| 84.862 | 98.6% | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| 65.669 | 63.4% | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 65.378 | 77.8% | When will Donald Trump sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill averting or ending a government shutdown? | Continuous |
| 63.183 | 90.7% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 63.128 | 78.4% | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 63.085 | 71.0% | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in November 2025? | Continuous |
| 59.755 | 71.3% | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 55.278 | 94.7% | Will Ghana sign into law "The Proper Human Sexual Rights and Ghanaian Family Values" bill before 2026? | Binary |
| 55.065 | 96.3% | Before 2026, will the White House launch a multi-billion dollar moonshot initiative to accelerate artificial general intelligence (AGI), as announced in an official White House press release? | Binary |
| 49.366 | 95.5% | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| 48.363 | 86.0% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 46.572 | 70.0% | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
| 45.563 | 64.1% | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 44.433 | 98.8% | Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024? | Binary |
| 44.184 | 72.0% | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 43.457 | 92.4% | What will the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate be in the United States in the following months? (Sep-25) | Continuous |
| 41.593 | 63.3% | Will Nancy Pelosi beat the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 41.178 | 98.2% | What percent of Americans will hold a favorable view of China per the Pew Research Center's 2025 annual poll? | Continuous |
| 40.718 | 67.0% | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| 40.166 | 87.0% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 39.332 | 58.8% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce health insurance coverage? | Continuous |
| 39.270 | 43.2% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on education programs? | Continuous |
| 38.670 | 91.6% | Will SpaceX launch the Starship three or more times in the second half of 2025? | Binary |
| 37.325 | 83.5% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 37.175 | 60.9% | Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026? | Binary |
| 36.744 | 97.0% | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 36.686 | 25.7% | Will the Defense Production Act be re-authorized before October 2025? | Binary |
| 36.616 | 90.1% | Will the FTC's proposed ban on non-compete agreements for most workers be enacted in more or less its current form before 2026? | Binary |
| 36.332 | 71.8% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |
| 35.942 | 71.3% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye) | Binary |
| 35.864 | 68.5% | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 35.396 | 50.2% | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.597 | 45.3% | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 32.562 | 97.6% | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 31.685 | 85.0% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.589 | 34.3% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the cap for the state and local tax deduction (SALT) for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 29.376 | 63.6% | What will be the maximum daily average CO₂ reported by the Mauna Loa Observatory for March 1-25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 29.262 | 33.5% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the percent deduction allowed for qualified business income (QBI) in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 29.102 | 97.1% | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 29.055 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Green) | Continuous |
| 28.891 | 42.3% | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act? | Binary |
| 28.809 | 30.9% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the standard deduction for married couples filing jointly in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 28.697 | 50.8% | How many days will Donald Trump spend golfing in September 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.273 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (People's) | Continuous |
| 28.061 | 85.7% | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 27.681 | 24.4% | Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.794 | 68.5% | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 26.209 | 74.6% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Lebanon) | Binary |
| 25.583 | 86.3% | What percentage of the Project 2025 Tracker will be complete on October 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 25.307 | 95.0% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.152 | 96.0% | Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 24.546 | 82.6% | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 23.486 | 95.1% | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| 23.087 | 57.3% | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.086 | 69.7% | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 22.570 | 29.0% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce spending on energy and environmental tax credits from the Inflation Reduction Act? | Continuous |
| 22.252 | 20.3% | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.121 | 99.5% | Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026? | Binary |
| 22.011 | 79.6% | Will North Korea test another nuclear device before 2026? | Binary |
| 21.683 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Liberal) | Continuous |
| 21.446 | 80.8% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 20.328 | 95.5% | Will resident doctors in England receive a further pay increase before 2026? | Binary |
| 20.104 | 97.1% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 20.034 | 24.4% | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 19.769 | 60.8% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 19.275 | 99.0% | Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026? | Binary |
| 18.905 | 30.2% | What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.823 | 60.5% | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.391 | 15.0% | Will New York City hit 100 degrees Fahrenheit before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.300 | 44.6% | Will Nicholas Maduro cease to be president of Venezuela before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 17.840 | 65.9% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 17.160 | 45.8% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 17.149 | 59.4% | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.067 | 54.7% | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.815 | 57.9% | Who will win the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.480 | 99.3% | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.089 | 96.9% | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 15.902 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (New Democratic) | Continuous |
