| 123.853 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr.) | Continuous |
| 99.646 | Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2025? | Binary |
| 98.957 | Will a Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days be agreed to before November 5th, 2024? | Binary |
| 98.380 | Will there be war between North Korea and South Korea before these dates, according to WPR? (2025) | Binary |
| 98.265 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Specific Groups) | Binary |
| 98.265 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Licensing for Use) | Binary |
| 98.265 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Total Ban) | Binary |
| 98.205 | Khamenei Out as Leader of Iran in 2024? (No) → US Iran War Before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.228 | Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics? | Binary |
| 97.114 | Will X declare bankruptcy in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.113 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.113 | Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.112 | Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.108 | Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine before 2025? | Binary |
| 97.106 | Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 97.106 | Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 97.105 | Will Bitcoin go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 97.105 | Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024? | Binary |
| 97.046 | Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election? | Binary |
| 97.004 | Israel Deadly Attack on Iran Before May 2024? (No) → US Iran War Before 2025? | Binary |
| 96.192 | Will the submarine cables running through the Red Sea be damaged by a hostile actor before the 15th of March? | Binary |
| 95.498 | Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 95.154 | Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan? | Binary |
| 95.126 | Will the Russian government officially ban YouTube before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 94.875 | Will Ukraine control central Bakhmut at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 94.188 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Mauritania? | Multiple Choice |
| 93.683 | Will BirdCast report 1 billion birds flying over the United States at any point before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 93.388 | Will Dems have brokered convention in 2024? (No) → 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 91.608 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Moldova? | Multiple Choice |
| 91.487 | Will Israel carry out a deadly attack within Iran before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 91.308 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Rwanda? | Multiple Choice |
| 91.158 | Will anyone win an Electoral College majority in the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 90.528 | Will a second round of voting be held in the 2024 Finnish presidential elections? | Binary |
| 90.363 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Venezuela? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.945 | Who will be elected President of Lithuania in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 88.762 | US Federal Min Wage Increase before 2025 (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 88.544 | Will the Crimean Bridge be knocked out for seven days before 2025? | Binary |
| 88.469 | Will North Korea deploy military personnel to Ukraine before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 86.535 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Civil Liability Laws) | Binary |
| 86.523 | Will Donald Trump win the most delegates in the 2024 New Hampshire primary? | Binary |
| 86.438 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before May 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.818 | Will Democrats have a brokered convention in 2024? | Binary |
| 85.440 | Will YouTube be banned in Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gavin Newsom) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Pete Buttigieg) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gretchen Whitmer) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Kamala Harris) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Joe Biden) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (J. B. Pritzker) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michelle Obama) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Bernie Sanders) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tammy Duckworth) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Amy Klobuchar) | Binary |
| 85.218 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Mark Kelly) | Binary |
| 84.570 | Will Ariel Henry return to Haiti before March 13, 2024? | Binary |
| 84.084 | Will diplomatic expulsions or recalls take place between the Philippines and China before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 83.160 | Will Trump and Biden shake hands in any of their debates? | Binary |
| 82.998 | Will the US Federal Reserve make an emergency rate cut before September 17, 2024? | Binary |
| 82.807 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Mandatory Disclosure Requirements) | Binary |
| 82.526 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Roy Cooper) | Binary |
| 82.526 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Andy Beshear) | Binary |
| 82.273 | Before April 1, 2024, will Fani Willis cease to be an attorney for the prosecution in the State of Georgia v. Donald Trump, et al. case? | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Armenia) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Austria) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Azerbaijan) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Croatia) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Cyprus) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Czechia) | Binary |
| 80.961 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Estonia) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Finland) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Greece) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Iceland) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Israel) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Lithuania) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Luxembourg) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Malta) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Moldova) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Netherlands) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Norway) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (San Marino) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Switzerland) | Binary |
| 80.960 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| 80.640 | Who will win the 2024 Mexican Presidential Election? | Multiple Choice |
| 79.507 | Before July 1, 2024, will the International Criminal Court issue arrest warrants for any of the listed Israeli leaders? | Binary |
| 79.120 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (No Restriction) | Binary |
| 77.716 | Will the US restrict deepfake technology use before 2025? (Restricted Use for Approved Applications) | Binary |
| 77.317 | Will Bitcoin reach a new all-time high before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 77.094 | In 2024 will there be any change in the composition of the US Supreme Court? | Binary |
| 76.731 | Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024? | Binary |
| 75.116 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Serbia) | Binary |
| 74.057 | Will Russia control Pokrovsk Before 2025? | Binary |
| 73.813 | If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute? | Binary |
| 73.598 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Ghana? | Multiple Choice |
| 73.076 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024? | Binary |
| 72.012 | Will gang leader José Adolfo Macías Villamar ('Fito') be in Ecuadorian custody before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 72.004 | Will the FDA or EMA withdraw approval of semaglutide for the treatment of obesity or diabetes in 2024? | Binary |
| 69.872 | Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024? | Binary |
| 69.682 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 69.543 | Will the minimum wage in Türkiye (Turkey) increase again before 2025? | Binary |
| 69.538 | Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza? | Binary |
| 69.382 | Will Iran carry out a deadly attack within Israel before September 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 67.363 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Michael Bennet) | Binary |
| 67.363 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Jeff Jackson) | Binary |
| 67.363 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gina Raimondo) | Binary |
| 67.363 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Gary Peters) | Binary |
| 67.041 | Fed Funds Rate Below 4%? (No) → S&P Goes Up In 2024? | Binary |
| 66.727 | Who will be #1 on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List on June 28, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 66.482 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Tim Walz) | Binary |
| 65.469 | Before November 5th, 2024, will Donald Trump successfully appeal any felony conviction in the "hush money" case? | Binary |
| 65.461 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Denmark) | Binary |
| 65.316 | For how many seconds will Taylor Swift appear on screen during the Super Bowl? | Continuous |
| 64.882 | Will Kais Saied be re-elected President of Tunisia in 2024? | Binary |
| 64.712 | Will Russia start a second mobilization wave before 2025, according to the Institute for the Study of War? | Binary |
| 62.890 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Australia) | Binary |
| 62.414 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Ireland) | Binary |
| 60.563 | Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker for all of 2024? | Binary |
| 60.496 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Donald Trump) | Continuous |
| 60.034 | Will Russia have control of Chasiv Yar on June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 59.825 | What will be the preliminary value of the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in February 2024? | Continuous |
| 59.246 | How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)? (Kamala Harris) | Continuous |
| 57.403 | What coalition will the Prime Minister of France belong to on July 30, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 57.344 | Will Nvidia be in the top four companies by market capitalization on March 29, 2024? | Binary |
| 57.118 | Will Germany supply Ukraine with a Taurus missile in 2024? | Binary |
| 56.525 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Algeria? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.325 | Who will win the 2024 Presidential Election in Chad? | Multiple Choice |
| 55.089 | Will a US Vice Presidential debate be held before Election Day (Nov. 5) 2024? | Binary |
| 54.186 | Who will be the Democratic nominee for Vice President on Election Day 2024 (if Joe Biden is no longer the nominee for President)? (Josh Shapiro) | Binary |
| 53.194 | Biden announces drop-out before July 15 2024? (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| 52.648 | Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 52.272 | Will OpenAI's o1 remain the top LLM in all categories of Chatbot Arena on December 30, 2024? | Binary |
| 50.521 | Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 United States presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 48.674 | Will the Fed Funds Rate on December 31, 2024 be below 4%? | Binary |
| 48.415 | Will a debate be held between Joe Biden and Donald Trump before the 2024 US presidential election? | Binary |
| 47.270 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (1. No agreements prohibiting safety criticism) | Binary |
| 47.269 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (2. An anonymous process to raise risks) | Binary |
| 47.269 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (3. A culture of open criticism) | Binary |
| 47.269 | Will OpenAI publicly commit to the following "right to warn" principles before July 1, 2024? (4. No retaliation for public risk disclosure) | Binary |
| 44.607 | Will Joe Biden announce before July 15, 2024 that he will not accept the Democratic Party's nomination for President? | Binary |
| 44.133 | Will Bitcoin dominance exceed 63.0% on any single day in November or December 2024? | Binary |
| 44.094 | [Short fuse] Who will win the 2024 Uruguayan Presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.123 | Will there be 100 or more military conflict deaths between Ethiopia and Eritrea in 2024? | Binary |
| 39.958 | Who will win the Tour de France 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 39.879 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Georgia) | Binary |
