| 129.537 | How many acres will be reported as burned in California during 2025 on March 4, 2025? | Continuous |
| 96.685 | Who will win the Liberal Party of Canada's leadership election to replace Justin Trudeau as Prime Minister of Canada? | Multiple Choice |
| 95.325 | Will Argentina's Chamber of Deputies impeach President Javier Milei before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 94.355 | Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026? | Binary |
| 93.988 | Will François Bayrou step down or be removed from his position as Prime Minister of France before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 93.915 | Will Thailand experience a military coup before September 2025? | Binary |
| 93.249 | Will the debt ceiling be raised or suspended in the US before March 17, 2025? | Binary |
| 93.163 | Will the National Archivist certify and publish the Equal Rights Amendment to the Constitution by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 92.265 | Will a fourth person solve a Rubik's cube in less than 3.44 seconds before March 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 91.726 | Will Spain win the Eurovision Song Contest in 2025? | Binary |
| 91.489 | When will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed? | Continuous |
| 90.276 | Will a federal investigation be launched over alleged insider trading relating to Trump's tariff announcements, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 89.628 | Will the government of Greenland officially announce a date for an independence referendum, before April 6, 2025? | Binary |
| 89.516 | What will the impact probability (in percent) of the asteroid 2024 YR4 be on March 27, 2025? | Continuous |
| 89.332 | What will be Nigeria's year-on-year inflation for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 88.566 | Will contracts between SpaceX and the US be cancelled before September 2025 totalling at least $1 billion? | Binary |
| 88.457 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kostiantynivka) | Binary |
| 88.271 | Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025? | Binary |
| 87.468 | Will there be any active, large, non-contained fires in California on February 15, 2025? | Binary |
| 87.311 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 85.603 | Will Paul Biya be reelected President of Cameroon in 2025? | Binary |
| 85.375 | Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025? | Binary |
| 85.243 | Will Ugandan opposition leader Kizza Besigye be released from custody before September 2025? | Binary |
| 84.939 | What will be the homicide rate per 100,000 inhabitants in Brazil in 2024? | Continuous |
| 84.632 | Will Atlético de Madrid win the EA Sports LaLiga 2024/25? | Binary |
| 84.125 | Will Jair Bolsonaro be imprisoned before September 2025? | Binary |
| 83.819 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? | Binary |
| 83.368 | Will Brazil's unemployment rate be below 6.2% in February 2025? | Binary |
| 83.317 | Will there be a leadership change in any of United States' foreign adversaries in 2025? | Binary |
| 82.550 | Will Shigeru Ishiba cease to be Prime Minister of Japan before September 2025? | Binary |
| 81.238 | Will Spirit Airlines emerge from Chapter 11 bankruptcy before 2026? | Binary |
| 80.157 | Will DeepSeek be ranked higher than ChatGPT on the AppStore on April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 80.106 | Will Newcastle United Football Club renege on their club badge redesign before August 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 79.647 | Will China enact an export ban on a rare earth element to the United States before September 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 78.610 | Will Kneecap perform at Glastonbury 2025? | Binary |
| 78.192 | Will the International Atomic Energy Agency verify Iran's weapon-grade uranium stockpile before September 2025? | Binary |
| 78.191 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Kupyansk) | Binary |
| 77.515 | Will Călin Georgescu be elected President of Romania after the 2025 elections? | Binary |
| 77.512 | Will PEPFAR funding be resumed before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 77.357 | Will Goma be under the control of the Democratic Republic of the Congo on August 25, 2025? | Binary |
| 75.496 | Will the US government acquire stock in any of the selected semicondunductor companies before 2026? | Binary |
| 74.106 | Will the TikTok ban be in effect in the United States on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 73.409 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (TTD) | Binary |
| 72.761 | Will the combined weekly percentage of emergency department visits in the United States due to COVID-19, RSV, and influenza fall below 2.7% on any date before March 16, 2025? | Binary |
| 72.493 | What will be the difference between the Arena Score of o3 and the next best model on Chatbot Arena, on April 5, 2025? | Continuous |
| 72.386 | How many Patriot missile batteries will the U.S. formally agree to send to Ukraine before September 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.768 | Will US federal interest rates at the end of 2025 be lower than at the end of 2024? | Binary |