| 15.898 | 44.0% | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.893 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Conservative) | Continuous |
| 15.801 | 43.5% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
| 15.793 | 76.5% | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| 15.788 | 25.1% | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| 15.427 | 83.1% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States) | Binary |
| 15.326 | 49.4% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.196 | 83.1% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| 15.156 | 78.5% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 15.068 | 82.5% | Will California's Proposition 50 (allowing redistricting of House seats) pass in the 2025 election? | Binary |
| 15.043 | 96.9% | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 14.668 | 96.9% | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 14.570 | 74.7% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 13.826 | 71.8% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 13.679 | 79.4% | What will be the the global surface air temperature on April 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| 13.660 | 63.9% | Will Beyond Meat file for bankruptcy before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.462 | 58.6% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.451 | 41.9% | Will the US government shutdown end before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.433 | 24.0% | How many seats in the Canadian House of Commons will these parties win in the 2025 federal election? (Bloc Québécois) | Continuous |
| 13.394 | 35.9% | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
| 13.273 | 27.1% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill decrease total Medicaid spending from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
| 13.255 | 97.0% | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 12.822 | 95.6% | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 12.662 | 65.3% | How many top-four seeds will reach the semifinals of the 2025 NCAA College Football playoff? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.598 | 27.9% | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating be on November 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 12.377 | 76.0% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.368 | 38.7% | Will Iran announce an evacuation of Tehran before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.263 | 61.6% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 12.256 | 99.5% | How many Major Atlantic Hurricanes will occur during September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.233 | 24.3% | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
| 12.085 | 29.0% | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.968 | 95.5% | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.952 | 94.6% | Who will be elected governor of New Jersey in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 11.892 | 60.5% | Will the US government be shut down before October 2, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.831 | 89.4% | Will the US national debt be under $38 trillion on September 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.500 | 95.0% | Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 11.374 | 10.8% | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 11.128 | 94.9% | Will Vox surpass the 27% voting intention among young people in Spain by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 10.877 | 83.7% | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |
| 10.817 | 60.7% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.729 | 29.7% | Which club will be the leader of Ligue 1 at the midpoint of the 2025-2026 season? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.485 | 27.1% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase the deficit from Fiscal Year (FY) 2025 to FY 2034? | Continuous |
| 10.273 | 46.9% | How many views will the top Netflix release receive in 2025 Christmas week? | Continuous |
| 10.257 | 64.0% | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.235 | 30.9% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill impose new work requirements on Medicaid recipients? | Binary |
| 10.103 | 53.9% | When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.970 | 23.9% | When will the US President sign a continuing resolution or omnibus spending bill ending a government shutdown? | Continuous |
| 9.919 | 30.9% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the excise tax rate on remittances in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 9.847 | 22.5% | In which decade will the 2025 UK Christmas number one have been originally released? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.846 | 61.0% | Will the US government shutdown end before October 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.625 | 73.1% | Who will win the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.239 | 80.5% | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 9.233 | 28.1% | Will the United States reopen cattle imports from Mexico before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.215 | 33.5% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 9.033 | 98.3% | Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.920 | 45.1% | Will the US national debt be under $38.5 trillion on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 8.682 | 94.5% | Will the US strike Iran by the end of May 2025? | Binary |
| 8.641 | 12.3% | What will be the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.592 | 42.7% | Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.578 | 99.3% | Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 8.524 | 60.0% | Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025? | Binary |
| 8.511 | 15.0% | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.162 | 38.4% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.094 | 36.6% | What will be Donald Trump's approval rating on December 14, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.496 | 15.7% | Will another Canadian MP defect or resign before 2026? | Binary |
| 7.403 | 27.2% | What will be the number of Palestinian deaths in Gaza during the late 2025 ceasefire? | Continuous |
| 7.338 | 80.2% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.263 | 24.7% | Will India surpass Germany in GDP by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 7.160 | 86.9% | Will Japan's House of Representatives be dissolved before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 7.143 | 62.1% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| 6.784 | 40.0% | When will CATL receive regulatory approval to reopen the Jianxiawo mine? | Continuous |
| 6.777 | 14.9% | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.675 | 72.0% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 6.592 | 34.0% | Will Germany enact the Aktivrente before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.523 | 26.6% | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| 6.481 | 58.0% | Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before the following years? (2026) | Binary |
| 6.151 | 93.2% | Will Pam Bondi be out as US Attorney General before March 2026? | Binary |
| 6.141 | 51.0% | Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year? | Binary |
| 6.101 | 83.1% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Peru) | Binary |
| 5.925 | 46.5% | How many of the 12 FY 2026 regular appropriations bills will be enacted before 2026? | Continuous |
| 5.747 | 33.8% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for overtime income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
| 5.745 | 16.4% | Will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom win 33 or more seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives in the 2025 election? | Binary |
| 5.539 | 7.1% | Will OpenAI release an open-source model that ranks in the top 35 of the Chatbot Arena leaderboard before October 2025? | Binary |
| 5.438 | 52.8% | Will a sixth contentious case be opened at the International Court of Justice in 2025? | Binary |
| 5.410 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Jeannette Jara) | Binary |
| 5.394 | 61.7% | Before July 15, 2025, will Geert Wilders' Party for Freedom be the highest polling party in the Netherlands by at least 5 points, according to Politico? | Binary |
| 5.343 | 64.8% | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.155 | 35.2% | Will any of these 8 pieces of jewelry stolen in the 2025 Louvre heist be recovered before December 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 5.138 | 94.0% | Will the U.S. tax code still allow carried interest to be taxed as a long-term capital gain on January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| 5.122 | 20.1% | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
| 4.860 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (José Antonio Kast) | Binary |
| 4.738 | 26.9% | Will a new bill amending the climate provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act become law in 2025? | Binary |
| 4.656 | 83.1% | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 4.637 | 15.7% | Will the number of UFO sightings reported by the National UFO Reporting Center exceed 350 for September 2025? | Binary |
| 4.367 | 23.3% | Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026? | Binary |
| 4.303 | 43.1% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 4.264 | 16.1% | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 4.182 | 23.9% | How many times will Starship reach an altitude of 160 kilometers in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.927 | 30.9% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the top marginal tax rate for ordinary income in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.904 | 54.8% | Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.712 | 84.7% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 3.594 | 45.9% | Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.520 | 50.5% | Will Iran announce a new capital location before January 3, 2026? | Binary |
| 3.514 | 35.7% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 3.462 | 8.9% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 3.315 | 6.4% | Will Donald Trump file a lawsuit against Elon Musk for defamation before August 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.119 | 99.3% | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.107 | 23.4% | Will China and India ratify a bilateral border treaty before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 3.032 | 23.6% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 2.969 | 9.9% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.840 | 7.5% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| 2.194 | 2.5% | Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 2.080 | 20.8% | Will there be a fatal clash between the military forces of the United States and Venezuela before November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.945 | 9.6% | What will AfD's vote share be in the 2025 North Rhine-Westphalia local elections? | Continuous |
| 1.869 | 30.9% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill reduce the taxation of Social Security income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
| 1.844 | 97.9% | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.619 | 54.5% | Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026? | Binary |
| 1.473 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Evelyn Matthei) | Binary |
| 1.470 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Harold Mayne-Nicholls) | Binary |
| 1.468 | 83.9% | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.468 | 15.8% | Will the US lift the price cap on Russian oil before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.264 | 9.0% | How many barrels of crude oil will the Strategic Petroleum Reserve hold on the following dates? (December 2025) | Continuous |
| 1.264 | 21.7% | Will Katie Wilson be elected mayor of Seattle, Washington in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.249 | 61.1% | Will the 2025 return of professional investor Bill Ackman beat the return of any of these politicians? | Binary |
| 1.199 | 14.5% | Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 1.139 | 6.2% | What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season? | Continuous |
| 1.129 | 11.2% | Who will be the next President of Romania in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.926 | 18.9% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 0.911 | 84.7% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.877 | 75.1% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| 0.724 | 15.7% | Will Iran allow the IAEA to inspect its stockpile of enriched uranium before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.565 | 3.3% | Will a suspected shooter in the assassination of political activist Charlie Kirk be neutralized before September 19, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.562 | 11.2% | Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025? | Binary |
| 0.510 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Franco Parisi) | Binary |