| 39.652 | Will Sir Lindsay Hoyle remain speaker of the House of Commons until March 1st 2024? | Binary |
| 39.360 | Will Biden and Trump Debate in 2024? (Yes) → 2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) | Binary |
| 37.861 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 37.641 | What percentage of the vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary? | Continuous |
| 34.605 | Who will be elected President of Panama in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 34.514 | Will a team that has never won the Super Bowl win in 2024? | Binary |
| 33.814 | Which country will win the 2024 Eurovision song contest? | Multiple Choice |
| 33.689 | Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote? | Binary |
| 31.626 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee (Joe Biden) (No) → GOP Control of US Senate in 2025 | Binary |
| 31.248 | Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024? | Binary |
| 30.031 | How many additional highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 infections will be reported in humans in the United States in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 29.768 | What will be the weekly change in U.S. natural gas underground storage in the lower 48 states (in billions of cubic feet) for the week ending April 4, 2024? | Continuous |
| 29.608 | Will the US restrict Chinese AI developers' access to US cloud compute before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.549 | Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025? | Binary |
| 28.345 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in the Dominican Republic? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.190 | Will the 2024 light duty electric vehicle sales share exceed 11% in the US through November 2024? | Binary |
| 27.221 | Will Yoon Suk Yeol be President of South Korea on December 31, 2024? | Binary |
| 27.221 | Will former First Lady of Pakistan Bushra Bibi be arrested before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 24.778 | What will be the total finishing time for the 2024 Boston Marathon winners (male and female combined)? | Continuous |
| 23.818 | (closed) Which country will win UEFA Euro 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.294 | Will Individual Neutral Athletes Win ≥21 Gold Medals at the Paris 2024 Olympics? | Binary |
| 22.433 | When will the third Starship integrated flight test achieve liftoff? | Continuous |
| 22.306 | Will Nikki Haley finish 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses? | Binary |
| 21.531 | Will Russia and Ukraine sign or prolong natural gas transit deal before 2025? | Binary |
| 21.478 | Will the US Steel/Nippon Steel merger collapse before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.972 | Will any more of Trump's announced Cabinet picks drop out before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.793 | What will be the lowest seed to reach the Championship of the 2024 Men's NCAA Tournament? | Multiple Choice |
| 18.339 | Will Blue Origin launch its New Glenn rocket before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 18.061 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon in 2024? | Binary |
| 17.921 | Will a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah be active on January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 17.482 | Will the majority of Russian soldiers in Syria withdraw before January 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.821 | Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024? | Binary |
| 16.463 | Will Oppenheimer win the most Oscar awards? | Binary |
| 15.590 | Will the US or EU seize Russian sovereign assets in 2024? | Binary |
| 14.402 | Will UCLA hold its in-person, university-wide graduation commencement ceremonies scheduled for June 14, 2024? | Binary |
| 14.354 | Will the undiagnosed disease currently spreading in the Democratic Republic of the Congo be identified as Influenza, RSV, or COVID-19 before January 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 13.652 | Will Nvidia have the largest market cap in the world at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 13.520 | Will there be at least 200 military conflict deaths between Ethiopia, Somalia, and Somaliland in 2024? | Binary |
| 12.639 | Before April 1 2024, will the Supreme Court agree to hear an appeal from Donald Trump on the question of presidential immunity? | Binary |
| 12.499 | Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI (again) before 2025? | Binary |
| 12.363 | Will the National Assembly of Hungary approve Sweden's NATO accession before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 11.328 | Will Bluesky reach 30 million users before 1 January 2025? | Binary |
| 10.693 | Will Ukraine withdraw from Kursk before December 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 10.088 | Will Eric Adams be Mayor of New York City on the 1st of January 2025? | Binary |
| 10.006 | Before October 1, 2024, will any of these prominent Democrats appear as guests on the Lex Fridman podcast? | Binary |
| 9.574 | How many directly elected seats will independents win in the National Assembly of Pakistan following the 2024 election? | Continuous |
| 8.294 | Will the lithium carbonate (CNY/T) price fall below 70,000 before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 8.294 | How many major Atlantic hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in September 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 6.778 | Will Republicans win the most votes in the 2024 elections for the House of Representatives? | Binary |
| 5.618 | Will the cherry blossoms reach full bloom in Tokyo before April 5, 2024? | Binary |
| 4.100 | Will either of Donald Trump's campaign managers get fired, resign, or otherwise leave their positions before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 3.938 | What will be the US national average retail price of regular gasoline on September 30, 2024, according to AAA? | Continuous |
| 2.593 | How many times will Donald Trump debate the Democratic nominee for president in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.429 | How many total human cases of H5 will CDC report in the United States on October 1, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.383 | Who will be elected President of North Macedonia in 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| 2.011 | [Short Fuse] Will there be a deadly attack within Israel causing at least five deaths before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.903 | Will any of these large tech companies announce layoffs before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.687 | Before October 1, 2024, will Ethiopia and Somalia announce an agreement settling their dispute over the Somaliland port deal? | Binary |
| 1.466 | Will Rishi Sunak fail to be elected in the 2024 UK General Election? | Binary |
| 1.337 | Will another Chinese military aircraft violate Japanese territorial airspace before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 1.141 | Will Spain announce a snap general election before January 2025? | Binary |
| 0.940 | Will Ukrainian forces capture Rylsk, Russia before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| 0.420 | On October 1, 2024, what will be the status of Ukraine’s offensives reaching at least five miles into Russian territory? | Multiple Choice |
| -1.029 | What will the IMDB rating of the special episode of Bluey titled "The Sign" be three days after it airs? | Continuous |
| -2.313 | What will be the snow water equivalent of California's snowpack on March 31, 2024? | Continuous |
| -3.813 | Will the Republican Party retain New York's 3rd congressional district (previously held by George Santos) in the special election? | Binary |
| -5.087 | Will the United States government either ban TikTok or force a sale before 2025? | Binary |
| -7.276 | Which country will win the UEFA Euro 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -8.117 | What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between May 15 and June 15, 2024? | Continuous |
| -11.400 | Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| -12.621 | Will Erik Ten Hag stop being Manchester United's manager before 2025? | Binary |
| -12.969 | Gang Leader Fito in Custody by April 2024? (No) → Extended State of Emergency in Ecuador 2024? | Binary |
| -14.508 | Trump guilty in Manhattan by Election Day (Yes) → Trump Felony Conviction Before Election? | Binary |
| -16.427 | Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024? | Binary |
| -17.744 | Will a member of the United States Congress introduce legislation limiting the use of LLMs in 2024? | Binary |
| -18.701 | Will Macky Sall step down as president of Senegal at or before the currently scheduled end of his term? | Binary |
| -22.912 | Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024? | Binary |
| -24.759 | Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -26.135 | Will the Atlantic basin see more than 18 named storms in the 2024 hurricane season? | Binary |
| -26.241 | Will the 2024 Indonesian presidential election go to a runoff? | Binary |
| -26.683 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for the month of April 2024? | Continuous |
| -27.697 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Albania) | Binary |
| -30.022 | What will be the Accumulated Cyclone Energy of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season on October 7, 2024? | Continuous |
| -32.870 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Somaliland? | Multiple Choice |
| -34.470 | Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah on or before the first day of Ramadan (before March 12, 2024)? | Binary |
| -81.682 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspend his 2024 presidential campaign by October 22, 2024? | Binary |
| -83.926 | Will annual US core CPI inflation be above 3% in December 2024? | Binary |
| -87.310 | Will California Senate Bill 1047, the "Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act," be enacted before October 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -89.361 | Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025? | Binary |
| -97.092 | On June 28th, 2024, will Nvidia's market capitalization be larger than Apple's? | Binary |
| -98.460 | 2024 US Election Winner to Win Popular Vote? (Yes) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -107.058 | Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024? | Binary |
| -128.667 | Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024? | Multiple Choice |
| -131.682 | Will Astro Bot win the Game of the Year 2024 award? | Binary |
| -137.105 | Will at least two of the three listed moon landing missions successfully land on the moon before March 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -144.589 | Will SpaceX's Starship reach orbit in 2024? | Binary |
| -161.085 | Netanyahu PM Through 2024? (Yes) → Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025? | Binary |
| -176.831 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military before February 7, 2024? | Binary |
| -204.481 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Slovenia) | Binary |
| -209.821 | Who will win the 2024 Men's Ballon d'Or award? | Multiple Choice |
| -217.197 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Portugal) | Binary |
| -228.386 | Will the "Dune: Part Two" domestic opening box office be greater than that of "Dune (2021)"? | Binary |
| -232.929 | 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee? (Joe Biden) (No) → Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Binary |
| -250.882 | Will US refugee admissions exceed 100,000 in fiscal year 2024? | Binary |
| -265.577 | Will Donald Trump be convicted of a felony before the 2024 presidential election? | Binary |
| -276.413 | Who will win the 2024 presidential election in Iceland? | Multiple Choice |
| -280.858 | Will the following years be the warmest year on record, according to NASA? (2024) | Binary |
| -341.215 | Will the WHO declare a global health emergency (PHEIC) in 2024? | Binary |
| -359.373 | Will a new or extended state of emergency be declared in Ecuador before April 1, 2024? | Binary |
| -392.766 | Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? | Binary |
| -441.175 | AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024? (No) → Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025) | Binary |
| -447.846 | Will Ariel Henry cease to be Acting Prime Minister or Prime Minister of Haiti before April 1, 2024, for any reason? | Binary |
| -463.651 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Poland) | Binary |
| -463.652 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Latvia) | Binary |
| -463.653 | Which of these countries will qualify for the Grand Final in Eurovision 2024? (Belgium) | Binary |
| -529.008 | Will the International Court of Justice order provisional measures against Israel before March 1, 2024? | Binary |