| 71.314 | What will be the ending value of the ICE BofA US High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread for the following biweekly periods? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 71.278 | Who will win the Tour de France 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 71.174 | Will Elizabeth MacDonough, the current Senate parliamentarian, be removed or resign by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 71.047 | Will the US officially announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops out of Syria before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 70.726 | Will conflict between India and Pakistan result in 100 deaths in May or June 2025? | Binary |
| 70.585 | Who will have de facto power in Gaza City on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 70.277 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 70.086 | Will there be a political protest with at least 600,000 participants in France before 2026? | Binary |
| 69.116 | Will either the TurkStream or Blue Stream pipeline unexpectedly cease transporting gas at any point in 2025? | Binary |
| 69.111 | Will the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) go on strike before February 1, 2025? | Binary |
| 68.159 | How many hostages will Hamas release after January 26 and before April 5, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 68.112 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Apr 14 - Apr 25) | Binary |
| 68.084 | What will the total market cap of the Magnificent Seven be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 67.991 | [Short fuse] Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025? | Binary |
| 66.682 | Will 900,000 Russian personnel losses be reported before March 21, 2025? | Binary |
| 66.513 | Will the IBEX 35 close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 65.922 | Will mifepristone become significantly restricted or illegal to prescribe for abortions across the US before 2026? | Binary |
| 65.661 | Will any country recognise Somaliland before September 2025? | Binary |
| 65.541 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 64.127 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 62.292 | Will any more Russian or UK diplomats be expelled or recalled from UK or Russia, respectively, before April 8, 2025? | Binary |
| 61.974 | Will South Africa be removed from the Financial Action Task Force grey-list at the fall 2025 meeting? | Binary |
| 61.102 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 60.769 | Will Kemi Badenoch resign or face a leadership challenge as leader of the Conservative Party before September 2025? | Binary |
| 60.483 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| 59.784 | Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Binary |
| 59.293 | Will Argentina's month-over-month inflation rate in February 2025 be below 3.0%? | Binary |
| 57.766 | How many subscribers will the MrBeast YouTube channel have on March 30, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 56.985 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (Revenue) | Continuous |
| 56.939 | Will the Trump administration impose new tariffs on the EU before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 55.737 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 55.655 | What ranking will RedNote have in the Apple app store in the Social Networking category on February 17, 2025? | Continuous |
| 54.965 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 54.834 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Operating Expenses) | Continuous |
| 54.824 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 54.121 | What will be the annual rate of new US building permits issued in February 2025 for privately-owned housing units? | Continuous |
| 53.787 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 53.784 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 53.377 | How much additional photovoltaic capacity will China install during July 2025? | Continuous |
| 53.156 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (July 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 51.331 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 50.529 | How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 50.422 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 49.911 | Will Spain's economy grow more than the Eurozone's between Q3 2024 and Q3 2025? | Binary |
| 49.778 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 48.658 | What will the total number of Tesla vehicle deliveries be for Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 48.449 | Will Israel strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 48.238 | How many fatalities will there be in the US in relation to protests and violent conflict from June 14 to July 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 48.062 | What Premier League position will Nottingham Forest F.C. be in on March 10, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 47.803 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Binary |
| 47.688 | What will be NVIDIA's forward guidance in their Q2 FY2026 earnings release? (GAAP Gross Margin) | Continuous |
| 47.579 | How many commercial passenger flights will depart from Damascus International Airport in February, 2025? | Continuous |
| 47.519 | Will Bluesky reach 100 million users before the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 47.159 | Will OpenAI announce a GPT-5 AI model in 2025? | Binary |
| 47.118 | Will President Trump formally invoke his authority under the Constitution to adjourn Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 47.076 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 47.064 | Чи отримає Україна Тауруси до липня 2025? / Will Ukraine acquire Taurus missiles before July 2025? | Binary |
| 46.994 | Will the United States and Denmark announce formal negotiations over the possible transfer of sovereignty of Greenland to the United States before 2026? | Binary |
| 46.262 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 46.239 | What will be the IMDb rating of Severance's second season finale? | Continuous |
| 45.939 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 45.905 | What will the first reported revenues after March 2025 be for the following companies? (AMZN) | Continuous |
| 45.708 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 45.537 | Will Pedro Sánchez still be president of Spain at the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 44.765 | Will President Trump formally invoke the Insurrection Act before 2026? | Binary |
| 44.697 | Will Thames Water be placed into a Special Administration Regime before September 2025? | Binary |
| 44.584 | How many parties will be in the next German parliament? | Multiple Choice |
| 44.363 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AMD) | Continuous |
| 43.677 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (AAPL) | Continuous |
| 43.644 | What will be the average duration of the 97th Academy Awards winning movies in the following seven categories? | Continuous |
| 43.585 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| 42.672 | Will China launch an antitrust investigation into Intel before April, 2025? | Binary |
| 42.360 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/MXN) | Continuous |
| 42.347 | Will a new country be invited to BRICS at the 17th BRICS Summit? | Binary |
| 42.167 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 2 - June 6) | Continuous |
| 41.454 | What defence spending target will NATO agree to at their 2025 summit? | Multiple Choice |
| 41.164 | On March 28, 2025, what will be the exchange rate of the US dollar to the Canadian dollar, the Mexican peso, and the Chinese yuan? (USD/CAD) | Continuous |
| 40.713 | Will global average wealth per adult increase in 2024 compared to 2023? | Binary |
| 40.303 | How many trillion dollar companies will there be on August 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 40.272 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 40.231 | What will Nvidia's earnings per share be for Q4 FY2025 (the quarter ending January 26, 2025)? | Continuous |
| 40.091 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (ARES) | Binary |
| 40.049 | Will MetOp-SG-A1 reach orbit before September 2025? | Binary |
| 39.977 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 39.975 | Will S&P 500 recover half its drop by April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 39.937 | What will the first reported earnings per share after June 2025 be for the following companies? (TSLA) | Continuous |
| 39.871 | Will a new package of sanctions by the US against Russia be officially announced before September 2025? | Binary |
| 39.842 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Myrnohrad) | Binary |
| 37.871 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 19 - May 23) | Continuous |
| 37.852 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 10, 2025 to Mar 16, 2025) | Continuous |
| 37.531 | Will the word "tariff" disappear from the front pages of The New York Times and Wall Street Journal before July 2025? | Binary |
| 36.618 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Mar 3, 2025 to Mar 9, 2025) | Continuous |
| 35.982 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran again, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 35.436 | Which country will the winner of the 2025 Tokyo Marathon be from? | Multiple Choice |
| 35.221 | Will a new war or a substantial escalation to a previous war kill at least 5,000 people in 2025? | Binary |
| 34.752 | What will India's Consumer Food Price Index provisional year-over-year inflation rate be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.558 | Will at least two of the United States, Russia or China mutually agree to decrease their nuclear stockpiles before 2026? | Binary |
| 34.352 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump issue in Q1 2025? | Continuous |
| 34.114 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 34.030 | What will be the total number of forecasters in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| 33.750 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (June 16 - June 20) | Continuous |
| 32.734 | What will bitcoin's dominance in the cryptocurrency market be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 32.471 | What will US airline passenger volume be for these weeks in February and March 2025, according to the TSA? (Feb 24, 2025 to Mar 2, 2025) | Continuous |
| 32.195 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (May 5 - May 9) | Continuous |
| 31.874 | Will Israel lift the blockade to humanitarian aid into Gaza before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 30.742 | Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024? | Binary |
| 30.741 | Will the world's five largest companies at the end of 2025 be in the tech sector? | Binary |
| 30.658 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 30.652 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet with Donald Trump again before April 7, 2025? | Binary |
| 30.637 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 27) | Continuous |
| 30.627 | Will inflation-adjusted gas prices rise in the US in 2025? | Binary |
| 30.524 | What will the number of active US drilling rigs be on March 28, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 30.326 | Will the United States bailout Argentina before 2026? | Binary |
| 30.301 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apri 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| 30.234 | Will any new country attack Israel or Iran between June and December 2025? | Binary |
| 30.215 | How many cases will be confirmed in the Texas measles outbreak before April 7, 2025? | Continuous |
| 30.010 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following biweekly periods in Q3, 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 29.952 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 16 - Jun 27) | Binary |
| 29.941 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 29.603 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 29.472 | Will a 2025 Major Atlantic Hurricane make landfall before September? | Binary |
| 29.287 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (June 13) | Continuous |
| 29.060 | How many acres will be burned by fires in the US from January to August 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.817 | Will Ghislaine Maxwell give oral testimony on the Epstein Files or Epstein's relationship with Trump in a hearing at the US Congress before 2026? | Binary |
| 28.703 | By what distance, measured in horse lengths, will the first place finisher win the 2025 Cheltenham Gold Cup? | Multiple Choice |
| 28.691 | What will be the change in the OPEC+ production target for September 2025? | Continuous |
| 28.476 | Will Microsoft stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 27.751 | Which team will win the 2025 Six Nations Championship? | Multiple Choice |
| 27.298 | Will the Department of Justice announce an investigation or prosecution of a Democrat who served as president, vice president, congressional leader, whip, or impeachment manager before 2026? | Binary |
| 27.156 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Ukraine) | Binary |
| 27.016 | How many executive orders will Donald Trump sign in February and March 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.535 | On July 17, 2025, what will be the revised change in the UK payroll jobs data for May 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.444 | What will be the rank of Assassin's Creed Shadows on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers chart for March 18 - 25, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 26.122 | What will be the change in the value of Berkshire Hathaway’s stock holdings for Q2 2025? | Continuous |
| 26.066 | What will be the maximum intraday value of the VIX over the following weeks in Q2, 2025? (Apr 21 - Apr 25) | Continuous |
| 26.028 | How many people will die from the new Ebola outbreak before 2026? | Continuous |
| 25.873 | Will Norway announce the replacement design for the Fridtjof Nansen-class before September 2025? | Binary |
| 25.712 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| 25.686 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Jul 21 - Aug 1) | Continuous |
| 25.628 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Microsoft's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 25.574 | How many Cabinet-level Trump nominations will be confirmed by the US Senate before February 1, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 24.796 | Will Cracker Barrel's revenues decline in its Q1 FY2026 (August-October 2025) compared to the previous year? | Binary |
| 24.012 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Turkiye) | Binary |
| 23.956 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (MSTR) | Binary |
| 23.802 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 23.580 | What will be the Euro Area's annual inflation rate in July 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 23.526 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Peru) | Binary |
| 23.177 | When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect? | Multiple Choice |
| 22.983 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (United States) | Binary |
| 22.825 | Will the United States and Iran sign an agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before September 2025? | Binary |
| 22.816 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, June 2025) | Binary |
| 22.428 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 30) | Continuous |
| 22.417 | How much will the 2025 reconciliation bill increase spending on defense? | Continuous |
| 22.206 | Will OpenAI publicly release the full o3 model before March 28, 2025? (No) → What will the closing value of NVIDIA's stock price be on March 28, 2025? | Continuous |
| 22.203 | Will US imports from Brazil in November 2025 exceed those of November 2024? | Binary |
| 22.110 | What will the flash consumer confidence in the Euro Area be for March 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| 21.677 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (NVDA) | Continuous |
| 20.773 | Which team will win the 2024/2025 UEFA Europa League? | Multiple Choice |
| 20.288 | How many new inscriptions will UNESCO add to the World Heritage List at their 2025 session? | Continuous |
| 19.585 | When in 2025 will President Donald Trump sign into a law a reconciliation bill? | Multiple Choice |
| 19.262 | Will Elon Musk or Donald Trump publically disparage each other before September 2025? | Binary |
| 18.729 | How much funding for a border wall will the 2025 reconciliation bill provide? | Continuous |
| 18.125 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| 17.760 | What will the ratio of the price of 1 bitcoin to 1 troy ounce of gold be on March 30, 2025? | Continuous |
| 17.603 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (MSFT > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 16.699 | Will conflict between Thailand and Cambodia result in 500 deaths from March 28 to December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 16.694 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > AAPL, May 2025) | Binary |
| 16.671 | Will the highest-grossing film of 2025 be part of a franchise? | Binary |
| 16.331 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (Secretary of Health and Human Services)) | Binary |
| 16.291 | Will Daniel Noboa be elected President of Ecuador in 2025? | Binary |
| 16.134 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 16.125 | Will SAF and RSF delegations both physically attend the same peace negotiation venue before December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 15.965 | Will any rationalist, effective altruist, or AI safety researcher go on the Joe Rogan Experience before 2026? | Binary |
| 15.805 | Will the Strait of Hormuz be closed before 2026? | Binary |
| 15.712 | Will Zohran Mamdani be elected Mayor of New York City in 2025? | Binary |
| 14.983 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 14.615 | What will be the score ratio of the highest performing bot compared to the top 5 participants in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Continuous |
| 13.652 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Tulsi Gabbard (Director of National Intelligence)) | Binary |
| 13.483 | Will TikTok become available in the US on both the App Store and Google Play before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 12.607 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI be released in Europe in 2025? | Binary |
| 12.590 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Lebanon) | Binary |
| 12.104 | How many US military personnel will be killed by Iran or its proxies before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 12.034 | Will Iran attack US sites in Iraq before August 2025? | Binary |
| 11.928 | Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026? | Binary |
| 11.619 | Will Kash Patel be confirmed by the Senate as FBI Director by June 30, 2025? | Binary |
| 10.712 | How much will Superman (2025) gross worldwide during its opening weekend? | Continuous |
| 10.450 | Will Nasdaq-100 Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| 9.755 | Which states will Pope Leo XIV visit in 2025? (Israel) | Binary |
| 9.650 | Will Boeing's stock price exceed $210 on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 9.541 | Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024? | Binary |
| 9.050 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 16 - June 27) | Binary |
| 8.990 | Will Nvidia outperform the S&P 500 in 2025? | Binary |
| 8.602 | Will Liverpool win the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League? | Binary |
| 8.292 | What will be the total number of aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) between February 15 and March 15, 2025? | Continuous |
| 8.175 | Will Inditex be among the top 10 EU companies by market capitalisation by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| 7.942 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| 7.734 | What percent of the European Union's gas storage capacity will be full on February 12, 2025? | Continuous |
| 7.490 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| 6.944 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| 4.808 | [Short fuse] How many visitors will AnimeJapan 2025 have? | Continuous |
| 4.565 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Monkey) | Continuous |
| 4.216 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 3.893 | In 2025, will IRA's Advanced Manufacturing Production Tax Credits (45Χ) start requiring the use of domestic materials or subcomponents? | Binary |
| 3.768 | Will Thailand and Cambodia announce a bilateral ceasefire, with an intended duration of at least 28 days, before September 2025? | Binary |
| 3.507 | Will President Donald J. Trump take legal action against the BBC before 2026? | Multiple Choice |
| 3.369 | Will bitcoin trade below $90k for a whole day before April 5, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.367 | Will Rachel Reeves remain UK Chancellor of the Exchequer until December, 2025? | Binary |
| 3.330 | Will semaglutide be taken off FDA's drug shortage list in 2025? | Binary |
| 3.025 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, June 2025) | Binary |
| 2.803 | How many people will participate in US strikes beginning August 2025? | Continuous |
| 2.699 | Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| 2.472 | Will Hamas no longer have any hostages before 2026? | Binary |
| 2.209 | Will the EU suspend visa liberalisation for Georgia before March 2026? | Binary |
| 1.899 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (ARES) | Binary |
| 1.748 | Will any top US official visit Greenland in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.656 | Will Omar Fateh be elected mayor of Minneapolis, Minnesota in 2025? | Binary |
| 1.428 | Will Bitcoin close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| 1.410 | Where will ManticAI place in the Metaculus Cup Fall 2025 leaderboard? | Continuous |
| 1.144 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (MSFT) | Continuous |
| 0.469 | Will the United States strike the Iranian military in Iran before August 2025? | Binary |
| 0.156 | Will the US government announce the renaming of the Gulf of Mexico before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -0.323 | Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in November 2025 than it was in November 2024? | Binary |
| -0.702 | Will Pierre Poilievre be elected Prime Minister of Canada in 2025? | Binary |
| -1.178 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Sep 1 - Sep 12) | Continuous |
| -1.223 | Will Iran carry out an attack killing at least 3 people within Israel before August 2025? | Binary |
| -1.733 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? | Binary |
| -1.812 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that places new rules, limits, or requirements on early voting, absentee voting, or voter registration in federal elections? | Binary |
| -1.826 | How much will Gold Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -2.278 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (AMZN > WMT, May 2025) | Binary |
| -2.414 | Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024? | Binary |
| -2.835 | When, in 2025, will the United States or Israel attack an Islamic Republic of Iran nuclear facility? | Continuous |
| -3.299 | Will 2025 be the warmest year on record globally, according to the ECMWF? | Binary |
| -4.194 | Will Nvidia stock close 2025 higher than it started? | Binary |
| -4.470 | Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi? | Binary |
| -4.482 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before June 30, 2025? (COIN) | Binary |
| -4.580 | Will the poverty rate in Argentina be lower in the first half of 2025 compared to the second half of 2023? | Binary |
| -4.997 | Which company will have higher percentage return over the following months in Q2 2025? (NVDA > MSFT, May 2025) | Binary |
| -5.344 | What will be the estimated number of average viewers of Super Bowl LIX? | Continuous |
| -6.030 | Will Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025? | Binary |
| -7.227 | What will the first reported revenues after June 2025 be for the following companies? (META) | Continuous |
| -7.594 | What will be the highest percentage change in stock price among Hermes, Dior, and LVMH during the 2025 Paris Fashion Week Womenswear Fall/Winter? | Continuous |
| -8.397 | What will the 2025 reconciliation bill set as the excise tax rate on university endowments in tax year 2026? | Continuous |
| -9.083 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| -9.308 | Will the US government release additional Epstein documents in 2025? | Binary |
| -9.346 | Will Taiwan vote to restart the Maanshan Nuclear Power Plant? | Binary |
| -9.808 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (May 19 - May 30) | Binary |
| -10.880 | Will India's nominal GDP surpass Japan's by the end of 2025? | Binary |
| -11.657 | Will there be another deadly clash between Thailand and Cambodia, resulting in three or more fatalities, before 2026? | Binary |
| -11.742 | Will the winner of the rugby Men’s 2025 Six Nations Championship have at least 5 more total competition points than the second place? | Binary |
| -13.358 | What will be the electric vehicle sales share of light duty vehicles in the United States in February 2025? | Continuous |
| -13.482 | Which of the five largest companies in the world will see the highest stock price growth in February and March, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -13.608 | What will the total number of tokens launched on the site pump.fun be, as of March 31, 2025? | Continuous |
| -14.148 | Who will win the UFC light heavyweight championship at UFC 313? | Multiple Choice |
| -14.368 | Will there be an FEC Form 1 filed for Elon Musk's Political Party before 2026? | Binary |
| -15.643 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (Captain America: Brave New World) | Continuous |
| -15.786 | What will the 2-year U.S. Treasury note yield be on March 19, 2025? | Continuous |
| -17.388 | Will the eighth Starship integrated flight test reach an altitude of 160 kilometers before March 10, 2025? | Binary |
| -21.368 | What will be the lowest number of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz between June 15, 2025 and September 1, 2025? | Continuous |
| -21.516 | Will Intuitive Machines land with fully working payloads on the Moon before April 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -21.548 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (Apr 21 - May 2) | Binary |
| -21.783 | How many players will Monster Hunter Wilds have simultaneously online on March 21, 2025? | Continuous |
| -25.133 | Will Australia recognize Palestine before 2026? | Binary |
| -25.523 | What will be the percentage increase for the minimum wage in Colombia for 2026? | Continuous |
| -25.631 | What will be the highest earthquake magnitude recorded during July 2025? | Continuous |
| -26.213 | Who will win the 2025 Goldsmith Prize for Investigative Reporting? | Multiple Choice |
| -26.864 | Will Kim Keon Hee be criminally charged before September 2025? | Binary |
| -28.030 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (May 5 - May 16) | Binary |
| -30.408 | Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025? | Binary |
| -31.043 | Will the US import more shrimp in 2025 than 2024? | Binary |
| -31.205 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 2) | Continuous |
| -33.247 | How much will Nasdaq-100 Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 18 - Aug 29) | Continuous |
| -34.952 | What will Japan's preliminary net tourist inflow be for February 2025? | Continuous |
| -35.607 | How much will Nvidia's stock price returns exceed Apple's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -37.814 | How much will "Captain America: Brave New World," "The Monkey," and "The Alto Knights" earn in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? (The Alto Knights) | Continuous |
| -40.740 | Will the White House revoke the media credentials of reporters from two media outlets before 2026? | Binary |
| -44.442 | Will Sam Altman and Elon Musk be on the stage together at YC AI Startup School? | Binary |
| -46.460 | On December 31, 2025, will Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto as a payment? | Binary |
| -46.709 | Will Gold Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 two-week periods? (June 2 - June 13) | Binary |
| -47.141 | How many total confirmed human cases of H5 bird flu will CDC report in the United States as of March 31, 2025? | Multiple Choice |
| -47.473 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before October 2025? (HOOD) | Binary |
| -48.704 | How much will Crude Oil Futures total price returns exceed S&P 500 Futures's in the following biweekly periods of Q3 2025? (Aug 4 - Aug 15) | Continuous |
| -49.475 | Will the following companies be added to the S&P 500 before 2026? (CVNA) | Binary |
| -51.731 | What cumulative percentage of the geographic area of Texas will be classified as under moderate drought or worse (D1-D4) as of March 18, 2025? | Continuous |
| -51.935 | Will Crude Oil Futures outperform S&P 500 Futures in total price return over the following Q2 2025 weeks? (Jun 2 - Jun 13) | Binary |
| -55.202 | What will be the market price of the most expensive Pokémon card from the Mega Evolution expansion on November 26th? | Continuous |
| -65.133 | Will more than 15 million farmed birds be affected (depopulated or killed) in the United States due to bird flu from February 15, 2025 to March 15, 2025? (No) → What will the national average price of eggs (in USD per dozen) be in the United States on March 26, 2025? | Continuous |
| -74.081 | Will Russia capture the following cities before September 2025? (Pokrovsk) | Binary |
| -76.625 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be elected President of Poland in 2025? | Binary |
| -78.582 | Will Kylian Mbappé be the top scorer in LaLiga EA Sports 2024/25? | Binary |
| -84.592 | Will the share price of BP outperform Shell through June and July 2025? | Binary |
| -92.716 | Will a participant reach the $750 comment prize cap in the Summer 2025 Metaculus Cup? | Binary |
| -94.248 | What will the highest rank of metac-GPT4o or metac-o1 be in the Q1 2025 Quarterly Cup? | Continuous |
| -94.869 | What will be the value of the CNN Fear & Greed Index for the following dates in Q2, 2025? (May 16) | Continuous |
| -99.822 | Will at least one announced Trump Cabinet nominee other than Matt Gaetz be withdrawn or rejected by the Senate before July 1, 2025? | Binary |
| -101.887 | Who will get the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election? | Multiple Choice |
| -104.215 | Will the United States attack Venezuela before 2026? | Binary |
| -105.217 | Will the restrictions on Revolut's UK banking license be removed before July 26, 2025? | Binary |
| -113.260 | Will Alina Habba still be the U.S. Attorney for the District of New Jersey on December 31, 2025? | Binary |
| -113.626 | Will legislation be approved by at least one chamber of Congress in 2025 that partially or fully exempts at least one executive branch department, the CIA, or EPA from the Freedom of Information Act? | Binary |
| -159.238 | Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025? | Binary |
| -450.880 | Will the following Trump Cabinet nominees withdraw or be voted down in the Senate before March 31, 2025? (Any of Trump’s Other Nominees (See Fine Print)) | Binary |