63.629 | What will be the final asking price of Roblox stock at the end of its first trading day? | Continuous |
25.296 | On what date will the number of people currently hospitalized in the US due to COVID-19 first fall below 30k? | Continuous |
20.680 | What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31? | Continuous |
20.480 | What will the largest 7-day average number of newly confirmed COVID-19 cases in the UK be, by June 1st, 2021 | Continuous |
17.837 | Will Taylor Swift release a new album in 2021? | Binary |
17.276 | When will 50% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19? | Continuous |
16.182 | What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-02-28? | Continuous |
15.328 | How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 4 April? | Continuous |
15.217 | Will the price of Brent crude oil exceed $70 in 2021? | Binary |
14.680 | What will be the number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
13.092 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average of polls indicate that Joe Biden has a higher approval than disapproval rating? | Binary |
12.427 | Will more than 4,500 rockets, mortars, and missiles be fired from Palestine at Israel in 2021? | Binary |
11.474 | Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of homicide by June 1 2021? | Binary |
10.303 | Will the US experience a 4th wave of COVID before June 1, 2021? | Binary |
10.266 | What will be the number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
8.131 | Will the UK have a 7 day rolling average above 2,000 covid deaths before June? | Binary |
7.296 | What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-03-21 and ending on 2021-03-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
7.243 | When will 32 million people in the UK have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? | Continuous |
6.638 | What percentage of final round votes will Sadiq Khan win in the 2021 London mayoral election? | Continuous |
6.591 | What will be the 7-day rolling average of the % B.1.1.7 in the US on 27 March 2021 (between 21 March 2021 and 27 March 2021)? | Continuous |
6.483 | How much will the average degree of automation change for key US professions from December 2020 to the following dates? (January 2022) | Continuous |
6.457 | How many people in the UK will have received a dose of a COVID-19 vaccine by 15th February? | Continuous |
6.363 | What will the total retail sales including food services be for March 2021? | Continuous |
6.049 | For the month of March 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)? | Continuous |
5.917 | What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on April 1st in the United States? | Continuous |
5.899 | For the month of April 2021, what will the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report as the preliminary monthly nonfarm payroll number (in millions)? | Continuous |
5.826 | What will be the cumulative number of people who receive two doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-03-31? | Continuous |
5.517 | Will Joe Biden hold the office of US President between 2021-12-24 and 2022-01-01? | Binary |
5.479 | What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on March 1st in the United States? | Continuous |
5.397 | Will the UK experience a third wave of the coronavirus pandemic in 2021? | Binary |
5.227 | What will be the 5-week average of initial jobless claims filed in April 2021? | Continuous |
4.917 | What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for March 2021? | Continuous |
4.815 | When will 25% of the US population be vaccinated against Covid-19? | Continuous |
4.798 | What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for March 2021? | Continuous |
4.415 | Will at least 5 Republican Congresspeople join another party before 2022? | Binary |
3.938 | What will be the cumulative number of people who have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the U.S. on 2021-04-30? | Continuous |
3.793 | When will 100M people in the US have received at least one dose of COVID vaccine? | Continuous |
3.788 | Will the subreddit /r/wallstreetbets be banned before Jan 1st, 2022? | Binary |
3.596 | Will UK festival Shambala take place in August 2021? | Binary |
3.481 | How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in Germany on 2021-07-01? | Continuous |
3.404 | Will the US have more than 1000 daily COVID-19 deaths (7-day rolling average) before 1 January 2022? | Binary |
3.358 | Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Binary |
3.327 | What proportion of last-round votes will Andrew Yang get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election? | Continuous |
3.265 | What will the total retail sales including food services be for April 2021? | Continuous |
3.184 | Will Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel following the Israeli legislative election of 2021? | Binary |
3.100 | What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for April 2021? | Continuous |
3.081 | What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in March 2021? | Continuous |
3.078 | Will the Supreme Court grant a writ of certiorari to a case challenging the male-only draft as unconstitutional on the grounds of sex-discrimination by the end of 2021? | Binary |
3.035 | Will ≥3 million Americans be locked down because of B117 by March 11th, 2021? | Binary |
2.869 | Will the single-dose Johnson & Johnson SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be issued an emergency use authorization by the US FDA within a week after the 26 February VRBPAC meeting? | Binary |
2.689 | What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in June 2021? | Continuous |
2.601 | Will the UK Conservative Party win the 2021 Batley and Spen by-election? | Binary |
2.442 | [Short-Fuse] What proportion of last-round votes will Eric Adams get in the 2021 New York mayoral primary election? | Continuous |
2.371 | Will Andrew Cuomo be governor of New York on June 30, 2021? | Binary |
2.317 | Will the University of California Berkeley be primarily in-person for Fall 2021? | Binary |
2.221 | What will be the EIA crude oil stock change for commercial crude oil inventories in June 2021? | Continuous |
2.213 | Will GameStop (GME) reach a stock price of $1000 by 11:59 pm, 20 February 2021? | Binary |
2.193 | Will the US rejoin the Iran Nuclear Deal before 2022? | Binary |
2.161 | Will Brazil have a 7-day rolling average above 2,000 COVID-19 deaths before 1 June 2021? | Binary |
2.100 | Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021? | Binary |
1.921 | When will the 2020 PhilPapers Survey results be publicly available? | Continuous |
1.914 | What will the total retail sales including food services be for May 2021? | Continuous |
1.878 | Will U.S. military troops still be in Afghanistan on 2021-05-01? | Binary |
1.751 | Will the University of Pennsylvania send undergraduates back home this semester? | Binary |
1.578 | Will vaccinated American citizens be allowed to enter Canada for discretionary travel by June 1st, 2021? | Binary |
1.552 | Will Elizabeth Holmes be convicted on fraud charges related to Theranos before 2023? | Binary |
1.513 | When will the fifth SpaceX Starship flight be? | Continuous |
1.425 | In the March 2021 Knesset election, will Likud win a plurality of seats? | Binary |
1.298 | What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in April 2021? | Continuous |
1.291 | What will be the total number of new incident deaths due to COVID-19 in the US for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
1.217 | What will be the 7-day rolling average for Covid-19 vaccines given on May 1st in the United States? | Continuous |
1.115 | What will the US Q2 2021 GDP growth rate be according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis Advance Estimate? | Continuous |
1.090 | What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-05-31? | Continuous |
1.052 | [Short Fuse] Will SpaceX's SN10 Starship prototype vehicle land successfully? | Binary |
0.935 | What will be the total stock of crude oil and other petroleum products for May 2021? | Continuous |
0.843 | What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for May 2021? | Continuous |
0.825 | Will the US implement any of Alex Tabarrok's vaccine suggestions? | Binary |
0.806 | What will be the total number of new incident U.S. adult and pediatric admissions to the hospital with confirmed COVID-19 for the week beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
0.795 | How many doses of any COVID19 vaccine will have been administered in the EU on 2021-04-01? | Continuous |
0.780 | What will be the total number of new incident confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the US beginning on 2021-02-21 and ending on 2021-02-27 (inclusive)? | Continuous |
0.697 | How many federal judges will the US Senate confirm in 2021? | Continuous |
0.521 | When will there be a verdict in the Derek Chauvin trial? | Continuous |
0.505 | Will the publicly-traded company GameStop (GME) reach a $420.69 stock price by the end of 2021? | Binary |
0.265 | When will most people in England be legally able to meet socially in a group of six in private indoor places? | Continuous |
0.242 | When will 150 million Americans be vaccinated against COVID-19? | Continuous |
0.212 | Will a Tesla car demonstrate fully autonomous capability before the end of 2021? | Binary |
0.128 | Will Pedro Castillo win the second round of the Peru 2021 presidential election? | Binary |
0.118 | Will federal criminal charges be levied against Donald Trump within a month of the end of his presidency? | Binary |
0.095 | Will debris from the Long March 5B core stage cause injuries or property damage? | Binary |
0.033 | Will CD PROJEKT (WSE:CDR) reach its previous All Time High price of zł464.20 in 2021? | Binary |
0.031 | [short fuse] Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LV? | Binary |
0.029 | Will Israel hold a second national election for Knesset in 2021? | Binary |
-0.052 | What will be the percentage change in the number of US durable goods ordered in May 2021? | Continuous |
-0.185 | What will be the cumulative number of people who receive one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in the US on 2021-05-31? | Continuous |
-0.274 | What will be the cumulative number of people who are fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US on 2021-06-30? | Continuous |
-0.301 | On 2021-12-31, will the FiveThirtyEight average proportion of those polled who approve of Biden's presidency exceed 50.0%? | Binary |
-0.346 | What will be the Industrial Production Index number for March 2021? | Continuous |
-0.354 | Will none of Trump's immediate family be indicted in 2021? | Binary |
-0.513 | What will be the total number of new US building permits issued in April 2021? | Continuous |
-0.844 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2021 California recall election? | Binary |
-1.044 | Will the 7-day rolling average of COVID vaccine doses administered in the US exceed 3M in 2021? | Binary |
-2.171 | When will most people in England be able to meet socially in a group of six in public outdoor places? | Continuous |
-4.015 | How many variants of concern will be monitored by the US CDC as of 2021–03-07? | Continuous |
-8.151 | What will be the preliminary value of the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in April 2021? | Continuous |
-8.534 | Will the CDU continue to govern Germany after the 2021 elections? | Binary |
-9.575 | Will sufficient SARS-CoV-2 vaccine supply for all U.S. adults be allocated by 31 May 2021? | Binary |
-14.629 | Short Fuse: How much will the winning bidder pay to go to space with Jeff Bezos? | Continuous |
-22.377 | What will be the seasonally adjusted CPI-U (less energy and food) for April 2021? | Continuous |