| 0.489 | 21.6% | Will Donald Trump's 100% tariff on China take effect on November 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.469 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Marco Enríquez-Ominami) | Binary |
| 0.411 | 6.7% | Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026? | Binary |
| 0.407 | 4.9% | Which game will win the 2025 Game of the Year Award? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.397 | 2.5% | Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 0.394 | 4.6% | Will OpenAI file an initial registration statement (S-1) with the SEC to launch an IPO, before December 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.360 | 2.5% | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 0.291 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Eduardo Artés) | Binary |
| 0.265 | 36.9% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the November 2025 Chilean presidential election? (Johannes Kaiser) | Binary |
| 0.255 | 8.3% | What will the Democrats' lead be in the congressional generic ballot (for the 2026 midterms) on December 2, 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.223 | 2.2% | Which Chamber of the US Congress will vote on a bill in furtherance of an acquisition of Greenland, before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.211 | 0.2% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 0.208 | 2.4% | Will Donald Trump publicly criticize Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett before July 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.180 | 2.9% | Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise? | Binary |
| 0.097 | 50.4% | Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025? | Binary |
| 0.039 | 0.4% | Will Tesla launch a self-driving ride-hailing service in Austin, Texas before July 2025? | Binary |
| 0.008 | 15.7% | How many incidents of unruly passengers will the FAA report for September 2025? | Continuous |
| -0.069 | 79.4% | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| -0.143 | 33.8% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill include a deduction for tip income in tax year 2026? | Binary |
| -0.248 | 48.3% | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| -1.293 | 53.9% | Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -1.326 | 69.5% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| -2.704 | 69.7% | How many judges on Pakistan's Superior Courts will resign during late 2025? | Continuous |
| -2.810 | 25.5% | Will the United States conduct a military attack within Nigeria before 2026? | Binary |
| -3.084 | 9.0% | Will diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and China on nuclear risk reduction increase in 2025? | Binary |
| -3.422 | 69.2% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| -3.490 | 37.3% | Will there be a successful coup in Africa or Latin America before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -5.363 | 37.6% | Will Boeing's total revenue for 2025 be equal to or higher than $85 billion? | Binary |
| -5.611 | 29.7% | What will be the value of the Economic Policy Uncertainty index for the US for November and December 2025? (December) | Continuous |
| -6.195 | 99.0% | Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026? | Binary |
| -6.275 | 33.9% | How much funding for a border wall will the 2025 reconciliation bill provide? | Continuous |
| -6.328 | 8.7% | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| -6.356 | 51.6% | Will the US government shutdown end before November 21, 2025? | Binary |
| -6.712 | 58.5% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -6.928 | 97.3% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| -7.631 | 30.9% | Will the 2025 reconciliation bill make any car loan interest deductable in tax year 2026? | Binary |
| -7.697 | 5.0% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| -8.318 | 75.3% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| -8.958 | 99.2% | Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023? | Binary |
| -9.008 | 82.8% | Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -9.059 | 83.8% | Will Andrew Cuomo, Eric Adams or Curtis Sliwa announce that they are dropping out of the 2025 NYC mayoral race before October 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -9.867 | 97.1% | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| -9.991 | 66.5% | How will Bright Line Watch experts rate US democracy on a 0-100 scale at the end of the following years? (2025) | Continuous |
| -11.019 | 45.9% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| -11.861 | 90.8% | What will be the lead of Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Continuous |
| -11.985 | 84.8% | Will SpaceX have a Falcon 9 launch failure in 2025? | Binary |
| -13.157 | 33.6% | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -14.809 | 30.9% | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the excise tax rate on university endowments in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| -19.785 | 96.8% | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| -20.195 | 79.1% | Will the Department of Homeland Security revoke or suspend the Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP) certification for an Ivy League university before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -21.963 | 95.6% | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| -22.806 | 98.9% | Will the US stock market go down by more than 5% in any week in the 4th quarter of 2025? | Binary |
| -26.108 | 96.8% | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| -28.022 | 94.7% | Will the Trump administration attempt to withdraw from key international arms control agreements in 2025? | Binary |
| -28.281 | 57.5% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| -32.714 | 99.1% | Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026? | Binary |
| -32.808 | 97.1% | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| -33.105 | 10.5% | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -40.510 | 99.4% | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
| -46.844 | 43.0% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase spending on defense? | Continuous |
| -46.923 | 49.3% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| -47.008 | 43.8% | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill cut the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP, or food stamps)? | Continuous |
| -81.458 | 98.7% | Will the President’s Malaria Initiative program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -93.641 | 82.5% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| -94.068 | 97.1% | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| -104.981 | 98.1% | Will the PEPFAR program cease to exist before January 1, 2026? | Binary |
| -119.929 | 96.8% | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |