos or a similar model be publicly released before September 2026? | Binary |
| -1.351 | Will Iceland vote Yes in the 2026 EU negotiations referendum? | Binary |
| -2.785 | What will be the World Bank monthly price of liquid sulphur (Tampa) for Q3 2026? | Continuous |
| -2.943 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -5.299 | In February 2026, will the weekly amount of finished motor gasoline supplied in the U.S. be highest in the final week of the month? | Binary |
| -5.799 | What will be the total number of US cyclosporiasis hospitalizations before September 2026? | Continuous |
| -6.075 | Which game will win the Grammy for Best Score Soundtrack for Video Games and Other Interactive Media in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -7.357 | What will be the U.S. Dollar to Argentine Peso exchange rate on March 2, 2026? | Continuous |
| -8.233 | Will China's reported holdings of U.S. Treasuries be below $675 billion for December 2025? | Binary |
| -9.017 | What will be the US goods trade balance with China in December 2025? | Continuous |
| -9.112 | What will be Bitcoin's weekly average hash rate on March 12, 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.878 | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg state election? | Continuous |
| -10.836 | What will YoY US electricity inflation be for February 2026? | Continuous |
| -11.645 | What percentage of US households will watch Super Bowl LX? | Continuous |
| -21.494 | Which of the following Russian oil refineries will be hit by Ukraine before March 14, 2026? (Ryazan) | Binary |
| -21.577 | Will the Lebanese Armed Forces deploy to the initial two pilot zones in southern Lebanon before September 2026? | Binary |
| -22.327 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -22.953 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -23.006 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -24.021 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (April 2026) | Continuous |
| -24.801 | How many building permits will California issue in March through May 2026? | Continuous |
| -24.899 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| -25.177 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -25.513 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Ohio relative to California in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -30.082 | What percentage of ASML's net system sales will be to China in Q4 2025? | Continuous |
| -32.568 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (March 2026) | Continuous |
| -33.017 | How much higher (or lower) will the Upstart Macro Index be for Texas relative to California in the following months? (February 2026) | Continuous |
| -33.692 | How many gold medals will Australia win at the 2026 Commonwealth Games? | Continuous |
| -34.145 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (July 2026) | Continuous |
| -34.355 | What will be the Global Peace Index score for Iran in 2026? | Continuous |
| -34.807 | How much higher will the Shanghai–LA spot container freight rate be than the Shanghai–Rotterdam rate on March 5, 2026? | Continuous |
| -34.983 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -35.133 | What will the ratio of Upstart Macro Index values for prime to subprime loans be in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| -35.847 | How much will Wuthering Heights and Hoppers gross domestically during their opening weekend? (Hoppers) | Continuous |
| -37.741 | Will the United States gain less than 100,000 new nonfarm jobs between December 2025 and February 2026? | Binary |
| -38.251 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (June 2026) | Continuous |
| -43.593 | What will be the combined capex for Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon during the fourth quarter of 2025? | Continuous |
| -44.662 | What percentage of seats will Prosperity win in the 2026 Ethiopian general election? | Continuous |
| -48.107 | What will the Upstart Macro Index be for California in the following months? (May 2026) | Continuous |
| -48.465 | When will the Supreme Court release its decision on presidential tariff authority in Learning Resources v. Trump? | Multiple Choice |
| -61.386 | Will the retail price of rice in Japan fall below ¥4200/5kg before March 9, 2026? | Binary |
| -64.981 | Which major currency will increase most (or decrease least) in value compared to the US dollar during February 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| -73.403 | Will a new High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina officially be in place before September 2, 2026? | Binary |
| -84.101 | Will James M. McDonald be sworn in as US Attorney for the Southern District of New York before August 22, 2026? | Binary |
| -89.471 | What will be the voter turnout in the 2026 Algerian National People's Assembly elections? | Continuous |
| -126.435 | Will a bot beat all humans in the Summer 2026 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -404.730 | Will Shakira's "Dai Dai" outpeak Shakira's "Waka Waka" on the Billboard Hot 100? | Binary |