| 78.197 | 93.5% | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| 53.673 | 87.5% | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 48.489 | 77.3% | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.928 | 90.3% | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
| 47.312 | 93.5% | How many seconds until midnight will the Doomsday Clock show on January 29, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 43.648 | 93.3% | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 37.208 | 67.4% | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.444 | 97.2% | Who will win the Texas 18th district special election? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.366 | 97.2% | Which grouping will the Prime Minister of France belong to on December 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.992 | 81.3% | [Short fuse] How many members of the Legislative Yuan will lose recall elections on July 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.966 | 88.3% | What color will the 2026 Pantone Color of the Year be? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.993 | 75.8% | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| 30.850 | 76.5% | Who will win Big Brother 27 (US)? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.550 | 81.1% | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.506 | 96.1% | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 29.958 | 99.9% | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 29.036 | 71.5% | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 27.831 | 34.5% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| 26.893 | 91.1% | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| 26.281 | 86.1% | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 26.215 | 92.7% | Which of the 2025 Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial elections will the Democrats win? | Multiple Choice |
| 25.014 | 85.1% | How many Volcanoes will be erupting at the end of 2025? | Continuous |
| 24.108 | 89.5% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Women) | Continuous |
| 21.941 | 34.9% | What will be the highest surface air temperature anomaly during November and December 2025? | Continuous |
| 20.530 | 93.2% | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 20.359 | 85.6% | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 20.115 | 96.0% | Which country will host the 31st Conference of the Parties (COP 31) in 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.783 | 99.7% | In which of the following years will Finland be ranked as the happiest country by the World Happiness Report? (2025) | Binary |
| 19.187 | 75.5% | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| 19.076 | 47.4% | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 18.427 | 67.9% | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 16.686 | 89.1% | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.598 | 82.5% | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
| 16.430 | 63.7% | How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 16.325 | 88.7% | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 16.065 | 26.0% | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 16.051 | 53.4% | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 4, 2025) | Continuous |
| 15.878 | 90.6% | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 15.822 | 84.1% | Which country will win the most medals at the 2025 World Games? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.626 | 93.2% | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 15.497 | 98.5% | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.321 | 87.1% | What will be the fastest average solving time of the 3x3x3 Rubik's Cube during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 15.260 | 81.1% | How many runs will be scored in the 2025 World Series? | Continuous |
| 14.989 | 36.1% | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 14.641 | 89.5% | What will be the winning times for the 2025 New York City marathon? (Men) | Continuous |
| 14.637 | 42.3% | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 14.199 | 42.1% | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 14.020 | 79.6% | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 13.689 | 88.4% | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 12.618 | 84.6% | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 11.667 | 17.9% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 11.208 | 87.2% | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 11.159 | 37.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vincent Keymer) | Binary |
| 11.070 | 89.0% | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 11.065 | 37.3% | Which party will lead the 2025 Tasmanian government? | Multiple Choice |
| 10.833 | 80.9% | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 10.150 | 94.7% | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 10.145 | 27.7% | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 9.973 | 48.4% | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.733 | 62.6% | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 9.539 | 84.5% | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 11, 2025) | Continuous |
| 9.515 | 95.1% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Dutch general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 9.499 | 99.7% | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 8.954 | 16.2% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 8.945 | 84.6% | What will be the value of U.S. Treasury securities held by Mainland China in June 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.885 | 12.5% | What will be the difference in net worth between the two richest people on January 1, 2026? | Continuous |
| 8.794 | 62.7% | When will Adelita Grijalva be sworn in? | Continuous |
| 8.706 | 92.3% | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.135 | 54.9% | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 8.085 | 16.3% | How many provinces in Ecuador will be in a state of emergency on December 25, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.839 | 52.0% | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 7.818 | 47.7% | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| 7.777 | 26.4% | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| 7.674 | 87.2% | Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Samoan general election? | Multiple Choice |
| 7.095 | 84.4% | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 6.816 | 56.6% | What will be the highest score for the "ARC Prize 2025" competition on its public leaderboard on August 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.740 | 6.8% | Who will win the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Tour Final 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.522 | 96.2% | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| 6.477 | 10.2% | When will Claude Plays Pokemon beat the first Pokémon game? | Continuous |
| 5.997 | 26.5% | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 5.992 | 20.9% | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| 5.832 | 43.7% | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 5.719 | 43.3% | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 5.484 | 33.0% | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.794 | 31.2% | What will be the longest field goal of the 2025 NFL season? | Continuous |
| 4.304 | 52.2% | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 4.217 | 80.9% | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 4.158 | 12.5% | Will Jared Isaacman be re-nominated as NASA Administrator before 2026? | Binary |
| 3.674 | 42.1% | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.398 | 2.0% | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.244 | 75.0% | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.140 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Nodirbek Abdusattorov) | Binary |
| 3.055 | 79.1% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 3.034 | 61.7% | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.824 | 62.4% | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 2.563 | 81.3% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 2.477 | 86.8% | Which team will win the 2025 League of Legends World Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.400 | 57.3% | Will Ukraine extend martial law beyond November 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 1.972 | 5.3% | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.922 | 4.1% | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 1.902 | 37.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hikaru Nakamura) | Binary |
| 1.789 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Anish Giri) | Binary |
| 1.740 | 77.7% | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 1.400 | 37.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Magnus Carlsen) | Binary |
| 1.094 | 9.3% | Will Ukraine reduce the minimum age for compulsory military service before 2026? | Binary |
| 1.072 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wesley So) | Binary |
| 1.013 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Shakhriyar Mamedyarov) | Binary |
| 1.007 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Wei Yi) | Binary |
| 0.912 | 8.4% | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 0.755 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Hans Niemann) | Binary |
| 0.640 | 22.5% | Will the EU impose a Digital Markets Act fine during Q4 2025? | Binary |
| 0.604 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Aravindh Chithambaram) | Binary |
| 0.552 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ding Liren) | Binary |
| 0.463 | 37.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Maxime Vachier-Lagrave) | Binary |
| 0.429 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Levon Aronian) | Binary |
| 0.306 | 1.5% | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 0.301 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vladimir Fedoseev) | Binary |
| 0.257 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Ian Nepomniachtchi) | Binary |
| 0.198 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Vidit Gujrathi) | Binary |
| 0.195 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Jan-Krzysztof Duda) | Binary |
| 0.104 | 27.0% | What will be the percentage of zero-emission cars among Norwegian new car registrations during November 2025? | Continuous |
| 0.041 | 81.3% | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| -0.645 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (R Praggnanandhaa) | Binary |
| -0.724 | 5.6% | Will a player outside of the top 10 seeds win the Open section of the FIDE Grand Swiss 2025? | Binary |
| -0.880 | 90.0% | What will be the seasonally adjusted initial jobless claims in the US for the following weeks? (Week ending January 18, 2025) | Continuous |
| -1.376 | 85.7% | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -1.895 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Alireza Firouzja) | Binary |
| -1.930 | 40.2% | Will Blue Origin's "Never Tell Me The Odds" launch before 2026 and successfully land? | Binary |
| -3.153 | 57.5% | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| -4.265 | 37.7% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Arjun Erigaisi) | Binary |
| -4.601 | 39.3% | Which race will the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Champion be known after? | Multiple Choice |
| -6.788 | 74.8% | Will there be a stronger hurricane than Erin during the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season? | Binary |
| -9.810 | 18.5% | Which players will qualify and play in the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? (Javokhir Sindarov) | Binary |
| -22.850 | 90.5% | What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026? | Continuous |
| -50.126 | 67.3% | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -103.349 | 94.0% | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |