| 164.735 | 91.9% | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 163.878 | 98.9% | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 160.419 | 93.2% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| 157.474 | 90.9% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 143.522 | 100.0% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 137.634 | 98.7% | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 123.413 | 92.6% | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 122.261 | 93.9% | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 121.427 | 94.8% | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 116.689 | 98.9% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
| 112.476 | 99.6% | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 110.809 | 70.2% | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| 110.340 | 93.6% | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 98.027 | 95.0% | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| 91.187 | 98.9% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 90.302 | 100.0% | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 90.087 | 93.4% | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
| 83.656 | 99.9% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| 82.456 | 90.8% | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 79.792 | 81.9% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 75.039 | 94.9% | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 74.802 | 88.8% | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.285 | 99.7% | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
| 73.238 | 74.4% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.082 | 76.7% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 72.287 | 99.7% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 70.716 | 96.4% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.303 | 91.0% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 67.911 | 94.4% | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
| 66.862 | 99.6% | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 66.334 | 95.9% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
| 66.286 | 99.3% | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 63.551 | 99.7% | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
| 62.559 | 91.9% | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
| 60.409 | 86.0% | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| 59.045 | 99.3% | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| 58.313 | 92.3% | What will be the lowest seed team to make it to the Elite Eight of the NCAA's 2025 March Madness women's basketball tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| 58.259 | 50.0% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 57.885 | 93.3% | What will be the maximum daily average COâ‚‚ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 57.051 | 50.0% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| 55.731 | 88.1% | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.029 | 50.0% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 53.495 | 99.0% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 52.024 | 68.7% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 51.087 | 98.5% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 50.389 | 98.9% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
| 50.339 | 99.8% | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 47.756 | 98.5% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 46.364 | 88.9% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 45.650 | 97.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 40.537 | 94.2% | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 38.405 | 96.0% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
| 38.185 | 50.0% | Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 37.573 | 99.8% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| 37.061 | 91.1% | How many artists in the top 10 of the Billboard Artist 100 in the last week of March will be new to the top 10 that week? | Multiple Choice |
| 36.534 | 73.7% | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.415 | 98.9% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
| 34.602 | 98.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 33.941 | 81.8% | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 33.180 | 98.9% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
| 33.085 | 98.4% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 31.329 | 91.5% | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 31.117 | 99.3% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 30.726 | 91.8% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 30.306 | 99.9% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
| 30.304 | 91.5% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.052 | 82.4% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| 29.858 | 90.4% | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 29.809 | 95.1% | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.717 | 99.3% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
| 28.741 | 99.3% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 27.947 | 76.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 27.409 | 97.2% | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 26.887 | 94.5% | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
| 26.758 | 99.9% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| 26.453 | 99.5% | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 26.386 | 97.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 26.129 | 71.6% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 25.878 | 97.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 25.472 | 50.0% | Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2026? | Binary |
| 25.280 | 50.0% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.949 | 98.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
| 24.390 | 71.0% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 24.068 | 99.8% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| 24.042 | 72.8% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 23.954 | 70.8% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
| 23.704 | 84.9% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.729 | 99.3% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
| 22.160 | 50.0% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| 22.087 | 67.6% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 21.869 | 69.5% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 21.429 | 98.5% | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 21.202 | 89.7% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |
| 21.104 | 50.5% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.915 | 89.0% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
| 20.900 | 50.0% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 20.791 | 89.7% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 20.773 | 50.0% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 20.706 | 40.3% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 20.643 | 81.0% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.327 | 50.0% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 20.133 | 50.0% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 19.885 | 91.3% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 19.676 | 50.0% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 19.452 | 96.7% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.323 | 61.5% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 19.255 | 77.7% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
| 18.942 | 98.9% | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| 18.877 | 85.3% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
| 18.773 | 59.5% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
| 18.746 | 72.8% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 18.672 | 42.2% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.625 | 87.9% | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.307 | 76.4% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 18.271 | 61.5% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 17.593 | 41.7% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.540 | 79.0% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.288 | 76.3% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.248 | 89.0% | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.125 | 72.8% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 16.732 | 37.7% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 16.701 | 61.5% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 16.649 | 98.0% | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.601 | 80.5% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 16.194 | 80.5% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| 16.089 | 50.0% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 16.044 | 62.1% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 15.717 | 98.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 15.529 | 50.0% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 15.133 | 72.8% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 15.025 | 69.5% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 14.831 | 70.0% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| 14.358 | 97.4% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| 14.291 | 99.9% | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.286 | 63.6% | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 14.212 | 61.5% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 13.763 | 61.5% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 13.302 | 96.6% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 13.244 | 75.4% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 13.204 | 71.0% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 13.109 | 91.8% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
| 11.711 | 18.1% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 11.703 | 99.8% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| 10.959 | 97.7% | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.814 | 99.4% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
| 10.667 | 69.9% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 10.249 | 50.0% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.904 | 98.9% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 9.657 | 40.4% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 9.642 | 71.9% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| 9.597 | 89.5% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| 9.549 | 70.1% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.392 | 38.5% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 9.254 | 16.3% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 9.060 | 75.5% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.765 | 70.8% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 8.681 | 38.5% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 8.487 | 50.0% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 8.246 | 50.0% | Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.033 | 71.0% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 7.969 | 24.2% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
| 7.526 | 91.8% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 7.503 | 72.8% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 7.342 | 50.0% | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 7.279 | 98.9% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
| 7.081 | 40.3% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 6.999 | 93.4% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.576 | 72.8% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 6.484 | 27.8% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 6.204 | 53.4% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 6.203 | 36.0% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.173 | 36.5% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 6.051 | 76.5% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 5.855 | 24.0% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 5.788 | 61.5% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 5.708 | 23.1% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 5.582 | 91.8% | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
| 5.244 | 40.4% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 5.222 | 76.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 5.198 | 76.5% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 5.169 | 27.8% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 4.895 | 37.7% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 4.882 | 50.0% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 4.727 | 92.0% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 4.617 | 34.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA) | Binary |
| 4.344 | 71.0% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 4.091 | 71.0% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| 3.963 | 15.5% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 3.821 | 99.4% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 3.817 | 12.6% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 3.792 | 53.3% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.674 | 39.3% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.534 | 92.0% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 3.480 | 37.7% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 3.321 | 36.5% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 3.176 | 40.4% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 3.139 | 88.7% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 3.137 | 74.0% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.081 | 50.0% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 3.045 | 10.6% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 2.991 | 15.5% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 2.978 | 34.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES) | Binary |
| 2.953 | 76.4% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 2.836 | 50.0% | Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.773 | 7.4% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.666 | 66.6% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.660 | 12.6% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 2.484 | 94.5% | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 2.468 | 76.5% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| 2.310 | 72.8% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| 2.299 | 34.7% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 2.021 | 13.4% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 1.964 | 27.8% | What will the first reported revenues after September 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 1.896 | 11.2% | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.864 | 10.6% | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 1.772 | 13.4% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 1.612 | 40.3% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 1.554 | 50.0% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 1.533 | 52.4% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 1.191 | 24.8% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.148 | 12.6% | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 1.007 | 9.4% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 0.813 | 50.0% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| 0.790 | 5.6% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.674 | 37.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 0.511 | 50.0% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.432 | 37.7% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 0.394 | 2.0% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.276 | 92.0% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 0.238 | 70.3% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 0.124 | 27.8% | What will the first reported earnings per share after September 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 0.062 | 43.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -0.198 | 71.0% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -0.577 | 99.4% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
| -0.752 | 23.1% | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| -0.833 | 33.2% | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -0.938 | 92.0% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| -1.327 | 50.0% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| -1.438 | 50.0% | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -1.730 | 37.7% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -1.783 | 71.0% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -2.642 | 50.0% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -2.830 | 91.8% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
| -3.062 | 50.0% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -3.331 | 80.5% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -3.550 | 99.3% | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| -3.751 | 96.6% | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| -3.752 | 37.7% | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -4.120 | 99.3% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| -4.703 | 37.7% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -4.964 | 50.6% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| -4.965 | 50.0% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -5.014 | 98.9% | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| -5.032 | 62.1% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| -5.260 | 80.5% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -5.644 | 69.6% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| -5.731 | 50.0% | Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| -5.768 | 80.5% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -5.956 | 72.8% | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over these biweekly periods in Q4 2025? (Oct 13 - Oct 24) | Continuous |
| -6.615 | 99.3% | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| -6.975 | 80.5% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -7.339 | 99.4% | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| -7.599 | 40.4% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -7.961 | 45.3% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| -8.556 | 80.5% | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -9.102 | 80.5% | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 29 - Oct 10) | Continuous |
| -10.282 | 76.5% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for the following biweekly periods? (Sep 15 - Sep 26) | Continuous |
| -12.164 | 71.0% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in these biweekly periods of Q1 2026? (Jan 5 - Jan 16) | Continuous |
| -13.973 | 50.0% | What will be the ending value of the UST 10Y Yield for these biweekly periods of Q4 2025? (Oct 27 - Nov 7) | Continuous |
| -14.517 | 40.3% | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -15.531 | 23.5% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| -16.596 | 50.0% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -23.930 | 95.1% | What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026? | Continuous |
| -23.935 | 58.3% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| -87.117 | 40.0% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -169.262 | 94.1% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |